Happy Birthday Hamish Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

3:50

Happy Birthday Hamish Handicap

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 1m53y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (3)	Equion b J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tony Carroll	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Tony Carroll	128	—	043621	68	86	74	13d	—	—	+1	26.9	5/2 29%
Back up 5lb but ability to handle conditions counterbalances that concern
6 (1)	Turn Up The Heat b J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	132	—	-42944	75	87	81	100d	—	—	-5	13	7/2 22%
Disappointing maiden but career-best run (on heavy) came after a similar break
5 (5)	Marsh Benham ch J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	132	p	339161	72	86	67	11d	—	—	+10	25.5	5/1 17%
Running well but feeds off Class 5/6 handicaps so this should be tougher
8 (4)	Run For The Sun b J:Edward Greatrex T:Ed Dunlop	J:Edward Greatrex T:Ed Dunlop	125	—	445-33	68	85	64	83d	—	—	-5	8.1	6/1 14%
Had a light season and only 3l away in two handicaps over 1m on soft ground
NR (10)	Golden Sands ch J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	136	hp	0-0877	76	84	59	26d	—	—	+1	8.6	12/1 8%
Penultimate effort was okay but there are serious concerns about him on this ground
1 (6)	Bet Me gr J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:George Boughey	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:George Boughey	140	ht	387646	80	82	59	33d	—	—	+3	9.4	14/1 7%
Had a quiet year and has now twice run moderately on heavy after last run at Goodwood
4 (2)	Hartswood b J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	133	—	350910	73	86	80	28d	—	—	+8	14.7	14/1 7%
Won on soft at Doncaster last month but typical of him to back that up with a quiet one
10 (7)	Alfie Boy b J:Faye McManoman T:Tim Easterby	J:Faye McManoman T:Tim Easterby	117	—	304670	60	84	80	21d	—	—	-2	4.2	18/1 5%
Form regressed since winning in May and this is a belated first run at 1m
9 (8)	Angel Mac ch J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	120	—	3980	63	82	62	11d	—	—	+2	4.9	40/1 2%
Struggles continued on handicap debut at Chelmsford when sent up to 1m2f
NR (9)	Forca Timao b J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	137	—	036687	77	86	49	45d	—	—	+5	8.2	33/1 3%
Smart at best for former yard but was well held on stable debut at Sandown

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Equion	2/1	5/2	9/4	2/1	85/40
Turn Up The Heat	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Marsh Benham	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Run For The Sun	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1
Golden Sands	12/1	10/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Bet Me	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hartswood	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Alfie Boy	18/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Angel Mac	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Forca Timao	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Equion

26.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 14.4 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Marsh Benham

25.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Hartswood

14.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Turn Up The Heat

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Bet Me

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Golden Sands

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Forca Timao

8.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Run For The Sun

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Angel Mac

4.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Alfie Boy

4.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bet Me Top Rated	80	82	59
Forca Timao	77	86	49
Golden Sands	76	84	59
Turn Up The Heat	75	87	81
Hartswood	73	86	80
Marsh Benham	72	86	67
Equion	68	86	74
Run For The Sun	68	85	64
Angel Mac	63	82	62
Alfie Boy	60	84	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marsh Benham	11d ago	Quick return
Angel Mac	11d ago	Quick return
Equion	13d ago	Quick return
Alfie Boy	21d ago	Fit
Golden Sands	26d ago	Fit
Hartswood	28d ago	Fit
Bet Me	33d ago	Fit
Forca Timao	45d ago	Fit
Run For The Sun	83d ago	Fresh
Turn Up The Heat	100d ago	Long break