Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:10

Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap

Date 2024-12-18

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (12)	Charlie Mason Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	133	p	354442	63	81	63	8d	—	—	-7	14.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
On a winning mark and last week's Southwell second suggests he can take advantage soon
10 (8)	Dayman Bay J:David Probert T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Probert T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	132	—	896564	62	81	57	16d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-11	8.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Well treated on last winter's best and shaped quite well on recent return from break
1 (10)	Runaround Sioux Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	135	—	164525	65	79	61	16d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second at Wolver last month; met trouble when fifth there since (both 6f); back at 7f now
12 (3)	Global Warning Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	132	—	690513	62	78	64	55d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+4	16.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In good form in autumn, including AW win at Lingfield, but he has a 0-13 course record
6 (4)	Rusheen Boy Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	133	ht	506539	63	78	68	27d	—	—	-1	7.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Dual 6f AW winner; third at Chelmsford in October but poor at Wolverhampton since
2 (7)	Crow's Nest Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:George Baker	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:George Baker	135	tb	056094	65	76	51	14d	—	—	-1	5.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best run since wind op when fourth at Lingfield latest; well treated if building on that
7 (2)	Triggered Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	J:Edward Greatrex T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	456080	63	77	68	54d	—	—	-2	5.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not in much form this autumn but well treated if short break sparks revival
4 (9)	Grovely Belle Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	133	t	4739	63	72	55	47d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Held in turf handicap debut latest but showed promise prior to that; remains unexposed
3 (5)	Flatley Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	135	—	178760	65	78	52	37d	—	—	0	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three AW wins but has struggled since latest win on turf in July
13 (13)	Lahina Bay Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	130	—	426434	60	75	64	27d	—	—	+2	6.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Mainly consistent this year, including reaching frame over 6f/7f on AW last twice
14 (1)	Prefer The Sister Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Matt Crawley	J:Jonny Peate T:Matt Crawley	130	—	383497	60	78	36	16d	—	—	+1	4.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hasn't shown enough in two recent Wolverhampton runs for new yard to fancy here
9 (6)	The Smiling Wolf Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(3) T:John Butler	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:John Butler	132	—	490700	62	68	32	44d	—	—	+1	3.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won a nursery off 10lb higher last autumn but has struggled this year
5 (14)	Zaltalla Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	133	—	-97739	63	75	59	90d	—	—	+5	5.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
0-8 for James Ferguson and sold for 1,000gns ahead of this first run for new yard
NR (11)	Star Pupil Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	132	b	510660	62	78	-	13d	—	—	—	5	—	—
6f AW novice win in spring but held in handicaps since; down 3f in trip with blinkers on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Charlie Mason	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4	10/3
Dayman	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Runaround Sioux	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	4/1
Global Warning	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	5/1
Rusheen Boy	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	8/1
Crow's Nest	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Triggered	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Grovely Belle	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	11/1
Flatley	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Lahina Bay	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	18/1
Prefer The Sister	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
The Smiling Wolf	33/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Zaltalla	100/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Star Pupil	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Global Warning

16.6

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Charlie Mason

14.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

3rd

Runaround Sioux

11.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Dayman

8.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Rusheen Boy

7.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Grovely Belle

7.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lahina Bay

6.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Crow's Nest

5.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Zaltalla

5.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Triggered

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Flatley

5.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Star Pupil

OR: 3 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Prefer The Sister

4.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9

28/1

The Smiling Wolf

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Runaround Sioux	65	79	61
Crow's Nest	65	76	51
Flatley	65	78	52
Charlie Mason	63	81	63
Rusheen Boy	63	78	68
Triggered	63	77	68
Grovely Belle	63	72	55
Zaltalla	63	75	59
Dayman	62	81	57
Global Warning	62	78	64
The Smiling Wolf	62	68	32
Star Pupil	62	78	—
Lahina Bay	60	75	64
Prefer The Sister	60	78	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Charlie Mason	8d ago	Quick return
Star Pupil	13d ago	Quick return
Crow's Nest	14d ago	Fit
Dayman	16d ago	Fit
Runaround Sioux	16d ago	Fit
Prefer The Sister	16d ago	Fit
Rusheen Boy	27d ago	Fit
Lahina Bay	27d ago	Fit
Flatley	37d ago	Fit
The Smiling Wolf	44d ago	Fit
Grovely Belle	47d ago	Fresh
Triggered	54d ago	Fresh
Global Warning	55d ago	Fresh
Zaltalla	90d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.