Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Sky Sports Racing HD Virgin 519 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-21

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Second Name Bay J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-39	20	0.13/1	8/15 65%
270,000gns yearling; siblings include G2 winner Sakheer; respected debutant
1 (1)	Mockirr Grey J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	133	t	532	-	76	53	7d	—	—	-14	16.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Form figures of 532 reflect his steady progress; sets the standard back up in trip
6 (5)	Safanah Bay J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	128	—	73	-	62	39	2d	—	—	0	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran well in ordinary turf race on Saturday but likely needs further progress
5 (2)	Mrs Potts Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
£13,500 yearling; by Belardo; less interesting than the other newcomer
2 (6)	Paulsgonefishing Bay J:Luke Morris T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Morris T:Darryll Holland	133	tp	5	-	-	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Last of five in Southwell maiden; now goes in headgear
3 (4)	Prince Elliot Grey Roan J:Laura Pearson T:Derek Shaw	J:Laura Pearson T:Derek Shaw	133	—	8	-	46	-	11d	—	—	0	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Always behind in 7f maiden at Southwell

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Second Name	4/9	1/2	4/9	4/9	8/15
Mockirr	2/1	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4
Safanah	25/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Mrs Potts	80/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Paulsgonefishing	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Prince Elliot	400/1	200/1	200/1	125/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Second Name

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

8/15

2nd

Mockirr

16.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Safanah

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Mrs Potts

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Paulsgonefishing

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Prince Elliot

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Second Name	—	—	—
Mockirr	—	76	53
Safanah	—	62	39
Mrs Potts	—	—	—
Paulsgonefishing	—	—	—
Prince Elliot	—	46	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Safanah	2d ago	Quick return
Mockirr	7d ago	Quick return
Prince Elliot	11d ago	Quick return
Paulsgonefishing	13d ago	Quick return
Second Name	—	—
Mrs Potts	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.