Chelmsford (AW)

16:30

Betfair EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (Which Have Not Run More Than 3 Times) (GBB Race)

Date 2024-11-09
Distance 7f
Class Class 4
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £5,400

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (13)
Royal Alliance
Bay
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
J:Billy Loughnane
T:George Boughey
137 41
-
90
52
25d -5
16.2
0.75/1
3/1
25%
Big improvement when justifying support at Newcastle and he's respected under a penalty
2 (2)
Akrramm
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
130 6
-
83
-
101d -17
7.3
0.75/1
3/1
25%
Not beaten far on his Sandown debut in July and looks a likely improver on return
6 (7)
Elements Of Fire
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
130
-
-
-
-16
6.7
0.88/1
7/2
22%
320,000gns yearling; yard 28% with 2yos here in recent years and needs close look on debut
3 (6)
Beccali
Bay
J:Dougie Costello
T:Charlie Appleby
J:Dougie Costello
T:Charlie Appleby
130 77
-
80
-
92d -8
3.3
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Well-held seventh when favourite in both runs during the summer and been gelded since
5 (10)
Breakdancer
Bay
J:Ross Coakley
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Ross Coakley
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
130
-
-
-
-8
3.1
1.88/1
15/2
12%
450,000euros yearling; interesting newcomer and he needs watching in market
10 (11)
Raafedd
Bay
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
J:Cieren Fallon
T:William Haggas
130
-
-
-
-5
1.7
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Plenty to like on paper and yard has been in scintillating form this month
7 (4)
Estmrar
Bay
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Harry Davies
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
130
-
-
-
-5
1.7
4.00/1
16/1
6%
$120,000 2yo; one of two newcomers for the Crisfords and market should be informative
13 (5)
Dance In The Storm
Bay
J:Callum Hutchinson
T:Andrew Balding
J:Callum Hutchinson
T:Andrew Balding
125
-
-
-
-2
0.7
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Half-sister to six winners; looks the part on paper and she's an interesting debutante
4 (3)
Boubyan
Bay
J:William Carver(3)
T:Andrew Balding
J:William Carver(3)
T:Andrew Balding
130 76
-
81
45
64d -2
0.6
12.50/1
50/1
2%
Some promise in both runs so far and he's open to more progress after a short break
11 (12)
Unknown Journey
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Paul Attwater
J:Finley Marsh
T:Paul Attwater
130 646
68
65
46
50d 0W/0P 1 run +4
4.8
31.25/1
125/1
1%
Some ability in two runs for Peter Chapple-Hyam but he struggled on stable debut latest
8 (1)
Hymnbook
Bay
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:S Woods
J:Ben Sanderson(3)
T:S Woods
130
-
-
-
-1
0.3
25.00/1
100/1
1%
Has speed and stamina in pedigree and market should guide on debut
12 (14)
West Wickham
Roan
J:Darragh Keenan
T:George Scott
J:Darragh Keenan
T:George Scott
130 70
-
71
35
5d -1
0.2
50.00/1
200/1
0%
Well held in two runs at Southwell this autumn and has lots to find on this drop in trip
NR (9)
Keble Spirit
Bay
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Kieran O'Neill
T:John & Thady Gosden
130 56
-
80
-
35d
0
One of two runners for the Gosdens and he needs improvement back in trip
NR (8)
Wilhelmina
Chestnut
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Kevin Philippart De Foy
125 26
-
89
-
29d
3.5
Runner-up at Kempton and ran respectably from tough draw at Newmarket latest; in the mix
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Royal Alliance
3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 11/4
Akrramm
3/1 3/1 3/1 11/4 3/1
Elements Of Fire
10/3 7/2 10/3 10/3 3/1
Beccali
7/1 7/1 7/1 13/2 7/1
Breakdancer
15/2 7/1 15/2 15/2 15/2
Raafedd
12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Estmrar
16/1 14/1 16/1 16/1 16/1
Dance In The Storm
33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Boubyan
50/1 50/1 50/1 40/1 50/1
Unknown Journey
100/1 80/1 100/1 80/1 125/1
Hymnbook
100/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 100/1
West Wickham
125/1 100/1 125/1 125/1 200/1
Keble Spirit
- - - - -
Wilhelmina
- - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Royal Alliance
16.2
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2
3/1
2nd Akrramm
7.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3
3/1
3rd Elements Of Fire
6.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7
7/2
4 Unknown Journey
4.8
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125/1
5 Wilhelmina
3.5
OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
6 Beccali
3.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
7/1
7 Breakdancer
3.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
15/2
8 Raafedd
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
12/1
9 Estmrar
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
16/1
10 Dance In The Storm
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
33/1
11 Boubyan
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
50/1
12 Hymnbook
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
100/1
13 West Wickham
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
200/1
14 Keble Spirit
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Unknown Journey
68
65
46
Royal Alliance
90
52
Akrramm
83
Elements Of Fire
Beccali
80
Breakdancer
Raafedd
Estmrar
Dance In The Storm
Boubyan
81
45
Hymnbook
West Wickham
71
35
Keble Spirit
80
Wilhelmina
89

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
West Wickham 5d ago Quick return
Royal Alliance 25d ago Fit
Wilhelmina 29d ago Fit
Keble Spirit 35d ago Fit
Unknown Journey 50d ago Fresh
Boubyan 64d ago Fresh
Beccali 92d ago Long break
Akrramm 101d ago Long break
Elements Of Fire
Breakdancer
Raafedd
Estmrar
Dance In The Storm
Hymnbook