William Hill Top Price Guarantee Maiden – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

19:30

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Maiden

Date 2024-12-06

Distance 1m2f150y

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €7,375

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (13)	Bloom Vega Bay J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	129	—	25583	75	85	33	21d	—	—	-8	18.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Produced a good run on AW debut when third in rated race latest; big chance on these terms
12 (7)	Liltia Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:W McCreery	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:W McCreery	129	—	633252	76	83	44	16d	—	—	+2	21.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Looks the standard-setter on overall form and sure to be bang there at the finish
4 (4)	Mythical Rock Brown J:Luke McAteer T:James M Barrett	J:Luke McAteer T:James M Barrett	134	—	622340	77	85	-	33d	—	—	-3	16.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has run some fine races in defeat; must enter the reckoning back in a maiden on AW debut
5 (1)	Sportingsilvermine Brown J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Nicola Burns(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	134	—	458473	74	80	75	9d	—	—	-1	13	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Plugged on well when third on first try over 1m4f; each-way claims back to preferable trip
9 (10)	Expelliarmus Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	9/397-	-	84	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Long absence to overcome; trainer does very well on the AW so a market watch is advised
3 (3)	Dahab Chestnut J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	134	—	652347	77	83	37	9d	—	—	+2	12.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Best efforts have been at 1m2f, including when fourth in C&D maiden on penultimate start
1 (2)	Disco Boy Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Sean Byrne	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Sean Byrne	136	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Third of six in Clonmel bumper last month; free-going sort has much to prove on AW debut
13 (9)	Miss Australie Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P O'Rourke	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:P O'Rourke	129	—	85	-	80	-	33d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Dam placed over 1m2f in France and is closely related to C&D Listed winner Hawke
6 (6)	Suil Awan Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:T J O'Mara	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:T J O'Mara	134	—	—	-	61	23	35d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Likely needed the run on debut but was slowly away and never a factor; best watched again
7 (5)	Woodlander Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	134	—	50	-	67	-	39d	—	—	-1	0.5	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Respectable run over 1m1f at Leopardstown on debut but failed to back that up at Galway
2 (12)	Ginnos Port Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:Patrick Martin	J:Robbie Colgan T:Patrick Martin	136	—	000-00	-	25	-	141d	—	—	-4	1.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Beaten out of sight in six starts for Coyle; readily passed over on first run for new yard
NR (11)	Aird Bay J:Shane Foley T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Shane Foley T:Henry De Bromhead	131	t	70-735	74	86	-	104d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Respectable fifth at the Curragh in August; worth considering in this sort of company
NR (8)	Coney Rose Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:Cian Hughes	J:James Ryan(3) T:Cian Hughes	129	—	80	-	54	16	35d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Well beaten in pair of 1m maidens, including around here; might be one for handicaps

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bloom Vega	9/4	3/1	5/2	9/4	2/1
Liltia	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1
Mythical Rock	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	10/3
Sportingsilvermine	13/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	5/1
Expelliarmus	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	15/2
Dahab	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	7/1
Disco Boy	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	16/1
Miss Australie	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	33/1
Suil Awan	100/1	150/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Woodlander	150/1	200/1	100/1	100/1	80/1
Ginnos Port	150/1	12/1	125/1	125/1	100/1
Aird	-	-	-	-	-
Coney Rose	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Liltia

21.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 9 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Bloom Vega

18.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 8

3/1

3rd

Mythical Rock

16.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 4 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Sportingsilvermine

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 4

13/2

Dahab

12.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Aird

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Expelliarmus

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Ginnos Port

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

150/1

Disco Boy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Miss Australie

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Woodlander

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

200/1

Suil Awan

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Coney Rose

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mythical Rock	77	85	—
Dahab	77	83	37
Liltia	76	83	44
Bloom Vega	75	85	33
Sportingsilvermine	74	80	75
Aird	74	86	—
Expelliarmus	—	84	—
Disco Boy	—	—	—
Miss Australie	—	80	—
Suil Awan	—	61	23
Woodlander	—	67	—
Ginnos Port	—	25	—
Coney Rose	—	54	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sportingsilvermine	9d ago	Quick return
Dahab	9d ago	Quick return
Liltia	16d ago	Fit
Bloom Vega	21d ago	Fit
Mythical Rock	33d ago	Fit
Miss Australie	33d ago	Fit
Suil Awan	35d ago	Fit
Coney Rose	35d ago	Fit
Woodlander	39d ago	Fit
Aird	104d ago	Long break
Ginnos Port	141d ago	Long break
Expelliarmus	—	—
Disco Boy	—	—