Happy Christmas From Carlisle Racecourse Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Cat 1 Elim) (GBB Race)

Carlisle

15:15

Date 2024-12-15

Distance 2m1f

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,178

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Oh Clare Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	156	—	4	-	105	46	34d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Promising fourth on last month's debut here and the form has a solid look to it
4	Gintime Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dam was talented; in-form trainer does well in bumpers and she's one to consider on debut
2	Crying Lightning Bay J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:James Turner(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	9	-	107	45	29d	—	—	-12	5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not devoid of promise when handed tough Listed task on debut; could play a leading role
7	Little Wren Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Mel Rowley	J:Sean Quinlan T:Mel Rowley	156	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dam from classy family; trainer is 2-5 at Carlisle; interesting newcomer
8	Madame Bluebelle Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	156	t	40-	-	97	79	241d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Yet to threaten but the stiff track is a positive and she's not ruled out; has had wind op
10	Smile Back Bay J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	156	—	1	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	11.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Bought for £30,000 after winning Irish point; certainly brings potential to bumper debut
3	Desirable Walk Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	J:Brian Hughes T:Micky Hammond	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
First foal; dam useful 2m-2m5f hurdle/chase winner; may be one for further down the line
6	Lady Fortune Grey J:David Bass T:Max Comley	J:David Bass T:Max Comley	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
£20,000 4yo; pedigree suggests this newcomer will need a longer trip
5	High As Hope Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	156	—	27	-	95	33	34d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Point runner-up but soundly beaten here on last month's rules debut
1	Border Queen b/br J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Joe Williamson(3) T:Philip Kirby	156	—	9	-	86	71	18d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Half-sister to three winners but tailed off at 22-1 on recent debut at Wetherby

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Oh Clare	2/1	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Gintime	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Crying Lightning	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	6/1
Little Wren	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Madame Bluebelle	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2	15/2
Smile Back	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Desirable Walk	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Lady Fortune	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
High As Hope	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Border Queen	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smile Back

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

16/1

2nd

Oh Clare

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Gintime

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Crying Lightning

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

6/1

High As Hope

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Little Wren

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Madame Bluebelle

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Desirable Walk

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Lady Fortune

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Border Queen

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Oh Clare	—	105	46
Gintime	—	—	—
Crying Lightning	—	107	45
Little Wren	—	—	—
Madame Bluebelle	—	97	79
Smile Back	—	—	—
Desirable Walk	—	—	—
Lady Fortune	—	—	—
High As Hope	—	95	33
Border Queen	—	86	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Border Queen	18d ago	Fit
Crying Lightning	29d ago	Fit
Oh Clare	34d ago	Fit
High As Hope	34d ago	Fit
Madame Bluebelle	241d ago	Long break
Gintime	—	—
Little Wren	—	—
Smile Back	—	—
Desirable Walk	—	—
Lady Fortune	—	—