Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:45

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-11-11

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Beauzon Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	J:Charles Bishop T:Ian Williams	132	p	609007	54	64	49	16d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-17	9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Four wins in a row over C&D last winter but he's been out of sorts in last eight runs
2 (8)	My Genghis Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	134	b	745112	56	76	45	18d	—	—	+2	25.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Two wins (6f/5.3f) this autumn before good second in hat-trick bid here latest; key player
7 (6)	Captain Dandy Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	124	tv	707956	46	67	52	21d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Well treated on C&D win in April but he's struggled for current yard and has lots to prove
3 (4)	Outer Edge Bay J:David Probert T:Christopher Mason	J:David Probert T:Christopher Mason	133	p	248216	55	69	-	77d	—	—	+4	13.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
6f winner on penultimate run and he's not ruled out back up in trip on AW debut
6 (1)	Araifjan Chestnut J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Michael Herrington	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Michael Herrington	130	tp	578727	52	67	51	30d	—	—	-2	6.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Close second over C&D on penultimate run and has claims if he can recapture that form
5 (5)	Gherkin Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	131	b	544727	53	72	58	11d	—	—	-1	6.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
7yo who is not easy to predict and doesn't have a great record on Tapeta; others preferred
8 (9)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Grace Harris	J:Dylan Hogan T:Grace Harris	123	p	668650	45	70	55	18d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Only one win from 36 starts and he's been well held on AW in his last four runs (6f/7f)
9 (7)	Balmy Breese Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	123	b	-43668	45	69	42	233d	—	—	-1	1.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
15-race maiden who has been well held in last two runs and latest was in March; opposable
1 (2)	Baynoona Bay J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Sue Gardner	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Sue Gardner	135	—	-39887	57	59	-	21d	—	—	+2	2.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Tailed off in all four handicaps and has lots to prove on this return to sprinting

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Beauzon	2/1	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
My Genghis	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Captain Dandy	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Outer Edge	9/1	17/2	9/1	17/2	9/1
Araifjan	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Gherkin	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Revolucion	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Balmy Breese	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Baynoona	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Genghis

25.8

OR: 1.5 Form: 17 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Outer Edge

13.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Beauzon

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Araifjan

6.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Gherkin

6.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Captain Dandy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Baynoona

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Revolucion

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Balmy Breese

1.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Baynoona	57	59	—
My Genghis	56	76	45
Outer Edge	55	69	—
Beauzon	54	64	49
Gherkin	53	72	58
Araifjan	52	67	51
Captain Dandy	46	67	52
Revolucion	45	70	55
Balmy Breese	45	69	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gherkin	11d ago	Quick return
Beauzon	16d ago	Fit
My Genghis	18d ago	Fit
Revolucion	18d ago	Fit
Captain Dandy	21d ago	Fit
Baynoona	21d ago	Fit
Araifjan	30d ago	Fit
Outer Edge	77d ago	Fresh
Balmy Breese	233d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.