Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

4:00

Irishinjuredjockeys.com Claiming Race

Date 2024-12-04

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2 (2)	Shoot To Kill b J:Donagh O'Connor T:Stephen Thorne	J:Donagh O'Connor T:Stephen Thorne	142	p	926013	75	80	65	7d	—	—	-3	26.1	2/1 33%
Unable to follow up under an 8lb penalty here last week but should go well again
4 (10)	Comfort Line gr J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	137	v	421525	71	75	61	12d	—	—	+1	17.5	9/2 18%
No chance with Sayifyouwill in a 1m claimer here; ran okay in a 1m2f handicap since
1 (11)	Sayifyouwill b J:Sean Davis T:Sean Davis	J:Sean Davis T:Sean Davis	142	—	284131	82	86	73	21d	—	—	+12	30.3	4/1 20%
Suited by the race conditions and the drop to 7f is not a problem; the one to beat
12 (1)	Nikki Swango ch J:Nathan Crosse T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Nathan Crosse T:Adrian McGuinness	127	—	000029	69	86	69	7d	—	—	-3	12.7	6/1 14%
Unlucky in a handicap last month before disappointing effort last week; not one to dismiss
5 (12)	Skontonovski b J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	137	v	413810	71	81	52	7d	—	—	+9	17.7	9/1 10%
Too keen early on over C&D last week; should do better this time
11 (13)	Rumbled Again b J:Sam Coen(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sam Coen(7) T:Gavin Cromwell	129	b	501639	60	77	58	7d	—	—	0	10.5	10/1 9%
Third to Sayifyouwill and Comfort Line last month; may get closer over this trip
6 (8)	Nezeeh b J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	135	p	134-08	80	85	-	313d	—	—	+5	8.6	22/1 4%
Rated 80 but its ability to run to that sort of mark would have to be questionable
9 (7)	Big Baby Bull ch J:Nicola Burns(7) T:John Patrick Hayes	J:Nicola Burns(7) T:John Patrick Hayes	129	tp	-00084	57	77	30	21d	—	—	-1	2.6	28/1 3%
Six-time winner but in decline, although did not run badly in a 1m claimer last month
8 (5)	Clonmacash b J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Rory Cleary T:Adrian McGuinness	133	b	709780	67	73	53	7d	—	—	+3	4.8	40/1 2%
Little to recommend so far for Ado McGuinness, including over C&D last week
7 (4)	Boomerang Bill b J:Shane Markey(10) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Shane Markey(10) T:Ross O'Sullivan	134	—	584085	45	57	22	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
Ran okay behind Sayifyouwill and Comfort Line last month but much more needed
3 (9)	Signor Ferrari b J:Leigh Roche T:P J F Murphy	J:Leigh Roche T:P J F Murphy	142	—	2P7168	66	71	24	21d	—	—	+8	8.9	150/1 1%
Won a 1m2f Fairyhouse claimer in July; second run for Pat Murphy and looks up against it
10 (3)	Dear Daphne b J:Mikey Sheehy T:R K Watson	J:Mikey Sheehy T:R K Watson	129	p	700300	64	78	14	40d	—	—	+4	5.3	150/1 1%
Good third in a 7f Cork handicap in September; failed to beat a rival in two starts since
13 (6)	The Expert b J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:T G McCourt	J:Sadhbh Tormey(10) T:T G McCourt	125	v	98380	48	66	23	188d	—	—	+1	1.7	200/1 0%
Tailed off in claimers the last twice in May; visor tried but hard to make a case for

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Shoot To Kill	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Comfort Line	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Sayifyouwill	4/1	4/1	4/1	10/3	4/1
Nikki Swango	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
Skontonovski	9/1	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2
Rumbled Again	17/2	8/1	9/1	8/1	10/1
Nezeeh	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Big Baby Bull	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Clonmacash	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Boomerang Bill	50/1	50/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Signor Ferrari	150/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	80/1
Dear Daphne	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
The Expert	200/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sayifyouwill

30.3

OR: 8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Shoot To Kill

26.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Skontonovski

17.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Comfort Line

17.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Nikki Swango

12.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Rumbled Again

10.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Signor Ferrari

8.9

OR: 4 Form: 4.7 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Nezeeh

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Dear Daphne

5.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Clonmacash

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Big Baby Bull

2.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

The Expert

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Boomerang Bill

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sayifyouwill Top Rated	82	86	73
Nezeeh	80	85	—
Shoot To Kill	75	80	65
Comfort Line	71	75	61
Skontonovski	71	81	52
Nikki Swango	69	86	69
Clonmacash	67	73	53
Signor Ferrari	66	71	24
Dear Daphne	64	78	14
Rumbled Again	60	77	58
Big Baby Bull	57	77	30
The Expert	48	66	23
Boomerang Bill	45	57	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shoot To Kill	7d ago	Quick return
Nikki Swango	7d ago	Quick return
Skontonovski	7d ago	Quick return
Rumbled Again	7d ago	Quick return
Clonmacash	7d ago	Quick return
Comfort Line	12d ago	Quick return
Sayifyouwill	21d ago	Fit
Big Baby Bull	21d ago	Fit
Boomerang Bill	21d ago	Fit
Signor Ferrari	21d ago	Fit
Dear Daphne	40d ago	Fit
The Expert	188d ago	Long break
Nezeeh	313d ago	Long break