Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle – Clonmel

Clonmel

12:05

Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-12-03

Distance 2m91y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Giant Haystacks br J:Tom Harney T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Tom Harney T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	55-034	103	106	97	16d	—	—	-19	29.5	5/6 55%
Can be rated a strong contender on the strength of fourth placing in a Naas handicap
14	Polly Poppins b J:Tiernan Power Roche T:Bernard Martin Crowley	J:Tiernan Power Roche T:Bernard Martin Crowley	159	h	584F	95	103	78	54d	—	—	0	15.7	5/1 17%
Leading but facing challenges when falling two out at Tramore, could make presence felt
2	Battle Roar b J:Paddy Hanlon T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Paddy Hanlon T:Ciaran Murphy	166	b	0-0640	89	92	79	24d	—	—	-2	14.8	15/2 12%
Tailed off over fences last time, previously ran well in a handicap off a modest rating
3	Couldntmakeitup b J:Peter Smithers T:J A Nash	J:Peter Smithers T:J A Nash	166	—	9656	-	85	50	11d	—	—	-5	1.7	18/1 5%
Jumping lacked fluency at Tipperary, finished 3 1/4l behind fifth-placed Couldntmakeitup
1	Ballinoe Blaze b J:Calum Hogan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Calum Hogan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	166	—	878	102	91	65	26d	—	—	+9	14.6	16/1 6%
Looks flattered by an official rating of 102 that gives him a realistic chance in theory
5	Marine Ranger b J:Conor Clarke T:P A Fahy	J:Conor Clarke T:P A Fahy	166	—	540	-	-	-	17d	—	—	-4	1.6	16/1 6%
Fair fifth at Listowel on the first of three bumper runs, has failed to build on that
8	Eve's Hope gr J:James Smith T:M O Quigley	J:James Smith T:M O Quigley	159	t	/7-058	-	102	77	30d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
Does not look good enough on the strength of maiden hurdle outings at Tramore and Cork
10	Glenmalure Flyer b/br J:Niall Moore T:David Peter Nagle	J:Niall Moore T:David Peter Nagle	159	t	0-9680	90	101	99	14d	—	—	+8	10.8	28/1 3%
Modest form for Henry de Bromhead, in rear in a handicap hurdle at Limerick two weeks ago
9	Finnicky Filly b/br J:Ethan O'Sullivan(2) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(2) T:John Patrick Ryan	159	—	-49P85	-	102	67	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	28/1 3%
Not a bad run when fifth at Tipperary, in front of Couldntmakeitup and Rorkes Drift
7	Rorkes Drift b J:Sean Cleary-Farrell T:Gerard Kelleher	J:Sean Cleary-Farrell T:Gerard Kelleher	166	—	5007	88	80	48	11d	—	—	+8	10.1	40/1 2%
88-rated gelding will need to show significant improvement to feature, makes no appeal
6	Mellem b J:Thomas O'Connor(4) T:Mark Fahey	J:Thomas O'Connor(4) T:Mark Fahey	166	—	5048	-	70	14	14d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Remote fourth at Naas, jumped poorly when down the field at Limerick, safe to rule out
12	Mountrivers Lass b J:John Kirwan(2) T:Robert Murphy	J:John Kirwan(2) T:Robert Murphy	159	—	P675-0	-	94	36	204d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Lacks a recent run, needs to improve on the form she showed in the first half of the year
11	Kathy Choice ch J:Anna McGuinness(2) T:James Daniel Dullea	J:Anna McGuinness(2) T:James Daniel Dullea	159	—	576/0-	-	-	-	568d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Ran four times in the first half of 2023, nothing to suggest she could feature on return
13	Only You Norah b J:Patrick M O'Brien T:Donal Commins	J:Patrick M O'Brien T:Donal Commins	159	—	8-678	-	83	16	5d	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Has struggled in four outings including maiden hurdles at this venue and Thurles

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Giant Haystacks	4/5	5/6	5/6	4/5	4/5
Polly Poppins	5/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Battle Roar	15/2	6/1	15/2	6/1	15/2
Couldntmakeitup	18/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Ballinoe Blaze	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Marine Ranger	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Eve's Hope	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Glenmalure Flyer	25/1	25/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Finnicky Filly	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Rorkes Drift	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Mellem	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Mountrivers Lass	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Kathy Choice	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Only You Norah	150/1	150/1	150/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Giant Haystacks

29.5

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 16.3

5/6

2nd

Polly Poppins

15.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Battle Roar

14.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

15/2

Ballinoe Blaze

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Glenmalure Flyer

10.8

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Rorkes Drift

10.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Couldntmakeitup

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

18/1

Marine Ranger

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Eve's Hope

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Finnicky Filly

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mellem

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Mountrivers Lass

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Kathy Choice

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Only You Norah

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Giant Haystacks Top Rated	103	106	97
Ballinoe Blaze	102	91	65
Polly Poppins	95	103	78
Glenmalure Flyer	90	101	99
Battle Roar	89	92	79
Rorkes Drift	88	80	48
Couldntmakeitup	—	85	50
Marine Ranger	—	—	—
Eve's Hope	—	102	77
Finnicky Filly	—	102	67
Mellem	—	70	14
Mountrivers Lass	—	94	36
Kathy Choice	—	—	—
Only You Norah	—	83	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Only You Norah	5d ago	Quick return
Couldntmakeitup	11d ago	Quick return
Finnicky Filly	11d ago	Quick return
Rorkes Drift	11d ago	Quick return
Glenmalure Flyer	14d ago	Fit
Mellem	14d ago	Fit
Giant Haystacks	16d ago	Fit
Marine Ranger	17d ago	Fit
Battle Roar	24d ago	Fit
Ballinoe Blaze	26d ago	Fit
Eve's Hope	30d ago	Fit
Polly Poppins	54d ago	Fresh
Mountrivers Lass	204d ago	Long break
Kathy Choice	568d ago	Long break