Unibet Zero% Mission EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

4:10

Date 2024-12-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11 (4)	Thaisa b J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	128	—	3	-	87	46	28d	—	—	-21	14.4	6/4 40%
Promising debut here four weeks ago (1m); open to improvement and holds strong claims
1 (6)	Alfareqa ch J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	J:Jim Crowley T:Owen Burrows	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	7/2 22%
1,600,000gns yearling; first foal of a Group 1 winner; lots to like on paper
2 (5)	Arabian Leopard b J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Simcock	128	—	4	-	85	-	125d	—	—	-11	4.4	13/2 13%
Promising 4th in a useful 7f maiden at Goodwood in August; one of the likelier winners
12 (2)	The New Bay Pearl ch J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	10/1 9%
Has three winning siblings and her dam was an AW winner; betting should be a good guide
6 (8)	Dancing Colours b J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Appleby	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	4	-	75	67	35d	—	—	-6	2.2	10/1 9%
Found wanting for pace over C&D five weeks ago; can do better but such progress is a must
10 (11)	Sand Gazelle ch J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	16/1 6%
425,000gns yearling; dam winning half-sister to Arc heroine Bluestocking; newcomer of note
8 (1)	Lady Mariko b J:Hector Crouch T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Hector Crouch T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	4	-	80	49	16d	—	—	-3	1.2	18/1 5%
Promising debut when fourth of ten at Southwell last month; this will demand much more
4 (3)	Azaniya b J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	J:Richard Kingscote T:Owen Burrows	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	22/1 4%
Half-sister to 4 winners (including Group 3); one of two well-connected newcomers for yard
9 (10)	Mehmas Shy Angel b J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hughes	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	25/1 4%
Dam a Listed winner in Germany; yard's AW 2yos have an excellent strike-rate this year
14 (9)	Volcanic Dancer b J:Callum Hutchinson T:Brian Toomey	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Brian Toomey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Half-sister to a 6f AW winner and her dam was a Group 3 winner; worth a market check
7 (12)	Jindri b J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
68,000gns half-sister to three winners out of a 1m 2yo winner; other newcomers appeal more
5 (13)	Bella Bianca gr J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	J:Rob Hornby T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Half-sister to a fair winner out of a useful winning mare; perhaps a longer-term prospect
13 (7)	Trumptress ch J:Clifford Lee T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Clifford Lee T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
30,000gns half-sister to Group 2-placed Khunan; one of two newcomers for the yard
3 (14)	A Swan Song b J:Joey Haynes T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Joey Haynes T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	200/1 0%
Half-sister to a 1m1f-1m3f winner in Italy; drawn widest on debut and likely best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thaisa	11/8	11/8	6/4	11/8	6/4
Alfareqa	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Arabian Leopard	13/2	11/2	6/1	11/2	6/1
The New Bay Pearl	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Dancing Colours	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Sand Gazelle	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Lady Mariko	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Azaniya	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Mehmas Shy Angel	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Volcanic Dancer	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Jindri	150/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	80/1
Bella Bianca	100/1	150/1	150/1	125/1	125/1
Trumptress	100/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1
A Swan Song	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thaisa

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Alfareqa

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Arabian Leopard

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

13/2

The New Bay Pearl

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Dancing Colours

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Sand Gazelle

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lady Mariko

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Azaniya

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Mehmas Shy Angel

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Volcanic Dancer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Jindri

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Bella Bianca

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Trumptress

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

A Swan Song

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thaisa	—	87	46
Alfareqa	—	—	—
Arabian Leopard	—	85	—
The New Bay Pearl	—	—	—
Dancing Colours	—	75	67
Sand Gazelle	—	—	—
Lady Mariko	—	80	49
Azaniya	—	—	—
Mehmas Shy Angel	—	—	—
Volcanic Dancer	—	—	—
Jindri	—	—	—
Bella Bianca	—	—	—
Trumptress	—	—	—
A Swan Song	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lady Mariko	16d ago	Fit
Thaisa	28d ago	Fit
Dancing Colours	35d ago	Fit
Arabian Leopard	125d ago	Long break
Alfareqa	—	—
The New Bay Pearl	—	—
Sand Gazelle	—	—
Azaniya	—	—
Mehmas Shy Angel	—	—
Volcanic Dancer	—	—
Jindri	—	—
Bella Bianca	—	—
Trumptress	—	—
A Swan Song	—	—