Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:15

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (7)	Old Saxony Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	136	—	347444	66	68	30	26d	—	—	-12	10.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Combination of new trip and drop to Class 6 may do the trick
3 (5)	Dark Mystery Bay J:P J McDonald T:B F Brookhouse	J:P J McDonald T:B F Brookhouse	140	t	927342	63	72	64	16d	—	—	-4	16.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Beat all bar odds-on shot in C&D event most recently; likely player
1 (2)	A Gift Of Love Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ollie Sangster	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ollie Sangster	143	—	-05034	66	70	43	47d	—	—	-7	11.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Eight-race maiden; two encouraging efforts for new yard; possibilities
2 (6)	Gold Aura Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	142	h	225622	65	72	30	24d	—	—	+5	16.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent maiden; ran creditably upped to 1m6f last time; in the mix
4 (3)	Philos Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Ed Dunlop	138	v	825013	61	69	59	117d	—	—	+8	16	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Four AW wins; in good form in June when last seen
5 (8)	Yippee Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Garritty T:Charlie Johnston	137	b	956373	67	68	34	13d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Ran encouragingly in first-time blinkers here on latest outing
7 (9)	Sydney Seabreeze Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	132	hp	905545	62	71	65	20d	—	—	-3	5.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Latest effort suggests this drop back to 1m6f is a good move
9 (4)	Can Can Girl Bay J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	J:Shane Gray T:Craig Lidster	125	v	714036	48	70	-	19d	—	—	+2	4.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Poor form on AW early this year; no win in this sphere since 2021
8 (1)	Typewritten Grey J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	127	—	6-4395	50	70	25	249d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Lacks recent match practice and goes without usual headgear
10 (10)	Kitten's Dream Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	123	p	666956	46	63	29	7d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
On a very long losing run and recent form isn't convincing

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Old Saxony	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Dark Mystery	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	11/4
A Gift Of Love	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Gold Aura	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Philos	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Yippee	8/1	11/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Sydney Seabreeze	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Can Can Girl	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Typewritten	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Kitten's Dream	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dark Mystery

16.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Gold Aura

16.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Philos

OR: 2.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.2

10/1

A Gift Of Love

11.5

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.4

4/1

Yippee

11.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Old Saxony

10.7

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Sydney Seabreeze

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Can Can Girl

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Typewritten

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Kitten's Dream

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Yippee	67	68	34
Old Saxony	66	68	30
A Gift Of Love	66	70	43
Gold Aura	65	72	30
Dark Mystery	63	72	64
Sydney Seabreeze	62	71	65
Philos	61	69	59
Typewritten	50	70	25
Can Can Girl	48	70	—
Kitten's Dream	46	63	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kitten's Dream	7d ago	Quick return
Yippee	13d ago	Quick return
Dark Mystery	16d ago	Fit
Can Can Girl	19d ago	Fit
Sydney Seabreeze	20d ago	Fit
Gold Aura	24d ago	Fit
Old Saxony	26d ago	Fit
A Gift Of Love	47d ago	Fresh
Philos	117d ago	Long break
Typewritten	249d ago	Long break