Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

16:30

Date 2024-11-13

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Winning Time 1m 28.95s (slow by 4.05s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sex On Fire (IRE) George Wood · Richard Spencer	11/10F	Won
2nd	Immediate Effect (GB) Rhys Clutterbuck · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	15/8	.75
3rd	Sahara Dancer (GB) Tom Eaves · Ollie Sangster	7/1	1
4th	Magna Gee Gee (IRE) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	66/1	1.25
5th	Silver Arrow (IRE) Adam Farragher · Amy Murphy	9/1	.5
6th	Squires Treaty (IRE) Connor Planas · D Donovan	200/1	.5
7th	I Can Imagine (IRE) Dylan Hogan · Jack Jones	17/2	1.75
8th	Quirke On Parole (GB) William Pyle · Mark Walford	250/1	1
9th	Eager Puccini (GB) Frederick Larson · Julia Feilden	100/1	2.25
10th	Jackchester (GB) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	150/1	2.75
11th	Penn Avenue (GB) Rob Hornby · Daniel & Claire Kubler	50/1	0.3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Sex On Fire Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	137	—	302705	85	90	-	66d	—	—	-16	22.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Course winner (5f) whose Haydock second in July sets the standard; new trip this afternoon
2 (6)	Immediate Effect Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	135	—	1	-	73	55	39d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Overcame adversity to make a winning debut at Wolverhampton (7f); form franked; contender
3 (11)	Sahara Dancer Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ollie Sangster	J:Tom Eaves T:Ollie Sangster	132	—	1400	78	89	66	39d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Highly tried in two runs for current yard; stamina for 7f has to be taken on trust
5 (2)	Silver Arrow Grey J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	J:Adam Farragher T:Amy Murphy	130	—	630	73	77	52	25d	—	—	-1	11.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Easily his best effort came in his one attempt on AW; even that needs bettering though
10 (3)	I Can Imagine Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	123	—	9452	75	86	71	23d	—	—	+3	14.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Showed promise for J O'Brien, including AW, prior to recent 25,000gns sale; not ruled out
4 (8)	Magna Gee Gee Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	130	—	57	-	73	46	11d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Second run was better than his debut but more improvement a must if he's to contend here
9 (9)	Penn Avenue Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Rob Hornby T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	125	—	89	-	56	28	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest form in two 7f runs last month; minor handicaps on her agenda soon
6 (10)	Eager Puccini Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Julia Feilden	128	—	—	-	60	24	20d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well held when 125-1 for a 1m maiden here three weeks ago
7 (1)	Jackchester Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Linda Perratt	128	—	—	-	52	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well beaten at Newcastle on debut (7f) but showed clear promise; longer-term prospect
8 (4)	Squires Treaty Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:D Donovan	J:Connor Planas(3) T:D Donovan	128	—	87	-	66	51	13d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Two runs last month not devoid of promise but significant progress is needed to win
11 (7)	Quirke On Parole Bay J:William Pyle(3) T:Mark Walford	J:William Pyle(3) T:Mark Walford	123	—	8	-	48	20	13d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
80-1 when a well-beaten 8th of 9 over C&D on her debut 13 days ago; longer-term prospect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sex On Fire	11/8	11/8	11/8	6/5	6/4
Immediate Effect	15/8	2/1	15/8	7/4	15/8
Sahara Dancer	7/1	15/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Silver Arrow	8/1	13/2	15/2	8/1	9/1
I Can Imagine	8/1	7/1	13/2	15/2	11/2
Magna Gee Gee	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Penn Avenue	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Eager Puccini	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
Jackchester	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Squires Treaty	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	200/1
Quirke On Parole	300/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sex On Fire

22.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 12.5

6/4

2nd

Immediate Effect

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

I Can Imagine

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Sahara Dancer

13.1

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Silver Arrow

11.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

9/1

Magna Gee Gee

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Penn Avenue

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Eager Puccini

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Jackchester

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Squires Treaty

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Quirke On Parole

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sex On Fire	85	90	—
Sahara Dancer	78	89	66
I Can Imagine	75	86	71
Silver Arrow	73	77	52
Immediate Effect	—	73	55
Magna Gee Gee	—	73	46
Penn Avenue	—	56	28
Eager Puccini	—	60	24
Jackchester	—	52	—
Squires Treaty	—	66	51
Quirke On Parole	—	48	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magna Gee Gee	11d ago	Quick return
Squires Treaty	13d ago	Quick return
Quirke On Parole	13d ago	Quick return
Eager Puccini	20d ago	Fit
Penn Avenue	21d ago	Fit
Jackchester	22d ago	Fit
I Can Imagine	23d ago	Fit
Silver Arrow	25d ago	Fit
Immediate Effect	39d ago	Fit
Sahara Dancer	39d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	66d ago	Fresh