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Newcastle (AW)

16:50 ✓ Result

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-10-22
Distance 1m2f42y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,942
Winning Time 2m 7.87s (slow by 1.37s)

Result

Pos Horse SP Btn
1st 15/8 Won
2nd 22/1 0.1
3rd 28/1 13
4th 15/2 0.05
5th 10/11F 5
6th 100/1 11
7th 50/1 4.75
8th 18/1 4.5
9th 100/1 3.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (7)
Marama
Bay
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
 133 — 2U-1
-
95
-
 31d — — -21
25.4
0.23/1
10/11
52%
Impressive on her belated return (turf) a month ago; likely to improve for that
6 (3)
Sword
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
 131 p -37262
82
89
74
 26d — — -5
25.5
0.47/1
15/8
35%
Expensive to follow; will want to settle much better going beyond 1m for the first time
7 (2)
Warm Response
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
 131 — 3
-
74
43
 17d — — -5
6.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Satisfactory debut at Southwell early this month (1m); may improve
5 (5)
Stone Forest
Bay
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
 131 — 7
-
33
-
 7d — — -3
1.2
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Again likely to find this beyond him and is probably one for handicaps down the line
2 (1)
Cadarn
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
 131 t —
-
-
-
 — — — -4
1.4
5.50/1
22/1
4%
Not beaten far on his recent bumper debut; interesting to see how he goes in the market
4 (4)
Muhib
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:P J McDonald
T:John & Thady Gosden
 131 — —
-
19
-
 36d — — -3
1
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Step up in trip may help (dam a 1m4f winner) but Sword is clearly his yard's best chance
3 (9)
King Of Lightning
Chestnut
J:Rowan Scott
T:Gemma Tutty
J:Rowan Scott
T:Gemma Tutty
 131 — 24
-
73
13
 18d — — +2
3.9
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Disappointing on his recent return from a layoff; will find life easier once handicapping
9 (6)
Krissy
Bay
J:Joe Fanning
T:Lucinda Russell
J:Joe Fanning
T:Lucinda Russell
 126 — 76
-
61
-
 24d — — -1
0.2
31.25/1
125/1
1%
The drop in trip isn't sure to help and this is likely to prove beyond her
8 (8)
Saxon Star
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
 130 — —
-
-
-
 — — — -1
0.2
31.25/1
125/1
1%
This looks tough enough on her Flat debut; is likely one for handicaps down the line
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Marama
 5/6 10/11 5/6 5/6 4/5
Sword
 15/8 15/8 15/8 15/8 15/8
Warm Response
 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2
Stone Forest
 22/1 20/1 20/1 18/1 20/1
Cadarn
 22/1 22/1 22/1 20/1 20/1
Muhib
 33/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 28/1
King Of Lightning
 66/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 50/1
Krissy
 125/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 100/1
Saxon Star
 125/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sword
25.5
OR: 8 Form: 8.1 Odds: 9.4
15/8
2nd Marama
25.4
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15.4
10/11
3rd Warm Response
6.3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3
15/2
4 King Of Lightning
3.9
OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4
66/1
5 Cadarn
1.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
22/1
6 Stone Forest
1.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
22/1
7 Muhib
1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1
33/1
8 Krissy
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
125/1
9 Saxon Star
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
125/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Sword
82
89
74
Marama —
95
 —
Warm Response —
74
43
Stone Forest —
33
 —
Cadarn — — —
Muhib —
19
 —
King Of Lightning —
73
13
Krissy —
61
 —
Saxon Star — — —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Stone Forest 7d ago Quick return
Warm Response 17d ago Fit
King Of Lightning 18d ago Fit
Krissy 24d ago Fit
Sword 26d ago Fit
Marama 31d ago Fit
Muhib 36d ago Fit
Cadarn — —
Saxon Star — —

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.