Howden Long Walk Hurdle (Grade 1) (GBB Race)

Ascot

14:25

Date 2024-12-21

Distance 3m97y

Class Class 1

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £71,188

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Strong Leader Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	J:Sean Bowen T:Olly Murphy	161	—	2431-1	158	166	144	22d	—	—	+12	48.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Very useful at 2m but proving better at 3m and already has Grade 1 honours
8	The Wallpark Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	J:Mark Walsh T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	091111	152	159	130	56d	—	—	+40	54.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has never contested a Graded race but he's earned the right after winning his last four
5	Hiddenvalley Lake Chestnut J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	161	—	9/F13-	152	161	140	252d	—	—	+18	28.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Held by Strong Leader on Aintree form and lacking a run this season can't be ideal
4	Crambo Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jonathan Burke T:Fergal O'Brien	161	t	13198-	156	163	144	252d	—	—	+28	36.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Flopped at the spring festivals but he won this 12 months ago and he goes well fresh
2	Blueking d'Oroux Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	161	—	1154-2	150	161	138	28d	—	—	+25	31.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Classy hurdler; didn't appear to stay 3m in this last year but he's now a year older
6	Shoot First Bay J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	J:Philip Byrnes T:C Byrnes	161	—	281/51	145	153	121	28d	—	—	+17	26.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won a 3m handicap at Haydock last time in the style of a stayer going places
10	Kateira Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	241-31	144	159	106	26d	—	—	+19	25.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has to bridge a class-gap here but could be progressive enough to do so
1	Beauport Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	2P1P-1	148	154	-	28d	—	—	+31	35.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Inconsistent staying chaser but very smart on his day; first hurdle run since April 2022
3	Botox Has Bay J:Caoilin Quinn T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Gary & Josh Moore	161	p	61P5-0	151	163	147	56d	—	—	+23	26	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Arrived in better form 12 months ago and yet could finish only sixth behind Crambo
9	Eagle Fang Bay J:Oakley Brown T:William Durkan	J:Oakley Brown T:William Durkan	160	—	10-123	144	148	88	35d	—	—	+22	24.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has done well these past 12 months; perhaps flattered over 2m4f latest; stamina to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Strong Leader	6/4	11/8	6/4	11/8	6/4
The Wallpark	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Hiddenvalley Lake	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Crambo	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Blueking d'Oroux	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Shoot First	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Kateira	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Beauport	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Botox Has	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Eagle Fang	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Wallpark

54.9

OR: 25.5 Form: 25 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Strong Leader

48.8

OR: 27 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Crambo

36.9

OR: 26.5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Beauport

35.9

OR: 24.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Blueking d'Oroux

31.9

OR: 25 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Hiddenvalley Lake

28.4

OR: 25.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Shoot First

26.3

OR: 23.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

12/1

Botox Has

OR: 25.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Kateira

25.4

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Eagle Fang

24.2

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Strong Leader	158	166	144
Crambo	156	163	144
The Wallpark	152	159	130
Hiddenvalley Lake	152	161	140
Botox Has	151	163	147
Blueking d'Oroux	150	161	138
Beauport	148	154	—
Shoot First	145	153	121
Kateira	144	159	106
Eagle Fang	144	148	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Strong Leader	22d ago	Fit
Kateira	26d ago	Fit
Blueking d'Oroux	28d ago	Fit
Shoot First	28d ago	Fit
Beauport	28d ago	Fit
Eagle Fang	35d ago	Fit
The Wallpark	56d ago	Fresh
Botox Has	56d ago	Fresh
Hiddenvalley Lake	252d ago	Long break
Crambo	252d ago	Long break