Trustatrader Fully Vetted Tradespeople Handicap Chase

Warwick

16:10

Date 2024-11-05

Distance 3m1f100y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Touchwoodexpress Chestnut J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Tom Bellamy T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	160	—	36-491	90	106	84	28d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Impressed on chase debut and has the scope and potential to deal with the extra 7lb
6	Jony Max Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	156	t	009872	86	103	76	19d	—	—	-3	21.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Back to form when second at Wincanton but the blinkers tried there are now left off
2	Felton Bellevue Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	165	tp	2314-4	95	106	99	20d	—	—	0	15.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ran no more than okay on his comeback run at Worcester; likes softer ground
3	My Bad Lucy Bay J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	J:James Davies T:Nick Gifford	162	—	41/6P-	92	103	77	205d	—	—	+5	12.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Poor the last twice after lengthy breaks and hard to weigh up right now
9	Saxon Queen Bay J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	146	p	222-76	76	105	39	19d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
3m2f hurdle winner; didn't jump that well when behind Jony Max on recent chase debut
1	Marettimo Bay J:Harry Kimber T:Bill Turner	J:Harry Kimber T:Bill Turner	168	—	/32-4P	98	103	64	20d	—	—	+8	13.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Only recently returned from a long absence and the signs are that he's regressed
8	Eightytwo Team Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Clare Ellam	J:Brendan Powell T:Clare Ellam	146	tp	-3342P	76	103	92	43d	—	—	+7	11.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
A good run at Market Rasen and excuses came to light after disappointing at Sedgefield
4	Twilight Glory Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	161	tp	P116P-	91	103	84	195d	—	—	+14	17.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Current mark, 5lb above his last win, could be challenging and he lacks a run
10	Raindance Queen Bay J:James Best T:William de Best-Turner	J:James Best T:William de Best-Turner	145	—	70-P00	75	-	-	120d	—	—	+5	6.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Back on correct mark for her second chase but hurdling career was forgettable
7	Even Break Bay J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	153	—	60/7-P	83	-	-	100d	—	—	+7	8.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Goes chasing after wind surgery but had no worthwhile form in maiden hurdles

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Touchwoodexpress	7/4	7/4	15/8
Jony Max	5/2	9/4	5/2
Felton Bellevue	6/1	11/2	11/2
My Bad Lucy	11/1	10/1	10/1
Saxon Queen	12/1	12/1	12/1
Marettimo	16/1	14/1	14/1
Eightytwo Team	16/1	16/1	18/1
Twilight Glory	25/1	18/1	22/1
Raindance Queen	40/1	33/1	40/1
Even Break	100/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jony Max

21.3

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Touchwoodexpress

18.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

3rd

Twilight Glory

17.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 6.2 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Felton Bellevue

15.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Marettimo

13.6

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

My Bad Lucy

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Eightytwo Team

11.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Even Break

8.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Saxon Queen

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Raindance Queen

6.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marettimo	98	103	64
Felton Bellevue	95	106	99
My Bad Lucy	92	103	77
Twilight Glory	91	103	84
Touchwoodexpress	90	106	84
Jony Max	86	103	76
Even Break	83	—	—
Saxon Queen	76	105	39
Eightytwo Team	76	103	92
Raindance Queen	75	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jony Max	19d ago	Fit
Saxon Queen	19d ago	Fit
Felton Bellevue	20d ago	Fit
Marettimo	20d ago	Fit
Touchwoodexpress	28d ago	Fit
Eightytwo Team	43d ago	Fit
Even Break	100d ago	Long break
Raindance Queen	120d ago	Long break
Twilight Glory	195d ago	Long break
My Bad Lucy	205d ago	Long break