Newbury

17:11 ✓ Result

Renegade Brewery Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-10-25
Distance 1m2f
Class Class 4
Going Heavy
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £7,328
Winning Time 2m 20.16s (slow by 15.86s)

Result

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
1 (4)
Wintercrack
Bay
J:Shane Kelly
T:Pam Sly
J:Shane Kelly
T:Pam Sly
138 -12001
83
96
63
16d +8
27.5
7/2
22%
Made all at Nottingham this month, taking form figures in heavy-ground handicaps to 121
7 (11)
Lady La Fay
Bay
J:Sam James
T:K R Burke
J:Sam James
T:K R Burke
135 34241
84
90
74
27d +10
26.3
9/2
18%
Registered an 8l success in Ripon novice event last month and may show further progress
8 (2)
Big Bear Hug
Bay
J:Jason Watson
T:Adam West
J:Jason Watson
T:Adam West
131 p 613528
76
91
75
20d +3
16.9
7/1
13%
Has never defied a mark this high but is proven in the mud
5 (6)
Elladonna
Bay
J:Ross Coakley
T:James Fanshawe
J:Ross Coakley
T:James Fanshawe
136 h -55116
81
93
80
50d +12
22.8
15/2
12%
Beaten favourite last time; interesting with hood reapplied, being 2-2 in this headgear
4 (3)
Ciara Pearl
Bay
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
136 012236
81
92
83
34d +9
18.4
9/1
10%
Record is 5-14; perhaps feeling the effects of a busy spell last time; may rebound
6 (5)
Expert Witness
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Sir Mark Todd
J:David Probert
T:Sir Mark Todd
136 t 121683
81
91
83
22d +9
17.1
10/1
9%
Record of 2221213 in 1m2f handicaps this term, clear third on heavy going last time
2 (9)
Power Of Destiny
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Sir Michael Stoute
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Sir Michael Stoute
138 31220
87
92
83
63d +13
21.2
11/1
8%
Something seemed amiss last time; steadily progressive otherwise; not written off
3 (10)
Shemozzle
Grey
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
137 326198
86
90
67
34d +10
16.9
12/1
8%
Has one stand-out performance since handicapping; fairly useful but isn't solid
11 (7)
Dramatic Effect
Chestnut
J:Charles Bishop
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
J:Charles Bishop
T:Eve Johnson Houghton
127 -41563
76
90
67
34d +8
14.1
18/1
5%
Ran well over 1m here last month (wore hood); new trip presents a question mark
10 (8)
Hello Miss Lady
Chestnut
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Dylan Cunha
J:Rhys Clutterbuck
T:Dylan Cunha
127 8-721
76
86
44
44d +2
8.1
22/1
4%
Successful in weak AW event last month; this is harder but she's still unexposed
9 (1)
Saisissante
Bay
J:Millie Wonnacott(5)
T:Noel Williams
J:Millie Wonnacott(5)
T:Noel Williams
130 tb 12115-
75
88
-
21.8
Hurdles winner for current yard; absent since last December; market helpful
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Wintercrack
10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 7/2
Lady La Fay
SP 9/2 4/1 4/1 4/1
Big Bear Hug
11/2 11/2 11/2 13/2 7/1
Elladonna
15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 7/1
Ciara Pearl
SP 9/1 9/1 15/2 17/2
Expert Witness
9/1 9/1 9/1 8/1 10/1
Power Of Destiny
10/1 10/1 11/1 11/1 8/1
Shemozzle
SP 12/1 12/1 11/1 12/1
Dramatic Effect
SP 16/1 16/1 18/1 14/1
Hello Miss Lady
22/1 20/1 22/1 20/1 20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Wintercrack
27.5
OR: 8.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7
7/2
2nd Lady La Fay
26.3
OR: 8.5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 4.7
9/2
3rd Elladonna
22.8
OR: 7.8 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1
15/2
4 Saisissante
21.8
OR: 6.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 0
5 Power Of Destiny
21.2
OR: 9.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.4
11/1
6 Ciara Pearl
18.4
OR: 7.8 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.5
9/1
7 Expert Witness
17.1
OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4
10/1
8 Big Bear Hug
16.9
OR: 6.5 Form: 6.4 Odds: 4
7/1
9 Shemozzle
16.9
OR: 9 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9
12/1
10 Dramatic Effect
14.1
OR: 6.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6
18/1
11 Hello Miss Lady
8.1
OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6
22/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Power Of Destiny
87
92
83
Shemozzle
86
90
67
Lady La Fay
84
90
74
Wintercrack
83
96
63
Elladonna
81
93
80
Ciara Pearl
81
92
83
Expert Witness
81
91
83
Big Bear Hug
76
91
75
Dramatic Effect
76
90
67
Hello Miss Lady
76
86
44
Saisissante
75
88

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Wintercrack 16d ago Fit
Big Bear Hug 20d ago Fit
Expert Witness 22d ago Fit
Lady La Fay 27d ago Fit
Ciara Pearl 34d ago Fit
Shemozzle 34d ago Fit
Dramatic Effect 34d ago Fit
Hello Miss Lady 44d ago Fit
Elladonna 50d ago Fresh
Power Of Destiny 63d ago Fresh
Saisissante