Know Your Limits With BetUK Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:38

Know Your Limits With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Winning Time 2m 7.52s (slow by 6.22s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Crafter (IRE) Mason Paetel · Mark Loughnane	5/1	Won
2nd	Mc'ted (GB) Alice Bond · Joseph Parr	28/1	1.25
3rd	Solanna (GB) Daniel Muscutt · John Butler	3/1F	0.3
4th	Curtiz (GB) Rob Hornby · Hughie Morrison	13/2	1
5th	Renesmee (GB) Sean Levey · Alice Haynes	4/1	.5
6th	Mykonos St John (GB) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	12/1	0.2
7th	Meet Me In Meraki (GB) Jordan Williams · David Evans	17/2	1.75
8th	Fibonacci Sequence (IRE) Liam Wright · George Scott	33/1	1
9th	Celebrating Ethel (IRE) William Carson · Tony Carroll	22/1	1.25
10th	Johnjay (GB) Joe Leavy · Roger Teal	15/2	.75
11th	Apache Canyon (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Michael Wigham	18/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (6)	Solanna Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:John Butler	131	—	932375	60	77	58	17d	—	—	-9	12.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner; out of the frame when well punted over 1m last time; watch market
1 (8)	Renesmee Bay J:Sean Levey T:Alice Haynes	J:Sean Levey T:Alice Haynes	136	p	522142	65	75	68	14d	—	—	+5	21	1.13/1	9/2 18%
First and second in two starts at Class 6 level on the AW; shortlisted
8 (2)	Johnjay Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	132	—	276433	61	75	44	17d	—	—	-1	11.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Running with credit of late, but still to fully convince over this far
10 (11)	Curtiz Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	131	—	857722	60	76	50	40d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D winner who finished runner-up on return from five months off last time; form boosted
4 (7)	Crafter Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	631652	62	78	61	8d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+2	15.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Both wins at Wolverhampton, but 2lb well in after narrow defeat over C&D eight days ago
12 (5)	Meet Me In Meraki Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	130	—	331522	62	76	-	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	18.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Running consistently well on turf since the spring, but unplaced in all eight starts on AW
6 (4)	Apache Canyon Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Wigham	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Wigham	132	—	833517	64	74	64	14d	—	—	+7	13.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Contrasting efforts in his last two starts at Southwell; not quite sure what to expect
5 (1)	Celebrating Ethel Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	132	—	450345	61	76	59	8d	—	—	0	6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Not disgraced in her last three starts, but is just 1-21; others are more compelling
9 (12)	Mykonos St John Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	131	v	164157	60	73	60	6d	—	—	+5	8.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
7-36 on the AW including a win over C&D; has more to recommend him than some
2 (3)	Mc'ted Bay J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Joseph Parr	133	p	941105	62	76	58	14d	—	—	+8	12	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Four wins this year under Alice Bond including two on the AW; not dismissed
3 (10)	Fibonacci Sequence Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	J:Liam Wright(5) T:George Scott	133	b	4188	65	72	56	14d	—	—	+7	9.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well held in both handicaps; blinkers will need to make a big difference
NR (9)	Blue Collar Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	132	tv	249509	64	77	-	20d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
0-12; new headgear combination given a go on AW debut and he needs to improve for it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Solanna	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	4/1
Renesmee	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Johnjay	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Curtiz	6/1	7/1	13/2	6/1	11/2
Crafter	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	7/1
Meet Me In Meraki	7/1	8/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Apache Canyon	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	10/1
Celebrating Ethel	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Mykonos St John	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Mc'ted	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	20/1
Fibonacci Sequence	50/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Blue Collar	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Renesmee

OR: 3.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Meet Me In Meraki

18.2

OR: 3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 3.1

8/1

3rd

Crafter

15.2

OR: 3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Curtiz

14.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Apache Canyon

13.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Solanna

12.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Mc'ted

OR: 3 Form: 8 Odds: 1

28/1

Johnjay

11.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Fibonacci Sequence

9.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Mykonos St John

8.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Celebrating Ethel

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Blue Collar

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Renesmee	65	75	68
Fibonacci Sequence	65	72	56
Apache Canyon	64	74	64
Blue Collar	64	77	—
Crafter	62	78	61
Meet Me In Meraki	62	76	—
Mc'ted	62	76	58
Johnjay	61	75	44
Celebrating Ethel	61	76	59
Solanna	60	77	58
Curtiz	60	76	50
Mykonos St John	60	73	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mykonos St John	6d ago	Quick return
Crafter	8d ago	Quick return
Celebrating Ethel	8d ago	Quick return
Renesmee	14d ago	Fit
Apache Canyon	14d ago	Fit
Mc'ted	14d ago	Fit
Fibonacci Sequence	14d ago	Fit
Solanna	17d ago	Fit
Johnjay	17d ago	Fit
Blue Collar	20d ago	Fit
Meet Me In Meraki	21d ago	Fit
Curtiz	40d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.