Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:15

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 41.05s (slow by 3.35s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Stratocracy (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Kevin Frost	11/1	Won
2nd	Triggerman (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · Julie Camacho	13/8F	0.1
3rd	Jalaybee (GB) Zak Wheatley · Declan Carroll	100/30	1.5
4th	Midnight Drive (FR) John Fahy · Clive Cox	7/2	.75
5th	Game Management (GB) Tom Eaves · Kevin Ryan	4/1	2.5
6th	Red Scotch (GB) Sean D Bowen · Michael Appleby	33/1	1.25
7th	Nevernay (IRE) Andrea Pinna · Kevin Frost	40/1	1

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Triggerman Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	135	p	662341	68	79	51	35d	—	—	-3	26.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Off the mark upped to 1m here five weeks ago; should make another bold bid
1 (3)	Midnight Drive Bay J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	J:John Fahy T:Clive Cox	136	—	411345	69	82	67	22d	—	—	-4	17.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Two Kempton wins in the spring; recent efforts offer hope she'll have a big part to play
6 (6)	Game Management Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	125	p	585185	58	81	60	28d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Game winner of 1m h'cap at Newcastle last month; not quite so good since; other pace here
5 (2)	Jalaybee Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	128	—	057231	61	77	66	23d	—	—	+5	22.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark over C&D three weeks ago; 3lb higher in better race but unexposed at the trip
4 (4)	Stratocracy Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	133	p	965145	66	79	53	37d	—	—	+2	11.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
1m turf win in August but not built on it twice since; more to prove on AW; headgear on
3 (5)	Nevernay Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	135	—	59U936	68	74	42	117d	—	—	+4	6.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Two fair handicap runs for R Hannon over 6f; sold for 1,000gns last month and gelded
7 (1)	Red Scotch Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Michael Appleby	123	p	356097	56	80	60	16d	—	—	-1	2.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Tailed off in three turf handicaps since June; headgear on now returning to AW

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Triggerman	2/1	2/1	15/8	7/4	7/4
Midnight Drive	5/2	3/1	11/4	11/4	5/2
Game Management	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Jalaybee	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Stratocracy	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Nevernay	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Red Scotch	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Triggerman

26.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 13 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Jalaybee

22.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Midnight Drive

17.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Stratocracy

11.7

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Game Management

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Nevernay

6.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.7 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Red Scotch

2.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Midnight Drive	69	82	67
Triggerman	68	79	51
Nevernay	68	74	42
Stratocracy	66	79	53
Jalaybee	61	77	66
Game Management	58	81	60
Red Scotch	56	80	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Red Scotch	16d ago	Fit
Midnight Drive	22d ago	Fit
Jalaybee	23d ago	Fit
Game Management	28d ago	Fit
Triggerman	35d ago	Fit
Stratocracy	37d ago	Fit
Nevernay	117d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.