Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle – Southwell

Southwell

3:15

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-12-03

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7	Skiffle Man b J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	tp	65-8	90	102	61	61d	—	—	-8	18	5/2 29%
Well beaten in 3 novice hurdles; may fare better with headgear up in trip on h'cap debut
1	Let's Sail Away b J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	168	—	154-5	100	95	81	35d	—	—	+1	17.2	5/1 17%
UK point winner; fair form over hurdles; interesting up in trip on handicap debut; player
3	Glimpse Of Glory b J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	166	—	32-277	98	99	44	35d	—	—	-1	17.4	9/2 18%
Placed in 2 juvenile events and 2nd on h'cap debut but not at his best last twice
13	Well Done Dani b J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	150	p	57P132	82	101	83	21d	—	—	+13	22.2	17/2 11%
Has won 3 over hurdles, latest in September; good 2nd latest; acts on good to soft; chance
2	Star Legend b J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	J:Mr Alex Chadwick(5) T:James Owen	167	p	3-2245	99	103	101	21d	—	—	+9	16.6	10/1 9%
Maiden hurdle winner last November; some fair form since; poor run latest; bit to prove
11	Pacific b J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	151	—	5-7235	83	102	94	28d	—	—	+4	10	14/1 7%
Second in a Stratford novice in June; fair runs in two handicaps since; each-way chance
5	Kingoftheswingerz b J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	162	t	35P8-2	94	102	88	23d	—	—	+12	17.4	16/1 6%
0-7 over hurdles but good second at Ffos Las on reappearance; should come on for that
4	Aquitaine Boy b J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Ruth Jefferson	164	—	7/0F/1	96	103	76	210d	—	—	+18	22.7	16/1 6%
Won Southwell maiden hurdle in June (form sound); back up in trip; solid chance
6	Moor End b J:Connor Brace T:Emma-Jane Bishop	J:Connor Brace T:Emma-Jane Bishop	161	—	3F57-	93	97	80	222d	—	—	+8	11.9	25/1 4%
100-1 third in a bumper on debut; ordinary form over hurdles so far; probably best watched
16	Miss Applejack ch J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	142	tp	76785P	74	98	75	30d	—	—	+3	7.1	20/1 5%
Bumper winner; poor over hurdles; tongue-tie and cheekpieces now tried; 2lb out the h'cap
14	Parish Star b J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	145	p	P675-4	77	96	57	23d	—	—	+4	7.6	28/1 3%
12-race maiden; good run when back after wind op when 2nd last time; worth considering
15	Deal Em High ch J:Liam Harrison T:Debra Hamer	J:Liam Harrison T:Debra Hamer	142	tp	P-7830	74	97	75	54d	—	—	+4	6.7	33/1 3%
Inconsistent; good third with headgear at Bangor in September but poor run last time
9	Mr Mahler ch J:Nick Scholfield T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Nick Scholfield T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	156	—	66P0-0	88	101	86	213d	—	—	+8	10.1	40/1 2%
Point second in March 2022; not shown much since, including in 2 handicaps; hard to fancy
8	Military Tycoon b J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	157	p	974-9	89	85	38	32d	—	—	+9	10.1	66/1 1%
Ex-Hugo Palmer; 1m6f Flat winner; disappointing for this yard and plenty to prove
10	Pop The Question b J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Jacqueline Coward	J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Jacqueline Coward	154	t	P186P0	86	100	50	28d	—	—	+9	10.4	80/1 1%
Won maiden point in May and maiden hurdle in June; not done as well since; more needed
12	Montys Rock b J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Henry Hogarth	J:Charlie Maggs(7) T:Henry Hogarth	151	tp	/4-PP0	83	-	35	33d	—	—	+7	8.6	125/1 1%
Fair form in Ireland; not shown much in handicaps for new yard and best watched for now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Skiffle Man	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Let's Sail Away	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Glimpse Of Glory	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Well Done Dani	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Star Legend	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Pacific	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Kingoftheswingerz	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Aquitaine Boy	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Moor End	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Miss Applejack	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Parish Star	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Deal Em High	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mr Mahler	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Military Tycoon	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Pop The Question	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Montys Rock	125/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aquitaine Boy

22.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

16/1

2nd

Well Done Dani

22.2

OR: 8 Form: 11.7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

3rd

Skiffle Man

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Glimpse Of Glory

17.4

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Kingoftheswingerz

17.4

OR: 11 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Let's Sail Away

17.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Star Legend

16.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Moor End

11.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0.2 Odds: 1

25/1

Pop The Question

10.4

OR: 9 Form: 1 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Mr Mahler

10.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Military Tycoon

10.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Pacific

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Montys Rock

8.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Parish Star

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Miss Applejack

7.1

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Deal Em High

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Let's Sail Away Top Rated	100	95	81
Star Legend	99	103	101
Glimpse Of Glory	98	99	44
Aquitaine Boy	96	103	76
Kingoftheswingerz	94	102	88
Moor End	93	97	80
Skiffle Man	90	102	61
Military Tycoon	89	85	38
Mr Mahler	88	101	86
Pop The Question	86	100	50
Pacific	83	102	94
Montys Rock	83	—	35
Well Done Dani	82	101	83
Parish Star	77	96	57
Miss Applejack	74	98	75
Deal Em High	74	97	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Well Done Dani	21d ago	Fit
Star Legend	21d ago	Fit
Kingoftheswingerz	23d ago	Fit
Parish Star	23d ago	Fit
Pacific	28d ago	Fit
Pop The Question	28d ago	Fit
Miss Applejack	30d ago	Fit
Military Tycoon	32d ago	Fit
Montys Rock	33d ago	Fit
Let's Sail Away	35d ago	Fit
Glimpse Of Glory	35d ago	Fit
Deal Em High	54d ago	Fresh
Skiffle Man	61d ago	Fresh
Aquitaine Boy	210d ago	Long break
Mr Mahler	213d ago	Long break
Moor End	222d ago	Long break