Connolly's Red Mills Handicap Chase – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

14:35

Connolly's Red Mills Handicap Chase

Date 2024-11-20

Distance 2m3f83y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	One Last Glance Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:Tom Gretton	J:Fergus Gillard T:Tom Gretton	156	t	C23-13	88	108	76	16d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Back from break with two good efforts this autumn (hurdle/chase); can make presence felt
7	Supasunrise Bay J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	p	43-P25	88	107	82	32d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Second to very progressive rival two starts ago and again ran well on latest outing
1	Lermoos Legend Bay J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Shane Fenelon(5) T:Peter & Michael Bowen	175	p	333741	107	108	94	10d	—	—	+14	30.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Clearcut 2m course winner last week; should go well again under 7lb penalty
14	My Granny Lily Bay J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	J:David Noonan T:Nigel Hawke	143	p	1354-6	75	-	-	32d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Course winner over hurdles; fell in only previous chase; others have more pressing claims
3	Lelant Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	157	tp	-33668	89	107	89	29d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
15-race maiden who needs the addition of cheekpieces to give him a boost
2	Ileny Royale Bay J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	162	ht	/47P-6	94	92	78	41d	—	—	+6	13.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Shaped with promise before weakening on seasonal/chase debut; can improve
5	Bobbi's Beauty Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	156	h	721P4-	88	97	75	230d	—	—	+10	16.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Chase winner in February; absent since April but could still have untapped potential
11	Rock On Rita Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	148	p	/6685/	80	99	-	686d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Absent since three underwhelming chase runs in 2022-23 season but still worth market check
8	Higgs Bay J:James Turner(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:James Turner(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	154	b	2-112P	86	103	47	158d	—	—	+9	13.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Dual 3m chase winner in spring; off since poor run in June; others appeal more
9	Esperti Bay J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	J:Conor Ring T:David Rees	154	—	50P9P4	86	-	-	10d	—	—	+7	9.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well beaten in both chases this autumn and difficult to enthuse over
NR	Pep Talking Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	J:Kevin Brogan T:Billy Aprahamian	157	—	26-261	89	104	89	19d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
Came good for new stable at second attempt; now 2-6 over fences; may progress again
NR	Totowolfe Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	151	—	688-79	83	-	-	126d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
Unplaced all six hurdling starts; leap of faith needed to support him on chase debut
NR	Faitque de L'Isle Chestnut J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:James Evans	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:James Evans	148	—	/33P-6	80	106	105	32d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Ran well for long way on recent seasonal/stable debut; a possible if able to build on that
NR	Ceejaybe Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jo Davis	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jo Davis	143	t	265-9P	84	-	-	159d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
0-9 over hurdles, and was out of form when last seen in spring; chase debut today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
One Last Glance	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Supasunrise	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Lermoos Legend	7/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
My Granny Lily	6/1	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2
Lelant	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Ileny Royale	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Bobbi's Beauty	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rock On Rita	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Higgs	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Esperti	66/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	33/1
Pep Talking	-	-	-	-	-
Totowolfe	-	-	-	-	-
Ceejaybe	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lermoos Legend

30.8

OR: 14.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Bobbi's Beauty

16.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

One Last Glance

14.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Supasunrise

14.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Lelant

14.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Higgs

13.7

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ileny Royale

13.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

My Granny Lily

10.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Pep Talking

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Esperti

9.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Rock On Rita

8.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ceejaybe

8.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Totowolfe

8.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Faitque de L'Isle

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lermoos Legend	107	108	94
Ileny Royale	94	92	78
Lelant	89	107	89
Pep Talking	89	104	89
One Last Glance	88	108	76
Supasunrise	88	107	82
Bobbi's Beauty	88	97	75
Higgs	86	103	47
Esperti	86	—	—
Ceejaybe	84	—	—
Totowolfe	83	—	—
Rock On Rita	80	99	—
Faitque de L'Isle	80	106	105
My Granny Lily	75	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lermoos Legend	10d ago	Quick return
Esperti	10d ago	Quick return
One Last Glance	16d ago	Fit
Pep Talking	19d ago	Fit
Lelant	29d ago	Fit
Supasunrise	32d ago	Fit
My Granny Lily	32d ago	Fit
Faitque de L'Isle	32d ago	Fit
Ileny Royale	41d ago	Fit
Totowolfe	126d ago	Long break
Higgs	158d ago	Long break
Ceejaybe	159d ago	Long break
Bobbi's Beauty	230d ago	Long break
Rock On Rita	686d ago	Long break