Empentis - Supporting Equine Staff Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Redcar

15:05

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 1m2f1y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	No Retreat Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	130	—	32	-	94	86	70d	—	—	-27	25	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Beaten at odds-on in both races but should have won the latest at Windsor
9 (8)	Lasting Love Bay J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	J:P J McDonald T:Andrew Balding	125	h	-36722	80	93	93	29d	—	—	+1	23.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
This less taxing surface might help her and her form claims are much respected
5 (2)	Java Raja Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
125,000gns yearling; brother to Ontario (Group-placed 1m 2yo; RPR 109); interesting
1 (7)	Sir Edward Lear Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	135	—	1	-	73	63	63d	—	—	+3	12.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Winning debut at Ripon; likely to need more here if he's to defy a penalty
7 (4)	Tazima Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ralph Beckett	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	7	-	71	-	14d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Smartly bred but he was a weak 25-1 chance at Kempton and never figured
4 (1)	Didaar Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Ismail Mohammed	130	v	82640	79	88	81	38d	—	—	+7	9.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has beaten just one rival in two handicaps and doesn't look progressive
3 (6)	Breakwater Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	130	—	4-	-	74	-	355d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Nice debut at Kempton last November but his second run has been a long time coming
2 (9)	Dark Agent Grey J:Ben Robinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ben Robinson T:Rebecca Menzies	134	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Cost £85,000 as a 2yo but this is a very belated debut at the age of six
8 (5)	Haafapenny Bay J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	J:Jason Hart T:Mark Walford	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Half-sister to winners Haafaguinea (6f-1m4f; RPR 112) and Netley Marsh (6f 2yo; 70)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
No Retreat	4/6	4/6	4/6	8/13	4/6
Lasting Love	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Java Raja	15/2	13/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Sir Edward Lear	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Tazima	16/1	16/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Didaar	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Breakwater	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Dark Agent	200/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	150/1
Haafapenny	200/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

No Retreat

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 17.9

4/6

2nd

Lasting Love

23.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.1 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Sir Edward Lear

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Didaar

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Java Raja

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Tazima

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Breakwater

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Haafapenny

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Dark Agent

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lasting Love	80	93	93
Didaar	79	88	81
No Retreat	—	94	86
Java Raja	—	—	—
Sir Edward Lear	—	73	63
Tazima	—	71	—
Breakwater	—	74	—
Dark Agent	—	—	—
Haafapenny	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tazima	14d ago	Fit
Lasting Love	29d ago	Fit
Didaar	38d ago	Fit
Sir Edward Lear	63d ago	Fresh
No Retreat	70d ago	Fresh
Breakwater	355d ago	Long break
Java Raja	—	—
Dark Agent	—	—
Haafapenny	—	—