Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap

Dundalk (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-11-29

Distance 5f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Cross Border Bay J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty T:Gavin Cromwell	143	b	520852	66	70	41	7d	—	—	-8	18	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Narrow defeat last week; might prefer 6f but looks to have a favourite's chance here
6 (3)	Livingston Range Chestnut J:Sam Coen(7) T:R Donohoe	J:Sam Coen(7) T:R Donohoe	131	tb	004003	54	71	60	28d	—	—	-7	8.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid display when third in a 5f handicap here last time; not one to underestimate
7 (7)	Sam's Xpress Brown J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Jack Cleary(4) T:Kieran P Cotter	128	—	578406	51	72	65	28d	—	—	-8	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Disappointed when sent off favourite for a C&D handicap four weeks ago; others preferred
4 (11)	Senado Square Bay J:Cian Horgan(4) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(4) T:Andrew Slattery	134	—	727869	57	68	58	7d	—	—	-6	6.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Below his best on his last few starts over 5f and 6f; needs to find a spark from somewhere
9 (9)	Carrigans Grove Bay J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	126	—	9075	49	63	53	28d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Caught the eye in a 5f handicap here four weeks ago; could be a lot more to come from her
5 (4)	Realtin Fantasy Bay J:Wayne Hassett T:W P Browne	J:Wayne Hassett T:W P Browne	132	—	272345	55	69	56	16d	—	—	-3	6.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Barely gets this trip and probably needs an easy lead; likely to be run out of it
2 (8)	Half Nutz Chestnut J:Shay Wallace(7) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Shay Wallace(7) T:Adrian McGuinness	141	—	006003	64	74	-	169d	—	—	-1	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Close third in a 7f handicap at Leopardstown in June and not seen since; sharp trip here
3 (6)	Overdue Revival Brown J:Rory Mulligan(4) T:Patrick Martin	J:Rory Mulligan(4) T:Patrick Martin	138	—	84845	61	69	48	21d	—	—	-1	4.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Below her best over 5f three weeks ago; more needed on her handicap debut
10 (10)	Clarinbridge Bay J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:Leanne Breen	J:Patrick McGettigan(7) T:Leanne Breen	124	p	906839	47	71	40	42d	—	—	-1	3.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Followed a good Bellewstown run with an ordinary effort over C&D last month
11 (12)	Hezahunk Bay J:Jamie Powell T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Jamie Powell T:Adrian McGuinness	124	v	971389	47	67	52	23d	—	—	+2	5.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Struggled on his last two starts over 6f; some hope on his previous third over C&D
8 (2)	Ascendent Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(4) T:John C McConnell	J:Keithen Kennedy(4) T:John C McConnell	126	h	70-700	49	72	39	9d	—	—	-2	0.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Tried over 1m and 7f last twice; down in trip again and probably best watched at present
12 (5)	Quiet Affair Chestnut J:Nicola Burns(7) T:James M Barcoe	J:Nicola Burns(7) T:James M Barcoe	124	—	-58000	47	71	-	70d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Nothing to recommend in four Irish starts from 5f to 1m

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Cross Border	5/2	9/4	5/2
Livingston Range	4/1	9/2	9/2
Sam's Xpress	13/2	6/1	13/2
Senado Square	7/1	13/2	13/2
Carrigans Grove	7/1	7/1	7/1
Realtin Fantasy	8/1	8/1	17/2
Half Nutz	12/1	11/1	11/1
Overdue Revival	25/1	20/1	22/1
Clarinbridge	25/1	22/1	22/1
Hezahunk	25/1	20/1	22/1
Ascendent	66/1	50/1	66/1
Quiet Affair	150/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cross Border

OR: 4 Form: 6 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Half Nutz

9.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

12/1

3rd

Livingston Range

8.4

OR: 1 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Realtin Fantasy

6.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Senado Square

6.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Hezahunk

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Overdue Revival

4.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Sam's Xpress

3.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Carrigans Grove

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Clarinbridge

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

25/1

Ascendent

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Quiet Affair

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cross Border	66	70	41
Half Nutz	64	74	—
Overdue Revival	61	69	48
Senado Square	57	68	58
Realtin Fantasy	55	69	56
Livingston Range	54	71	60
Sam's Xpress	51	72	65
Carrigans Grove	49	63	53
Ascendent	49	72	39
Clarinbridge	47	71	40
Hezahunk	47	67	52
Quiet Affair	47	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cross Border	7d ago	Quick return
Senado Square	7d ago	Quick return
Ascendent	9d ago	Quick return
Realtin Fantasy	16d ago	Fit
Overdue Revival	21d ago	Fit
Hezahunk	23d ago	Fit
Livingston Range	28d ago	Fit
Sam's Xpress	28d ago	Fit
Carrigans Grove	28d ago	Fit
Clarinbridge	42d ago	Fit
Quiet Affair	70d ago	Fresh
Half Nutz	169d ago	Long break