Mighty Trotter Handicap Hurdle – Plumpton

Plumpton

15:25

Mighty Trotter Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m7f195y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,829

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Saligo Bay Bay J:Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Freddie Mitchell(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	168	—	21F37-	100	109	100	—	—	—	+2	24.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Some promise on the Flat this summer and has won over hurdles around here
14	Embolden Bay J:James Bowen T:Clare Hobson	J:James Bowen T:Clare Hobson	149	b	2737-5	81	106	99	15d	—	—	-2	11.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Can raze lazily so the addition of blinkers could prove significant; not without hope
8	Birdman Bob Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Andy Irvine	J:Sean Bowen T:Andy Irvine	161	p	2U2P6-	93	99	89	204d	—	—	+1	17.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Needs to get back on track but goes well here and recent rain was welcomed
5	Royal Deeside Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	164	—	62323-	97	96	87	—	—	—	+14	23.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Tailed off on the AW last time but had been running well over hurdles
6	Sami Bear Bay J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	J:Freddie Gordon(5) T:Chris Gordon	163	p	7-4263	95	101	72	29d	—	—	+5	13.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Well held in two runs after a break and ideally needs further than this
15	Invictus De Brion Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	J:Rex Dingle T:Chris Gordon	147	p	P/443F	79	101	74	29d	—	—	+2	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Bumper winner; yet to win over jumps but positive signs over hurdles and fences
12	Ez Tiger Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	155	t	F46-15	87	101	90	147d	—	—	+4	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
C&D winner who can deal with this mark but wouldn't want rain-softened ground
9	Gearing's Point Bay J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	158	—	236-	90	100	72	—	—	—	+10	16.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four-time Flat winner; has shown an aptitude for hurdling and this just her second h'cap
10	Lady Caro Bay J:Ben Jones T:Emma Lavelle	J:Ben Jones T:Emma Lavelle	158	—	572-68	90	100	53	—	—	—	+6	11.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-9 in bumpers/hurdles but did finish second in a Fontwell handicap in April
13	Kilcummin Grey J:Fergus Gillard T:Mark Gillard	J:Fergus Gillard T:Mark Gillard	154	b	1P-834	87	101	86	44d	—	—	+6	10.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Flat maiden; has won a juvenile hurdle but hasn't offered all that much in handicaps
4	Barenboim Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jamie Snowden	166	t	349/66	98	100	59	23d	—	—	+9	13.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Five-time AW winner but a limited hurdler who made no impact on recent handicap debut
3	Kalif d'Airy Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary & Josh Moore	167	t	933-7	100	95	78	17d	—	—	+10	13.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Tailed off on handicap debut (tongue tied) at Fontwell but he's better than that
2	King Otis Bay J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:James Owen	J:Ciaran O'Shea(7) T:James Owen	168	tp	328F7U	100	103	77	40d	—	—	+10	13.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has lost his way a little and was 25-1 when departing midrace at Worcester
7	Mi Sueno Black J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Paddy Butler	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Paddy Butler	161	—	P11P6-	93	100	90	—	—	—	+16	17.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Beat Birdman Bob here in March but has done nothing since under either code
11	Conservative Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	157	b	654P	89	96	62	29d	—	—	+8	10.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Low-key start over hurdles continued when pulled up on handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Saligo Bay	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4	3/1
Embolden	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Birdman Bob	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	11/2
Royal Deeside	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Sami Bear	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Invictus De Brion	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Ez Tiger	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Gearing's Point	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Lady Caro	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Kilcummin	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Barenboim	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Kalif d'Airy	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
King Otis	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Mi Sueno	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Conservative	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Saligo Bay

24.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 5.4 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Royal Deeside

23.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Mi Sueno

17.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 6.7 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Birdman Bob

17.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 2 Odds: 5

11/2

Gearing's Point

16.3

OR: 10 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sami Bear

13.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

11/1

King Otis

13.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Kalif d'Airy

13.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Barenboim

13.1

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Embolden

11.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Lady Caro

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ez Tiger

11.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Kilcummin

10.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Conservative

10.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

100/1

Invictus De Brion

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Saligo Bay	100	109	100
Kalif d'Airy	100	95	78
King Otis	100	103	77
Barenboim	98	100	59
Royal Deeside	97	96	87
Sami Bear	95	101	72
Birdman Bob	93	99	89
Mi Sueno	93	100	90
Gearing's Point	90	100	72
Lady Caro	90	100	53
Conservative	89	96	62
Ez Tiger	87	101	90
Kilcummin	87	101	86
Embolden	81	106	99
Invictus De Brion	79	101	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Embolden	15d ago	Fit
Kalif d'Airy	17d ago	Fit
Barenboim	23d ago	Fit
Sami Bear	29d ago	Fit
Invictus De Brion	29d ago	Fit
Conservative	29d ago	Fit
King Otis	40d ago	Fit
Kilcummin	44d ago	Fit
Ez Tiger	147d ago	Long break
Birdman Bob	204d ago	Long break
Saligo Bay	—	—
Royal Deeside	—	—
Gearing's Point	—	—
Lady Caro	—	—
Mi Sueno	—	—