Betfair Exchange Beacons Fillies' Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:00

Betfair Exchange Beacons Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-10-31

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Arabian Rose Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	132	t	005	63	67	53	108d	—	—	-18	12.6	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Well related; has undergone wind surgery; this is more realistic in weak handicap company
1 (1)	New Heights Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	142	p	589557	70	76	-	40d	—	—	-7	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Struggled this year, coming 9lb down the weights; needs a revival back from six weeks off
2 (6)	Lokana Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:David O'Meara	J:Kieran Shoemark T:David O'Meara	139	h	377632	70	77	-	45d	—	—	+1	16.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
On a competitive mark now and goes on the shortlist off the back of two placed efforts
7 (5)	Saved Lizzie Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Robert Eddery	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Robert Eddery	127	—	6755	55	72	48	19d	—	—	-9	5.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Hard to know what to make of latest run here but that gave something to build on down 2lb
3 (7)	Arenas Del Tiempo b/br J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Luke Morris T:Jim & Suzi Best	137	v	30-270	65	76	58	19d	—	—	-3	6.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Lacks consistency now and a lot will hinge on how she responds to the first-time visor
5 (8)	Liberty Mountain Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Barry Brennan	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Barry Brennan	135	p	675853	63	75	55	3d	—	—	+1	8.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Wins for Joseph Parr both came on the AW in October; well held on heavy going on Monday
4 (2)	Go Wild Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	p	83210	66	73	52	26d	—	—	+10	16.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Hung right throughout on her handicap debut (7f, Tapeta) last time; now tried in headgear
8 (3)	Disquietude Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:John Butler	J:Joey Haynes T:John Butler	118	—	000078	49	49	25	9d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Beaten a long way in six runs; is readily opposed unless there's good support this time

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Arabian Rose	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4
New Heights	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Lokana	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Saved Lizzie	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2
Arenas Del Tiempo	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	17/2
Liberty Mountain	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Go Wild	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Disquietude	100/1	100/1	100/1	66/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lokana

16.8

OR: 5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.7

4/1

2nd

Go Wild

16.1

OR: 4 Form: 10.4 Odds: 1.7

12/1

3rd

Arabian Rose

12.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

15/8

New Heights

9.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Liberty Mountain

8.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Arenas Del Tiempo

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Saved Lizzie

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Disquietude

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
New Heights	70	76	—
Lokana	70	77	—
Go Wild	66	73	52
Arenas Del Tiempo	65	76	58
Arabian Rose	63	67	53
Liberty Mountain	63	75	55
Saved Lizzie	55	72	48
Disquietude	49	49	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Liberty Mountain	3d ago	Quick return
Disquietude	9d ago	Quick return
Saved Lizzie	19d ago	Fit
Arenas Del Tiempo	19d ago	Fit
Go Wild	26d ago	Fit
New Heights	40d ago	Fit
Lokana	45d ago	Fit
Arabian Rose	108d ago	Long break