Happy Valley

14:50

Fanling Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C) (Turf)

Date 2024-11-20
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £104,789

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Happy Fat Cat
Bay
J:TBC
T:W K Mo
J:
T:W K Mo
127 t 170057
67
89
-
21d
4.3
Did very well last season (four wins) but seemingly in the grip of the handicapper now
R14 (14)
Kyrus Dragon
Chestnut
J:TBC
T:D J Hall
J:
T:D J Hall
134 h 423211
74
84
-
35d
27.4
Led close home to win on seasonal debut and now bids to complete a hat-trick
1 (11)
Nearly Fine
Brown
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:C Fownes
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:C Fownes
135 t 984-88
75
94
-
21d
6.3
Made low-ley seasonal debut over 1m last month; runs in his first sprint since 2021
2 (3)
Young Emperor
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:David Eustace
J:L J Ferraris
T:David Eustace
134 t 2-211
74
101
-
24d 0W/1P 1 run
9.5
Ex-Irish 3yo who stayed on strongly to win readily over C&D on last month's HK debut
3 (2)
Eason
Chestnut
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:P F Yiu
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:P F Yiu
129 908083
69
95
-
35d
7.8
Close third over C&D on recent stable debut and remains well handicapped on older form
4 (10)
Gustosisimo
Chestnut
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:A S Cruz
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:A S Cruz
129 t 1-6924
69
88
-
21d
11.8
Safely held on both HK starts last season but has made the frame twice over C&D this term
5 (6)
Prawns Eleven
Chestnut
J:Harry Bentley
T:Mark Newnham
J:Harry Bentley
T:Mark Newnham
129 t 772782
69
88
-
35d
11.3
Second over C&D last month but is not one to rely upon heavily; others preferred
6 (1)
Denfield
Chestnut
J:James McDonald
T:C S Shum
J:James McDonald
T:C S Shum
126 t 475521
66
87
-
24d
17.5
Back up in grade after last month's comfortable C&D win but has the inside draw
7 (8)
Golden Empire
Bay
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
J:C Y Ho
T:K W Lui
126 b 260675
66
96
-
42d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
4
Began season with three respectable runs but his overall record is very mixed
8 (9)
Romantic Son
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:David A Hayes
J:Zac Purton
T:David A Hayes
126 p 12
66
90
-
24d
16
Lost out only to late thrust from Young Emperor on last month's Hong Kong debut
9 (4)
Beauty Infinity
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:J Size
J:Hugh Bowman
T:J Size
125 246085
65
93
-
21d
3.8
Sound effort when fifth over C&D last month but more progressive rivals appeal more
10 (5)
Sovereign Fund
Chestnut
J:Ben E Thompson
T:C W Chang
J:Ben E Thompson
T:C W Chang
123 b 270490
63
85
-
17d 0W/0P 1 run 0W/0P 1 run
3.3
Twice soundly beaten since big-odds third over C&D in September
11 (7)
Our Lucky Glory
Chestnut
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:W Y So
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:W Y So
122 t 114084
62
88
-
35d 0W/1P 1 run
5
Ran well on seasonal debut but is likely to remain vulnerable at this level
12 (12)
Golden Luck
Bay
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K L Man
J:Lyle Hewitson
T:K L Man
120 t 806013
60
89
-
35d
12.5
Began season in very good form but moves up in grade today and has very tough draw

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Kyrus Dragon
27.4
OR: 6 Form: 21.4 Odds: 0
2nd Denfield
17.5
OR: 4 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0
3rd Romantic Son
16
OR: 4 Form: 12 Odds: 0
4 Golden Luck
12.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0
5 Gustosisimo
11.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0
6 Prawns Eleven
11.3
OR: 4.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0
7 Young Emperor
9.5
OR: 6 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
8 Eason
7.8
OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0
9 Nearly Fine
6.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Our Lucky Glory
5
OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 0
11 Happy Fat Cat
4.3
OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Golden Empire
4
OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Beauty Infinity
3.8
OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Sovereign Fund
3.3
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Nearly Fine
75
94
Kyrus Dragon
74
84
Young Emperor
74
101
Eason
69
95
Gustosisimo
69
88
Prawns Eleven
69
88
Happy Fat Cat
67
89
Denfield
66
87
Golden Empire
66
96
Romantic Son
66
90
Beauty Infinity
65
93
Sovereign Fund
63
85
Our Lucky Glory
62
88
Golden Luck
60
89

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Sovereign Fund 17d ago Fit
Happy Fat Cat 21d ago Fit
Nearly Fine 21d ago Fit
Gustosisimo 21d ago Fit
Beauty Infinity 21d ago Fit
Young Emperor 24d ago Fit
Denfield 24d ago Fit
Romantic Son 24d ago Fit
Kyrus Dragon 35d ago Fit
Eason 35d ago Fit
Prawns Eleven 35d ago Fit
Our Lucky Glory 35d ago Fit
Golden Luck 35d ago Fit
Golden Empire 42d ago Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.