63rd Badger Beer Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Wincanton

15:30

Date 2024-11-09

Distance 3m1f30y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £47,552

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	The Changing Man Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	144	t	2U442-	130	160	130	238d	—	—	+10	32.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Interesting second-season chaser and potentially the best handicapped of these
9	Lord Accord Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	142	tp	6-4311	128	161	145	23d	—	—	+4	26.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Runner-up two years ago off 8lb higher and he's won his last two impressively
3	Forward Plan Brown J:Ben Godfrey T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Ben Godfrey T:Anthony Honeyball	152	t	61213-	138	158	143	210d	—	—	+26	42.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
6th last year but consistent afterwards in strong staying chases; has a big run in him
7	Mofasa Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	144	t	2155P-	130	151	133	203d	—	—	+14	25.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
A winner off this mark and still unexposed as a chaser; trainer targets this race
5	Riskintheground Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	148	t	115133	134	155	144	14d	—	—	+29	34.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Had a productive campaign already and the handicapper may now have his measure
8	Lord Baddesley b/br J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	143	t	7274-V	129	160	142	183d	—	—	+15	21.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Interesting new addition to the Honeyball yard but has stamina to prove over this far
10	Gustavian Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Anthony Honeyball	142	t	6U343-	128	160	138	215d	—	—	+19	25.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Prone to mistakes but potentially dangerous off this mark if getting into a rhythm
2	Remastered Chestnut J:Tom Bellamy T:David Pipe	J:Tom Bellamy T:David Pipe	159	t	/7PP-1	145	158	126	13d	—	—	+30	35.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Up 5lb for narrow win here 13 days ago; not sure to be as effective again
1	Al Dancer Grey J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sam Thomas	J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sam Thomas	168	tp	13327-	154	157	132	196d	—	—	+31	34.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Close to best on occasions last season and he's mustard when fresh; hard to dismiss
4	The Big Breakaway Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Anthony Charlton	J:Ben Jones T:Anthony Charlton	149	—	5PP66-	135	157	117	272d	—	—	+19	22.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Became hard to predict for the Tizzards and softer ground would be preferred

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
The Changing Man	3/1	11/4	3/1
Lord Accord	11/4	5/2	11/4
Forward Plan	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mofasa	7/1	6/1	7/1
Riskintheground	16/1	14/1	16/1
Lord Baddesley	16/1	16/1	16/1
Gustavian	16/1	14/1	16/1
Remastered	16/1	14/1	14/1
Al Dancer	25/1	25/1	25/1
The Big Breakaway	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Forward Plan

42.2

OR: 22 Form: 15.5 Odds: 4.7

11/2

2nd

Remastered

35.4

OR: 23.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Al Dancer

34.9

OR: 26 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1

25/1

Riskintheground

34.8

OR: 21 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

The Changing Man

32.2

OR: 20 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Lord Accord

26.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Mofasa

25.8

OR: 20 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Gustavian

25.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

The Big Breakaway

22.2

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Lord Baddesley

21.5

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Dancer	154	157	132
Remastered	145	158	126
Forward Plan	138	158	143
The Big Breakaway	135	157	117
Riskintheground	134	155	144
The Changing Man	130	160	130
Mofasa	130	151	133
Lord Baddesley	129	160	142
Lord Accord	128	161	145
Gustavian	128	160	138

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Remastered	13d ago	Quick return
Riskintheground	14d ago	Fit
Lord Accord	23d ago	Fit
Lord Baddesley	183d ago	Long break
Al Dancer	196d ago	Long break
Mofasa	203d ago	Long break
Forward Plan	210d ago	Long break
Gustavian	215d ago	Long break
The Changing Man	238d ago	Long break
The Big Breakaway	272d ago	Long break