Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:20

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Date 2024-12-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,831

Winning Time 1m 12.77s (slow by 2.37s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Captain Vallo (IRE) Miss Pippa Brown · Phillip Makin	7/2	Won
2nd	Sirius White (IRE) Miss Ellie Mayo · L J Morgan	14/1	2.25
3rd	Fircombe Hall (GB) Mr Shay Halton · Philip Kirby	9/1	.5
4th	Voltaic (GB) Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	2/1F	3.25
5th	Oriental Prince (GB) Miss Megan Davies · Jim Goldie	11/2	0.05
6th	Hurstwood (GB) Mr Joshua Brown · Peter Niven	33/1	0.3
7th	Monsieur Fantaisie (IRE) Jack Nicholls · Peter Niven	40/1	2.5
8th	Lilkian (GB) Mr Paul Hainey · Darryll Holland	8/1	.5
9th	Muddy Lynn (GB) Miss Kayleigh Rayner · Seb Spencer	10/1	9.5

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
U.R.	Beneficiary (GB) Mr Matt Brown · Liam Bailey	16/1

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (11)	Voltaic Chestnut J:Miss Sarah Bowen T:Tony Carroll	J:Miss Sarah Bowen T:Tony Carroll	154	v	182871	53	51	43	3d	—	—	-8	21.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Escapes a penalty for clearcut win at Lingfield and he's a major player again back in trip
11 (9)	Oriental Prince Bay J:Miss Megan Davies(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Miss Megan Davies(5) T:Jim Goldie	153	—	67552	52	46	25	39d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Unexposed 3yo who went close over C&D in October and is open to more progress
4 (4)	Captain Vallo Chestnut J:Miss Pippa Brown(5) T:Phillip Makin	J:Miss Pippa Brown(5) T:Phillip Makin	156	p	560032	55	51	40	29d	—	—	-2	12.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Went close over C&D last time and he remains very well treated on old form
10 (10)	Lilkian Chestnut J:Mr Paul Hainey(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Mr Paul Hainey(5) T:Darryll Holland	154	—	378945	53	49	38	2d	—	—	-7	3.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
12-time AW winner but he hasn't really fired in last five runs; down the list
7 (7)	Fircombe Hall Chestnut J:Mr Shay Halton(5) T:Philip Kirby	J:Mr Shay Halton(5) T:Philip Kirby	155	p	682523	54	47	40	29d	—	—	+3	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Six-time C&D winner who has been placed here in three of his last four runs; possibilities
9 (12)	Muddy Lynn Bay J:Miss Kayleigh Rayner(7) T:Seb Spencer	J:Miss Kayleigh Rayner(7) T:Seb Spencer	154	b	0-5518	53	47	26	14d	—	—	-6	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won over C&D in October but was well held when favourite here last time; mixed messages
2 (8)	Beneficiary Bay J:Mr Matt Brown(5) T:Liam Bailey	J:Mr Matt Brown(5) T:Liam Bailey	156	b	309282	55	47	37	18d	—	—	+4	10.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dual C&D winner who was good second at Southwell last time; respected back up in trip
6 (5)	Sirius White Grey J:Miss Ellie Mayo(5) T:L J Morgan	J:Miss Ellie Mayo(5) T:L J Morgan	155	v	103031	54	47	32	29d	—	—	+9	15.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Forced a dead-heat at Southwell last time; up 2lb but he's respected back up in trip
1 (1)	Hurstwood Grey J:Mr Joshua Brown(7) T:Peter Niven	J:Mr Joshua Brown(7) T:Peter Niven	156	—	241869	55	47	32	31d	—	—	+2	5.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Eight-time turf winner but he's 1-19 on AW and was well held over C&D last time
12 (2)	Monsieur Fantaisie Bay J:Mr Jack Nicholls(3) T:Peter Niven	J:Mr Jack Nicholls(3) T:Peter Niven	153	p	185310	52	45	36	14d	—	—	+8	9.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Frequent slow starter who was well held over C&D on recent return; risks attached
NR (3)	Posh Maisie Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Colin Teague	J:NON-RUNNER T:Colin Teague	156	tp	006080	55	49	-	18d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Nine-race maiden with form figures of 006080 in handicaps; can only be watched
NR (6)	Under Curfew Chestnut J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	155	b	026625	54	48	41	3d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Had a near miss at Wolverhampton last month but he was well held at Lingfield on Tuesday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Voltaic	15/8	2/1	15/8	7/4	15/8
Oriental Prince	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Captain Vallo	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Lilkian	15/2	9/1	9/1	9/1	6/1
Fircombe Hall	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Muddy Lynn	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	17/2
Beneficiary	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Sirius White	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Hurstwood	40/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Monsieur Fantaisie	66/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Posh Maisie	-	-	-	-	-
Under Curfew	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Voltaic

21.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Sirius White

15.7

OR: 1 Form: 13 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Captain Vallo

12.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Fircombe Hall

11.2

OR: 1 Form: 8 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Oriental Prince

10.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Beneficiary

10.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Monsieur Fantaisie

9.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Under Curfew

5.5

OR: 1 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Hurstwood

5.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Lilkian

3.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Muddy Lynn

3.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Posh Maisie

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Captain Vallo	55	51	40
Beneficiary	55	47	37
Hurstwood	55	47	32
Posh Maisie	55	49	—
Fircombe Hall	54	47	40
Sirius White	54	47	32
Under Curfew	54	48	41
Voltaic	53	51	43
Lilkian	53	49	38
Muddy Lynn	53	47	26
Oriental Prince	52	46	25
Monsieur Fantaisie	52	45	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lilkian	2d ago	Quick return
Voltaic	3d ago	Quick return
Under Curfew	3d ago	Quick return
Muddy Lynn	14d ago	Fit
Monsieur Fantaisie	14d ago	Fit
Beneficiary	18d ago	Fit
Posh Maisie	18d ago	Fit
Captain Vallo	29d ago	Fit
Fircombe Hall	29d ago	Fit
Sirius White	29d ago	Fit
Hurstwood	31d ago	Fit
Oriental Prince	39d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.