Newcastle (AW)

6:40

Know Your Limits With BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-11-23
Distance 1m5y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,716

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
10 (7)
Stella Hogan
ch
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Alistair Rawlinson
T:Michael Appleby
128 243685
54
76
67
2d -21
12.5
13/8
38%
Fair fifth when favourite on stable debut at Wolverhampton on Thursday (8.5f); more needed
5 (5)
Mambha
b
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Michael Dods
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Michael Dods
134 b 842915
62
73
47
7d -1
16.5
9/2
18%
C&D winner last month; never involved latest; capable of another win; headgear switch
7 (3)
Callianassa
b
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
132 896868
60
73
66
40d -9
6.9
5/1
17%
0-16; well beaten over 5f/6f this year; has run over 7f, but tackles 1m for the first time
8 (4)
Buttercross Flyer
b
J:Mikkel Mortensen(5)
T:Scott Dixon
J:Mikkel Mortensen(5)
T:Scott Dixon
131 427032
59
76
64
8d +3
13.2
15/2
12%
Only win was over 7f here; in good form over 7f recently; stamina to prove back at 1m
2 (6)
Run For The Sun
b
J:Jason Hart
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Jason Hart
T:Ed Dunlop
135 5-3345
63
76
34
12d -3
5.8
9/1
10%
0-8; third in 1m handicaps in July/August, but well beaten last twice (over 1m2f latest)
9 (10)
Volcanology
b
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Joe Fanning
T:Charlie Johnston
129 573004
57
73
39
12d -2
4.6
12/1
8%
1m maiden winner last year; mixed form at up to 1m2f this term; each-way chance
11 (9)
Penny Ghent
gr
J:Luke Morris
T:Simon Whitaker
J:Luke Morris
T:Simon Whitaker
122 b 639042
48
69
-
18d +2
7
20/1
5%
0-14; placed on soft over 7f/1m with blinkers on last two starts; a possible on AW debut
3 (2)
Vixey
b
J:Tom Eaves
T:Simon West
J:Tom Eaves
T:Simon West
135 -70686
61
74
32
17d 0
3.7
28/1
3%
Fair form at 7f in 2023; not so good this term but better last time; stamina to prove
6 (1)
Fire And Rain
b
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:John Butler
132 766
60
65
22
38d 0
3.3
33/1
3%
Modest efforts so far, the latest on the AW; improvement likely now going handicapping
1 (8)
Deauville
b
J:David Nolan
T:Iain Jardine
J:David Nolan
T:Iain Jardine
138 14-389
64
63
15
12d +2
3.9
66/1
1%
Dual 1m4f winner in France; modest efforts from 1m-1m4f for this yard; hard to fancy
NR (11)
Grovely Belle
b
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque
135 t 4739
63
-
-
22d
5.4
Good third in 7f novice in September; well beaten on h'cap debut; this is easier; chance
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Stella Hogan
6/4 11/8 13/8 13/8 6/4
Mambha
9/2 9/2 9/2 4/1 9/2
Callianassa
5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
Buttercross Flyer
15/2 15/2 7/1 15/2 7/1
Run For The Sun
9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1
Volcanology
12/1 11/1 12/1 11/1 11/1
Penny Ghent
20/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 16/1
Vixey
28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 25/1
Fire And Rain
33/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 25/1
Deauville
66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1
Grovely Belle
- - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Mambha
16.5
OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5
9/2
2nd Buttercross Flyer
13.2
OR: 2.3 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.9
15/2
3rd Stella Hogan
12.5
OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 10.6
13/8
4 Penny Ghent
7
OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4
20/1
5 Callianassa
6.9
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
5/1
6 Run For The Sun
5.8
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
7 Grovely Belle
5.4
OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
8 Volcanology
4.6
OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.9
12/1
9 Deauville
3.9
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
66/1
10 Vixey
3.7
OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28/1
11 Fire And Rain
3.3
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Deauville Top Rated
64
63
15
Run For The Sun
63
76
34
Grovely Belle
63
Mambha
62
73
47
Vixey
61
74
32
Callianassa
60
73
66
Fire And Rain
60
65
22
Buttercross Flyer
59
76
64
Volcanology
57
73
39
Stella Hogan
54
76
67
Penny Ghent
48
69

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Stella Hogan 2d ago Quick return
Mambha 7d ago Quick return
Buttercross Flyer 8d ago Quick return
Run For The Sun 12d ago Quick return
Volcanology 12d ago Quick return
Deauville 12d ago Quick return
Vixey 17d ago Fit
Penny Ghent 18d ago Fit
Grovely Belle 22d ago Fit
Fire And Rain 38d ago Fit
Callianassa 40d ago Fit