BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:25

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-11-02

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,988

Winning Time 1m 38.46s (slow by 0.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sardinian Warrior (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · John & Thady Gosden	4/7F	Won
2nd	Silver Sword (GB) G Cheyne · Dylan Cunha	5/1	4
3rd	Kalamunda (GB) Luke Morris · Joseph Parr	8/1	.5
3rd	Storm Star (GB) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	7/1	0
5th	Savvy Victory (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · S Woods	33/1	2.25
6th	Padishakh (FR) David Nolan · David O'Meara	28/1	9.5

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Sardinian Warrior Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	2-11	97	115	90	28d	—	—	-21	35.3	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Makes his handicap debut after easily winning two C&D novices; still unexposed
5 (4)	Kalamunda Bay J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	121	—	-80111	86	114	93	31d	—	—	+21	35	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5-5 on the AW and shouldn't be underestimated despite a 6lb higher mark and rise in class
6 (1)	Storm Star Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	119	—	143233	86	110	97	49d	—	—	+10	20.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent on turf/AW since his winning debut at Newcastle in May; shouldn't be far away
3 (2)	Silver Sword Grey J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	J:G Cheyne T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	887002	95	113	66	10d	—	—	+8	19.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
C&D winner who just lost out at Kempton last time; even more will be required to win this
4 (3)	Padishakh Brown J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	t	074209	93	113	-	14d	—	—	+11	14.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Only just beaten off this mark at Ayr in September, but this looks a warm AW debut
1 (6)	Savvy Victory Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	J:Daniel Muscutt T:S Woods	138	p	425676	103	114	-	21d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Faces some progressive types on this return to a handicap on the AW; cheekpieces on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sardinian Warrior	8/15	4/7	4/7	1/2	8/15
Kalamunda	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Storm Star	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Silver Sword	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Padishakh	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Savvy Victory	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sardinian Warrior

35.3

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Kalamunda

OR: 9 Form: 22 Odds: 4

13/2

3rd

Storm Star

20.6

OR: 9 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Silver Sword

19.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Savvy Victory

OR: 13.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Padishakh

14.2

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Savvy Victory	103	114	—
Sardinian Warrior	97	115	90
Silver Sword	95	113	66
Padishakh	93	113	—
Kalamunda	86	114	93
Storm Star	86	110	97

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Silver Sword	10d ago	Quick return
Padishakh	14d ago	Fit
Savvy Victory	21d ago	Fit
Sardinian Warrior	28d ago	Fit
Kalamunda	31d ago	Fit
Storm Star	49d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.