Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

19:45

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Eagle Angel Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	135	—	51-	-	87	-	360d	—	—	-14	21.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Absent since winning at Wolverhampton a year ago on second start; open to further progress
7 (1)	Eavestone Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	125	—	3-23	80	91	65	57d	—	—	-12	19.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Placed in all three runs; close second at this course on penultimate; leading contender
4 (7)	King Chaos Grey J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	130	—	3	-	86	-	63d	—	—	-14	10.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Ran promisingly over 1m2f at Windsor while shaping as if this longer distance will suit
6 (8)	Ventorro Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Menuisier	J:Jason Watson T:David Menuisier	130	—	04	-	72	17	25d	—	—	-4	1.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Did a couple of things wrong here last month but managed to improve on debut effort
8 (5)	Maenad Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	7	-	65	-	47d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Galileo filly; only seventh of eight in Kempton contest but may do better
5 (2)	Trapper John Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Harry Eustace	J:Charles Bishop T:Harry Eustace	130	—	06	-	55	5	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Comfortably held in two starts at shorter
3 (6)	Melsmay Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Doubtful stayer on breeding and best watched on belated debut
NR (4)	Gerard Mentor Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Kim Bailey	J:Dylan Hogan T:Kim Bailey	136	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Jumps form suggests he won't be good enough to beat some of these rivals on Flat debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Eagle Angel	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8	6/4
Eavestone	7/4	7/4	7/4	13/8	6/4
King Chaos	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	11/4
Ventorro	33/1	25/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Maenad	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Trapper John	250/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Melsmay	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Eagle Angel

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Eavestone

19.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

King Chaos

10.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Ventorro

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

33/1

Maenad

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Trapper John

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Melsmay

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Gerard Mentor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eavestone	80	91	65
Eagle Angel	—	87	—
King Chaos	—	86	—
Ventorro	—	72	17
Maenad	—	65	—
Trapper John	—	55	5
Melsmay	—	—	—
Gerard Mentor	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Trapper John	22d ago	Fit
Ventorro	25d ago	Fit
Maenad	47d ago	Fresh
Eavestone	57d ago	Fresh
King Chaos	63d ago	Fresh
Eagle Angel	360d ago	Long break
Melsmay	—	—
Gerard Mentor	—	—