Wye Valley Metals Novices' Handicap Chase – Hereford

Hereford

12:50

Wye Valley Metals Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-11-27

Distance 2m8y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (8)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Paddy In The Caddy ch J:Sean Houlihan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Sean Houlihan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	169	—	714-71	99	101	87	7d	—	—	-13	24	5/4 44%
Made all for clearcut success at Warwick a week ago; obvious contender under 7lb penalty
2	Iron d'Ex gr J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sheila Lewis	J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sheila Lewis	168	p	5PP-17	98	102	65	29d	—	—	+2	16	11/2 15%
Scored on last month's seasonal/chase debut but quickly back in the doldrums since
6	Smart Casual b J:Richie McLernon T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Richie McLernon T:Anthony Honeyball	153	t	24B2-3	83	-	-	204d	—	—	+3	14.6	6/1 14%
Placed twice off today's mark over hurdles in spring; makes chasing debut today
7	Wellwillya gr J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Helen Nelmes	148	—	65-PP1	78	100	84	36d	—	—	+1	9.2	9/1 10%
Pulled up twice over hurdles in May but caused 25-1 surprise on last month's chasing debut
8	The Big Man br J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	143	t	677-40	73	88	53	23d	—	—	-1	8.3	10/1 9%
Not yet fully exposed but was beaten just over 30l in his first two chases
4	Dunstall Rambler b J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Tom George	J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Tom George	163	h	F2-7U3	93	104	96	20d	—	—	+5	13	12/1 8%
Jumping has been an issue since he switched to chasing but the raw ability is there
5	Coup De Gold br J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	154	—	F39423	84	-	-	15d	—	—	+11	17.2	14/1 7%
Twice in the frame over hurdles this autumn but has left it late in the day to try chasing
3	Flamelco b J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Sarah Humphrey	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Sarah Humphrey	164	ht	255-F6	94	109	73	64d	—	—	+7	12.4	18/1 5%
Put in good front-running shift over 2m3f on stable debut; drops back in trip here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Paddy In The Caddy	5/4	5/4	5/4	6/5	5/4
Iron d'Ex	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Smart Casual	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Wellwillya	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
The Big Man	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dunstall Rambler	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Coup De Gold	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Flamelco	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Paddy In The Caddy

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

5/4

2nd

Coup De Gold

17.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Iron d'Ex

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Smart Casual

14.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Dunstall Rambler

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Flamelco

12.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Wellwillya

9.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

9/1

The Big Man

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Paddy In The Caddy Top Rated	99	101	87
Iron d'Ex	98	102	65
Flamelco	94	109	73
Dunstall Rambler	93	104	96
Coup De Gold	84	—	—
Smart Casual	83	—	—
Wellwillya	78	100	84
The Big Man	73	88	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paddy In The Caddy	7d ago	Quick return
Coup De Gold	15d ago	Fit
Dunstall Rambler	20d ago	Fit
The Big Man	23d ago	Fit
Iron d'Ex	29d ago	Fit
Wellwillya	36d ago	Fit
Flamelco	64d ago	Fresh
Smart Casual	204d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Wellwillya	Hold Up
The Big Man	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.