Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 2m 26.08s (slow by 7.18s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Apache Canyon (IRE) Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham	11/1	Won
2nd	Reyaadah Star (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	7/2J	0.2
3rd	Belcamo (GB) Hector Crouch · Alex Hales	17/2	3.5
4th	Beat The Clock (GB) Luke Morris · David Simcock	7/2J	0.3
5th	Versatile (IRE) William Carson · Michael Attwater	5/1	1.25
6th	Kokinelli (FR) Liam Wright · Hugo Palmer	9/2	0.05
7th	Mystical Maria (GB) Billy Garritty · Richard Fahey	13/2	1.25

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	Beat The Clock Bay J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	130	—	5-3733	65	80	65	28d	—	—	-8	8.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Better for the step up to 1m4f at Wolverhampton a month ago; effort boosted since; player
2 (1)	Reyaadah Star Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	134	p	432327	69	81	65	27d	—	—	-2	17.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Hasn't always looked the easiest; will want to settle better round here back up in trip
6 (3)	Kokinelli Grey J:Liam Wright(5) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Hugo Palmer	130	h	834843	65	82	64	19d	—	—	-4	11.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Fared better upped to 1m4f on her AW (Polytrack) debut earlier in the month; shortlisted
3 (2)	Versatile Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	132	—	575843	67	80	48	33d	—	—	-3	11.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Found his level since upped to this trip on Polytrack; Kempton third reads well enough
4 (6)	Mystical Maria Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	131	—	359010	66	73	-	16d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't build on Carlisle win last time; needs to improve for this stiffest test to date
1 (5)	Belcamo Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Alex Hales	J:Hector Crouch T:Alex Hales	137	h	-24341	72	80	43	129d	—	—	+10	21.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Propensity to pull hard is a concern back from a break but he's respected for his new yard
7 (4)	Apache Canyon Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	124	—	568335	59	81	75	9d	—	—	+1	7.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Will want to settle better now going beyond an extended 1m1f for the first time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Beat The Clock	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Reyaadah Star	3/1	7/2	16/5	10/3	3/1
Kokinelli	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Versatile	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2
Mystical Maria	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Belcamo	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	7/1
Apache Canyon	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Belcamo

21.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

2nd

Reyaadah Star

17.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Mystical Maria

14.3

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Kokinelli

11.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Versatile

11.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Beat The Clock

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Apache Canyon

7.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Belcamo	72	80	43
Reyaadah Star	69	81	65
Versatile	67	80	48
Mystical Maria	66	73	—
Beat The Clock	65	80	65
Kokinelli	65	82	64
Apache Canyon	59	81	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Apache Canyon	9d ago	Quick return
Mystical Maria	16d ago	Fit
Kokinelli	19d ago	Fit
Reyaadah Star	27d ago	Fit
Beat The Clock	28d ago	Fit
Versatile	33d ago	Fit
Belcamo	129d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.