Bet @racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

14:18

Bet @racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2024-11-06

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (13)	River Alwen Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	J:Georgia Dobie T:Craig Benton	132	b	486955	50	64	56	20d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Patchy for this yard back from a spell in Hong Kong; this trip is a bare minimum now
11 (3)	Sold The Dream Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	128	b	0-8705	48	61	58	26d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Better in blinkers behind Cherry Hill over C&D latest; that gave something to build on
1 (4)	The Spotlight Kid Bay J:David Egan T:Dean Ivory	J:David Egan T:Dean Ivory	135	p	394574	53	66	-	22d	—	—	-11	5.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Never looked like justifying support latest; has it to prove now back to cheekpieces
10 (14)	Cherry Hill Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Finley Marsh T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	131	—	347552	51	62	59	26d	—	—	-6	9.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Returned to form over C&D last time, when only picked off late; shortlisted
9 (11)	Cobh Harbour Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	132	—	345338	50	64	57	13d	—	—	-4	6.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Narrowly beaten by United Force at Chelmsford; claims on that if Wolverhampton is ignored
3 (6)	United Force Bay J:Luke Morris T:Clare Hobson	J:Luke Morris T:Clare Hobson	133	—	016901	51	64	56	27d	—	—	+7	14.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Popped up for him at 25-1 at Chelmsford last month; far from certain to back that up
2 (5)	Ocean Odyssey Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Liam Keniry T:Gary & Josh Moore	134	—	-78099	54	58	6	20d	—	—	-5	3.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Started handicap life on an unrealistic mark and has struggled badly (7f-1m3f); outsider
4 (10)	Dourado Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	132	v	9-9520	50	63	53	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Into the veteran stage now and inconsistent but he's capable of popping up
14 (9)	Mr Tibbs Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	125	p	-34400	45	64	45	44d	—	—	-2	1.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair handicap debut early in the year but has struggled since; yard also runs Cobh Harbour
8 (8)	Ultimate Sapphire Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Joe Tickle	132	—	7080	52	53	15	23d	—	—	-1	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hasn't shown enough in any of his four starts to be considered
12 (7)	Infantryman Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Pat Murphy	J:Rob Hornby T:Pat Murphy	128	p	00990	46	49	-	62d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Poor in three bumpers/four Flat starts; cheekpieces will need to make quite a difference
6 (2)	Reel Power Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Paddy Butler	132	v	4124-0	50	56	-	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Poor debut, after more than a year off, for his new yard a month ago (1m2f, good to soft)
13 (1)	Rainbow Mirage Chestnut J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Lycett	J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Lycett	127	b	695830	45	62	55	29d	—	—	+1	2.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Seven-time winner for Mark Rimell who's regressed for two yards since
7 (12)	Desiderata Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Ryan Potter	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Ryan Potter	132	t	850	50	59	-	51d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
This is more realistic in a first-time tongue-tie but he has little to recommend him

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
River Alwen	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Sold The Dream	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
The Spotlight Kid	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Cherry Hill	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Cobh Harbour	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
United Force	11/1	12/1	11/1	14/1	9/1
Ocean Odyssey	16/1	12/1	12/1	9/1	11/1
Dourado	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	18/1
Mr Tibbs	22/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Ultimate Sapphire	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Infantryman	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Reel Power	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Rainbow Mirage	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	40/1
Desiderata	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

United Force

14.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 12 Odds: 2.1

14/1

2nd

Cherry Hill

9.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Cobh Harbour

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.9

8/1

River Alwen

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

The Spotlight Kid

5.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Sold The Dream

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Ocean Odyssey

3.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Rainbow Mirage

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mr Tibbs

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Dourado

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Ultimate Sapphire

1.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Infantryman

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Reel Power

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Desiderata

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ocean Odyssey	54	58	6
The Spotlight Kid	53	66	—
Ultimate Sapphire	52	53	15
Cherry Hill	51	62	59
United Force	51	64	56
River Alwen	50	64	56
Cobh Harbour	50	64	57
Dourado	50	63	53
Reel Power	50	56	—
Desiderata	50	59	—
Sold The Dream	48	61	58
Infantryman	46	49	—
Mr Tibbs	45	64	45
Rainbow Mirage	45	62	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cobh Harbour	13d ago	Quick return
Dourado	16d ago	Fit
River Alwen	20d ago	Fit
Ocean Odyssey	20d ago	Fit
The Spotlight Kid	22d ago	Fit
Ultimate Sapphire	23d ago	Fit
Sold The Dream	26d ago	Fit
Cherry Hill	26d ago	Fit
United Force	27d ago	Fit
Reel Power	29d ago	Fit
Rainbow Mirage	29d ago	Fit
Mr Tibbs	44d ago	Fit
Desiderata	51d ago	Fresh
Infantryman	62d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.