John Smithson 75th Birthday Mares' Handicap Chase (Queen Boudicca Mares' Chase Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

15:05

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 2m3f210y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,961

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Similar Story Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	168	—	525-21	104	111	96	16d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-13	26	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Won Irish point; winning chase debut over 2m7f at Kelso recently; has some potential
4	Jalisco Star Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Laura Horsfall	J:Kevin Brogan T:Laura Horsfall	163	t	331P-4	99	-	-	13d	—	—	+3	15.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Placed in Irish points; ready 2m7f hurdle winner in March; close 3rd latest; chase debut
2	Bolintlea Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	166	—	25-368	102	110	89	56d	—	—	+2	17.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won 3m chase in January 2023; bitty since and well held over fences and hurdles of late
8	Fiadh Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	143	p	P9-026	79	-	-	136d	—	—	-1	10.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Handy mark on chase debut; more moderate runs than good ones since hurdle win in Mar 2023
6	Divas Doyen Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Sandy Forster	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Sandy Forster	145	p	2P-248	81	111	101	16d	—	—	+2	10	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Maiden; runner-up 4 times over fences at up to 2m7f; relatively exposed now
3	Maimie's Magic Chestnut J:Sean Quinlan T:S R B Crawford	J:Sean Quinlan T:S R B Crawford	165	—	58437-	101	-	-	239d	—	—	+9	17	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two hurdle wins; stays 2m6f; below best in March; chase debut with tongue-tie left off
7	Darsi's Darling Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	144	—	/P-085	80	-	-	149d	—	—	+4	8.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has shown ability in bumper company and over hurdles; chasing could be more her game
5	Baby Chou Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	154	t	P-4074	90	93	46	—	—	—	+4	12.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won Irish point in March; something to prove on subsequent runs now back over fences

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Similar Story	6/5	5/4	6/5	11/10	6/5
Jalisco Star	7/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bolintlea	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	8/1
Fiadh	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Divas Doyen	10/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	9/1
Maimie's Magic	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Darsi's Darling	16/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Baby Chou	12/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Similar Story

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

2nd

Bolintlea

17.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

8/1

3rd

Maimie's Magic

OR: 12.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Jalisco Star

15.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Baby Chou

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Fiadh

10.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Divas Doyen

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Darsi's Darling

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Similar Story	104	111	96
Bolintlea	102	110	89
Maimie's Magic	101	—	—
Jalisco Star	99	—	—
Baby Chou	90	93	46
Divas Doyen	81	111	101
Darsi's Darling	80	—	—
Fiadh	79	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jalisco Star	13d ago	Quick return
Similar Story	16d ago	Fit
Divas Doyen	16d ago	Fit
Bolintlea	56d ago	Fresh
Fiadh	136d ago	Long break
Darsi's Darling	149d ago	Long break
Maimie's Magic	239d ago	Long break
Baby Chou	—	—