Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Carlisle

Carlisle

11:55

Racing TV Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-15

Distance 2m1f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,540

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Wellington Arch Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	154	—	1340-2	-	120	95	37d	—	—	-31	24.4	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Bumper winner; bumped into promising type when second on hurdle debut; not ruled out
9	Throatlash Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	154	—	1	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	15.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Point winner who brings potential to today's rules debut and could be in the mix
6	Old But Gold Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	J:Sean Quinlan T:Martin Todhunter	154	—	2-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	8.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Changed hands for £80,000 after going close in a point on debut; could have a part to play
10	Val Bassett Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	154	t	3	-	113	72	—	—	—	-5	6.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair third at Cartmel in August on sole hurdle start and won on AW in October; a possible
8	Tech That Bay J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	154	—	24	-	-	-	25d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has gone close in a point and a bumper and he's one to consider on hurdle debut
7	Sam's Falcon Chestnut J:Henry Brooke T:Dianne Sayer	J:Henry Brooke T:Dianne Sayer	154	—	956	-	110	79	26d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to threaten but ran okay when sixth over C&D last time and has an each-way chance
5	Monsieur Le Fuzz Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Rebecca Menzies	154	—	6294	-	102	68	10d	—	—	0	3.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Point runner-up; 4th of 6 at Market Rasen on second hurdle run; needs further improvement
11	Vampire Slayer Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Daragh Bourke	J:Danny McMenamin T:Daragh Bourke	154	h	8-6	-	82	55	59d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Has shown ability on the Flat but 0-13 in that code and well beaten on both hurdle starts
4	Lord De Vinci Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Daragh Bourke	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Daragh Bourke	154	—	44/	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Displayed promise in Irish points in April 2023 but absent since and may be best watched
1	Big Storm Brewing Bay J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	154	—	89	-	76	59	14d	—	—	0	0.1	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Tailed off on both starts, more recently when 300-1 for hurdle debut here a fortnight ago
2	Jersey Stream Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	154	—	0-	-	-	-	262d	—	—	0	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
His dam was a French hurdle/chase winner but he was tailed off at 40-1 in his sole bumper
3	Just Winging It Chestnut J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Ben Smith(7) T:R Mike Smith	154	—	6	-	-	-	48d	—	—	-1	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Always behind and tailed off at 80-1 on debut in an Ayr bumper in October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Wellington Arch	8/13	4/6	8/13	8/13	8/11
Throatlash	5/1	4/1	11/2	4/1	9/2
Old But Gold	7/1	15/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Val Bassett	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	6/1
Tech That	12/1	12/1	10/1	14/1	12/1
Sam's Falcon	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Monsieur Le Fuzz	40/1	28/1	18/1	28/1	28/1
Vampire Slayer	100/1	100/1	50/1	80/1	66/1
Lord De Vinci	150/1	125/1	40/1	80/1	100/1
Big Storm Brewing	500/1	250/1	150/1	200/1	250/1
Jersey Stream	500/1	250/1	125/1	200/1	200/1
Just Winging It	500/1	200/1	80/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wellington Arch

24.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 19.4

8/11

2nd

Throatlash

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.4

11/2

3rd

Old But Gold

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Val Bassett

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Tech That

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Monsieur Le Fuzz

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Sam's Falcon

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Lord De Vinci

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Vampire Slayer

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Jersey Stream

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Just Winging It

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Big Storm Brewing

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wellington Arch	—	120	95
Throatlash	—	—	—
Old But Gold	—	—	—
Val Bassett	—	113	72
Tech That	—	—	—
Sam's Falcon	—	110	79
Monsieur Le Fuzz	—	102	68
Vampire Slayer	—	82	55
Lord De Vinci	—	—	—
Big Storm Brewing	—	76	59
Jersey Stream	—	—	—
Just Winging It	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Monsieur Le Fuzz	10d ago	Quick return
Big Storm Brewing	14d ago	Fit
Tech That	25d ago	Fit
Sam's Falcon	26d ago	Fit
Wellington Arch	37d ago	Fit
Just Winging It	48d ago	Fresh
Vampire Slayer	59d ago	Fresh
Jersey Stream	262d ago	Long break
Throatlash	—	—
Old But Gold	—	—
Val Bassett	—	—
Lord De Vinci	—	—