Graham, Pam & Jo Birthday Celebration Cumberland Handicap Chase

Carlisle

15:23

Date 2024-11-03

Distance 3m2f34y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £18,211

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Brandy McQueen Bay J:Bruce Lynn T:Gary Rutherford	J:Bruce Lynn T:Gary Rutherford	142	—	7-6682	109	142	111	28d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-4	23.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
2lb out of the weights but well handicapped anyway and returned to form latest
3	Snipe Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	—	2127-2	125	143	95	17d	—	—	+10	29.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Closely matched with Wasdell Dundalk on recent 3m clash here; he was keeping on
1	Iron Bridge Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	169	—	P23P8-	136	142	111	197d	—	—	+15	26.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Should welcome this drop in class but lacking a run might not be ideal
5	Universal Folly Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	155	—	P-5531	122	137	122	28d	—	—	+10	21.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recent Kelso winner and has shown he can cope with this 6lb higher mark in the past
7	Val Dancer Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	154	p	11133-	121	142	129	202d	—	—	+27	35.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Progressed last season and can deal with this mark; appears to stay all day
2	Your Own Story Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	163	—	6/22-2	130	137	114	183d	—	—	+20	27.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Strong stayer; has earned himself this career-high mark and if revved up he'll go well
4	Wasdell Dundalk Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:Lisa Harrison	J:Danny McMenamin T:Lisa Harrison	156	—	736141	123	138	124	17d	—	—	+29	35.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Recent 3m winner here and he was runner-up to Houston Texas in this last year
8	Jet Legs Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Martin Todhunter	J:Theo Gillard T:Martin Todhunter	153	—	12123-	120	138	126	210d	—	—	+28	34.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Course winner over 3m on heavy; could have a part to play if ready for business
9	Flower Of Scotland Grey J:Jamie Hamilton T:Sandy Thomson	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Sandy Thomson	144	—	/P84P-	111	131	98	197d	—	—	+13	16.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Pulled up in this on last season's return and that was a sign of things to come
NR	Houston Texas Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	J:Sean Quinlan T:Nicky Richards	155	—	P5345-	122	137	129	191d	—	—	—	19.2	—	—
Has won the last two renewals of this race after even longer breaks; would like it softer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Brandy McQueen	9/4	2/1	9/4	2/1	5/2
Snipe	3/1	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1
Iron Bridge	6/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Universal Folly	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Val Dancer	10/1	17/2	9/1	8/1	9/1
Your Own Story	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Wasdell Dundalk	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Jet Legs	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Flower Of Scotland	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Houston Texas	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wasdell Dundalk

35.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

2nd

Val Dancer

35.2

OR: 17.8 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Jet Legs

34.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 15 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Snipe

29.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Your Own Story

27.1

OR: 20 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Iron Bridge

26.2

OR: 21.5 Form: 1.7 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Brandy McQueen

23.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Universal Folly

21.1

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Houston Texas

19.2

OR: 18 Form: 1.2 Odds: 0

—

Flower Of Scotland

16.2

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Iron Bridge	136	142	111
Your Own Story	130	137	114
Snipe	125	143	95
Wasdell Dundalk	123	138	124
Universal Folly	122	137	122
Houston Texas	122	137	129
Val Dancer	121	142	129
Jet Legs	120	138	126
Flower Of Scotland	111	131	98
Brandy McQueen	109	142	111

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Snipe	17d ago	Fit
Wasdell Dundalk	17d ago	Fit
Brandy McQueen	28d ago	Fit
Universal Folly	28d ago	Fit
Your Own Story	183d ago	Long break
Houston Texas	191d ago	Long break
Iron Bridge	197d ago	Long break
Flower Of Scotland	197d ago	Long break
Val Dancer	202d ago	Long break
Jet Legs	210d ago	Long break