Christmas At Plumpton Novices' Handicap Chase – Plumpton

Plumpton

1:28

Christmas At Plumpton Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-11-04

Distance 2m3f164y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,255

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Ballinoulart b/br J:Finn Lambert(3) T:David Dennis	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:David Dennis	142	p	467P43	74	108	92	21d	—	—	-7	14.9	3/1 25%
0-13 over fences but in the frame several times, most recently three weeks ago; considered
5	One Last Glance b J:Robert Dunne T:Tom Gretton	J:Robert Dunne T:Tom Gretton	158	t	3C23-1	90	106	95	16d	—	—	+4	26.7	3/1 25%
Won heavy-ground hurdle last month but today's quicker conditions are probably not ideal
1	Theonlywayiswessex b/br J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	168	—	5-3143	100	106	90	32d	—	—	-1	18.2	7/2 22%
Won comfortably at Stratford in June and was placed off this mark at Southwell last month
4	Nadim b J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	J:Mr Robbie David(7) T:Daisy Hitchins	161	tp	330636	93	99	80	8d	—	—	+6	16.5	10/1 9%
Placed on last month's stable/chase debut but well held since; not one to rely upon
2	I Shut That d'Or b J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	163	t	P3-P70	95	104	-	13d	—	—	+4	14.1	9/1 10%
Regressive 6yo who has poor completion record over fences; others look much less risky
3	Kalkas b J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	162	p	P462-3	94	106	100	172d	—	—	+6	17.1	7/1 13%
0-11 over fences but has claims if judged on Fontwell second in April; back from a break
6	Clondaw Robin ch J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Andy Irvine	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Andy Irvine	142	—	32F43-	74	105	85	221d	—	—	+8	11.2	33/1 3%
Unlucky not to win here in January but is 0-25 over fences and has fitness to prove today
8	Design Flaw b J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Cynthia Woods	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Cynthia Woods	142	p	3P-588	74	-	-	57d	—	—	+5	6.2	200/1 0%
Ex-Irish maiden; 12lb wrong for handicap debut; difficult to enthuse over

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ballinoulart	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	3/1
One Last Glance	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4	3/1
Theonlywayiswessex	7/2	3/1	16/5	7/2	7/2
Nadim	10/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
I Shut That d'Or	15/2	9/1	9/1	8/1	8/1
Kalkas	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Clondaw Robin	33/1	22/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Design Flaw	100/1	125/1	125/1	200/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One Last Glance

26.7

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Theonlywayiswessex

18.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Kalkas

17.1

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Nadim

16.5

OR: 10.8 Form: 2.7 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Ballinoulart

14.9

OR: 6 Form: 2.3 Odds: 6.7

3/1

I Shut That d'Or

14.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Clondaw Robin

11.2

OR: 6 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Design Flaw

6.2

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Theonlywayiswessex Top Rated	100	106	90
I Shut That d'Or	95	104	—
Kalkas	94	106	100
Nadim	93	99	80
One Last Glance	90	106	95
Ballinoulart	74	108	92
Clondaw Robin	74	105	85
Design Flaw	74	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nadim	8d ago	Quick return
I Shut That d'Or	13d ago	Quick return
One Last Glance	16d ago	Fit
Ballinoulart	21d ago	Fit
Theonlywayiswessex	32d ago	Fit
Design Flaw	57d ago	Fresh
Kalkas	172d ago	Long break
Clondaw Robin	221d ago	Long break