Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Nursery Handicap

Southwell (AW)

18:45

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (6)	Dandy G Boy Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	131	b	6666	64	72	63	28d	—	—	-9	8.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Didn't live up to market billing on h'cap debut but still ran with credit; drop to 6f a +
1 (4)	Harswell Ruby Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	132	—	365	65	74	41	27d	—	—	-7	10.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Could be well treated on her debut effort; bred to do better and she's interesting
9 (8)	Earthy Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Amy Murphy	131	tb	85951	64	75	66	23d	—	—	+4	17.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Hung right but kept on well to win 6f nursery at Chelmsford latest; 4lb rise demands more
12 (1)	Rogue Dancer Bay J:Jason Hart T:Jack Jones	J:Jason Hart T:Jack Jones	130	—	074	63	65	49	28d	—	—	-5	6.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Unplaced in her three runs but has displayed clear promise; more realistic challenge today
5 (5)	Lucius Aurelius Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	131	—	3844	64	73	-	28d	—	—	-2	7.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
No progress for switch to nurseries at Hamilton last month; still early days; AW debut
11 (11)	Final Angel Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	131	—	39485	64	71	-	26d	—	—	-3	6.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Shaped well at Redcar latest, closing when squeezed up late on; AW debut
8 (7)	Woodhay Whisper Bay J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	J:Sean Levey T:Tom Ward	131	—	254745	64	71	53	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	5.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not built on her debut promise, including in three nurseries; upped to 6f for first time
7 (12)	Sea Of Diamonds Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	131	p	15350	64	71	68	25d	—	—	+3	8.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not built on the promise of her debut win in May in four runs since; others look safer
3 (2)	Mirage Mistress Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	132	t	558	65	72	57	56d	—	—	+1	5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
No progress in novice runs but bred to do better and a tongue tie is added for h'cap debut
2 (3)	Washington Dancer Bay J:P J McDonald T:David Evans	J:P J McDonald T:David Evans	132	—	3559	65	70	39	71d	—	—	+2	5.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Promising 3rd on debut (sole AW run); struggled since & hopes rest on the return to AW
6 (9)	Havana Dance Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jonathan Portman	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Jonathan Portman	131	v	439658	64	68	23	18d	—	—	+3	4.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Promise on first two starts; progress has stalled in nurseries; now tried in a visor
NR (10)	Addarella Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	132	—	865	65	68	44	46d	—	—	—	3.8	—	—
Has shown promise in three fillies' only races but her opening mark doesn't look a gift

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Dandy G Boy	4/1	4/1	18/5	7/2	7/2
Harswell Ruby	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Earthy	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Rogue Dancer	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	11/2
Lucius Aurelius	17/2	17/2	17/2	15/2	9/1
Final Angel	15/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Woodhay Whisper	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Sea Of Diamonds	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Mirage Mistress	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Washington Dancer	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	20/1
Havana Dance	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Earthy

17.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Harswell Ruby

10.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Dandy G Boy

8.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Sea Of Diamonds

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lucius Aurelius

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Final Angel

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Rogue Dancer

6.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Washington Dancer

5.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1

28/1

Woodhay Whisper

5.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Mirage Mistress

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Havana Dance

4.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Addarella

3.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harswell Ruby	65	74	41
Mirage Mistress	65	72	57
Washington Dancer	65	70	39
Addarella	65	68	44
Dandy G Boy	64	72	63
Earthy	64	75	66
Lucius Aurelius	64	73	—
Final Angel	64	71	—
Woodhay Whisper	64	71	53
Sea Of Diamonds	64	71	68
Havana Dance	64	68	23
Rogue Dancer	63	65	49

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Woodhay Whisper	14d ago	Fit
Havana Dance	18d ago	Fit
Earthy	23d ago	Fit
Sea Of Diamonds	25d ago	Fit
Final Angel	26d ago	Fit
Harswell Ruby	27d ago	Fit
Dandy G Boy	28d ago	Fit
Rogue Dancer	28d ago	Fit
Lucius Aurelius	28d ago	Fit
Addarella	46d ago	Fresh
Mirage Mistress	56d ago	Fresh
Washington Dancer	71d ago	Fresh