Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

14:18

Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap

Date 2024-11-27

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Mehman Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Chris Hayes T:Gerard O'Leary	142	b	374653	75	76	68	12d	—	—	-5	15	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Three-time 5f winner at this venue, stayed on for third over 6f latest, worth considering
2 (5)	Shoot To Kill Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:Stephen Thorne	J:Donagh O'Connor T:Stephen Thorne	142	p	092601	75	79	62	14d	—	—	+5	23.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Useful AW performer, won over C&D two weeks ago, 8lb rise for a 3/4l margin seems harsh
14 (1)	Nikki Swango Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	135	—	000002	69	79	61	7d	—	—	+1	13.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Looked a shade unlucky when beaten a head here last week, up 4lb but holds definite chance
11 (11)	Little Empire Bay J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony McCann	J:Luke McAteer T:Anthony McCann	137	—	152U02	70	79	69	47d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Bounced back to form with second placing over C&D last month, can make his presence felt
4 (16)	Clarita Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	141	tb	066297	75	76	46	26d	—	—	+1	11.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won over C&D at two, pick of this year's form when second over 1m at Listowel festival
12 (6)	Blanc De Noir Bay J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:J P Murtagh	136	b	008118	69	78	50	14d	—	—	+11	19.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Took advantage of a reduced mark to record two 6f wins before unplaced over C&D on latest
9 (2)	Skontonovski Bay J:Aisling McGuinness(10) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Aisling McGuinness(10) T:Adrian McGuinness	138	v	441381	71	80	51	28d	—	—	+16	21.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Gained seventh course win on latest, 4lb higher now, should not left out of calculations
7 (9)	Port Louis Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	139	—	-90300	73	81	26	19d	—	—	+3	9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Good effort at Fairyhouse in May, no impact in two outings this month after break
13 (4)	Clonmacash Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	136	b	670978	70	72	46	12d	—	—	+2	6.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
6f course winner last year, stable appears to have a much better chance with Nikki Swango
10 (8)	Star Mind Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Declan McDonogh T:Gerard O'Leary	138	—	682270	72	77	60	70d	—	—	+5	11.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two AW wins in Britain, below best on final two starts so best watched on Irish debut
6 (7)	Catherine Chroi Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:Ms Claire O'Connell	J:James Ryan(3) T:Ms Claire O'Connell	139	b	202520	72	76	61	24d	—	—	+8	11.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Nine-time winner including five on AW, has been a 6f specialist but gets this trip
5 (14)	New Definition Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Richard John O'Brien	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Richard John O'Brien	141	b	000609	74	75	9	72d	—	—	+4	6.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has slumped in the ratings, needs first-time blinkers to work in order to bring a revival
3 (12)	Brains Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	141	—	313096	74	79	-	105d	—	—	+8	9.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
13 wins, 11 on AW, won on turf in May, below best last three starts including in a claimer
8 (10)	Rampage Bay J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:T G McCourt	J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:T G McCourt	139	—	550120	72	75	40	26d	—	—	+12	14.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won over 1m here in September, in rear on latest, plenty to prove on a rare 7f attempt
NR (13)	Ivasecret Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Cian Collins	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Cian Collins	134	—	614765	67	73	64	12d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
First reserve, six-time AW winner, not far off Mehman when fifth over 6f here 12 days ago
NR (17)	The Bear Trap Bay J:TBC T:John Geoghegan	J: T:John Geoghegan	133	v	285007	67	80	52	14d	—	—	—	4.3	—	—
Second reserve, a 17-race maiden with fair placed form, mid-field over C&D two weeks ago
NR (15)	The Cola Brasil Chestnut J:TBC T:Michael J Browne	J: T:Michael J Browne	126	p	500016	59	79	72	7d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Third reserve, gained a first AW win over C&D last month, out of the money here last week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mehman	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Shoot To Kill	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Nikki Swango	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Little Empire	6/1	13/2	6/1	7/1	5/1
Clarita	15/2	15/2	13/2	8/1	13/2
Blanc De Noir	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	12/1
Skontonovski	14/1	12/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Port Louis	16/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	16/1
Clonmacash	22/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	25/1
Star Mind	14/1	12/1	22/1	12/1	33/1
Catherine Chroi	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
New Definition	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Brains	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Rampage	66/1	33/1	33/1	50/1	28/1
Ivasecret	-	-	-	-	-
The Bear Trap	-	-	-	-	-
The Cola Brasil	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shoot To Kill

23.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Skontonovski

21.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Blanc De Noir

19.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Mehman

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Rampage

14.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Little Empire

14.4

OR: 5 Form: 5.8 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Nikki Swango

13.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Clarita

11.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Catherine Chroi

11.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Star Mind

11.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.7

33/1

Brains

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.4

80/1

The Cola Brasil

9.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Port Louis

OR: 5.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

18/1

New Definition

6.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ivasecret

6.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Clonmacash

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

The Bear Trap

4.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mehman	75	76	68
Shoot To Kill	75	79	62
Clarita	75	76	46
New Definition	74	75	9
Brains	74	79	—
Port Louis	73	81	26
Star Mind	72	77	60
Catherine Chroi	72	76	61
Rampage	72	75	40
Skontonovski	71	80	51
Little Empire	70	79	69
Clonmacash	70	72	46
Nikki Swango	69	79	61
Blanc De Noir	69	78	50
Ivasecret	67	73	64
The Bear Trap	67	80	52
The Cola Brasil	59	79	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nikki Swango	7d ago	Quick return
The Cola Brasil	7d ago	Quick return
Mehman	12d ago	Quick return
Clonmacash	12d ago	Quick return
Ivasecret	12d ago	Quick return
Shoot To Kill	14d ago	Fit
Blanc De Noir	14d ago	Fit
The Bear Trap	14d ago	Fit
Port Louis	19d ago	Fit
Catherine Chroi	24d ago	Fit
Clarita	26d ago	Fit
Rampage	26d ago	Fit
Skontonovski	28d ago	Fit
Little Empire	47d ago	Fresh
Star Mind	70d ago	Fresh
New Definition	72d ago	Fresh
Brains	105d ago	Long break