Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-12-21

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (4)	Just Typical Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	132	p	221924	49	69	58	8d	—	—	-13	16.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
C&D winner in October and good second back over this C&D two runs ago; each-way contender
9 (8)	Thunderstorm Katie Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	130	—	474947	47	68	41	45d	—	—	-12	5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Good 4th over 6f here on stable debut; below par latest (5f); interesting back here at 7f
11 (10)	Filey Beach Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Jason Ward	J:Clifford Lee T:Jason Ward	129	—	054229	46	64	36	54d	—	—	-6	11	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-9; poor last time but has a chance on his two previous runs, notably his 2nd over C&D
3 (6)	Concert Boy Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	134	b	236243	51	66	41	15d	—	—	-4	10.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not won since May 2023 (with David O'Meara); sound runs last three starts; each-way chance
4 (12)	Yaahobby Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	ht	643357	50	66	46	12d	—	—	-4	4.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two C&D wins in September/October; not in such good form since; on a good mark now
2 (3)	Angel Of Antrim Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Jack Morland	J:Andrew Mullen T:Jack Morland	134	v	306496	51	65	60	15d	—	—	-6	2.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three AW wins, latest over C&D in April; changed yards since; below par last three runs
1 (9)	Marcello Si Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Dods	135	—	624169	52	64	55	15d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won 3 races here earlier in the year (7f-1m) but below-par last twice
10 (7)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	130	p	307500	47	63	57	29d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has won 5 times here; second run after wind op; not been in top form; needs to bounce back
12 (1)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	129	tp	906575	46	65	50	33d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Two wins at Wolverhampton in 2023; mainly disappointing this year; well handicapped now
6 (11)	Top Gun Tina Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:David Thompson	J:Alex Jary(5) T:David Thompson	131	—	24-366	48	66	-	329d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
0-9; good second on latest run here (November 2023); may need the race after 329 days off
7 (5)	See My Baby Jive Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Donald Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Donald Whillans	131	—	902820	48	63	45	109d	—	—	+3	5.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Three wins over 7f at Ayr; good C&D second in July; below par latest; could bounce back
NR (2)	Hawajes Bay J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	130	p	613700	47	65	43	46d	—	—	—	2.9	—	—
7f Tapeta winner; latest win was on turf; below par last three AW runs, latest in headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Just Typical	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	15/8
Thunderstorm Katie	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Filey Beach	11/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	13/2
Concert Boy	9/2	11/2	5/1	6/1	5/1
Yaahobby	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	11/1
Angel Of Antrim	12/1	12/1	12/1	9/1	12/1
Marcello Si	14/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Jems Bond	20/1	16/1	18/1	14/1	20/1
Angel Amadea	20/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Top Gun Tina	40/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
See My Baby Jive	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Hawajes	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Just Typical

16.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.5 Odds: 8.9

5/2

2nd

Filey Beach

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 5

13/2

3rd

Concert Boy

10.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Marcello Si

8.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

See My Baby Jive

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Thunderstorm Katie

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Yaahobby

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Hawajes

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0

—

Angel Of Antrim

2.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Jems Bond

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Angel Amadea

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Top Gun Tina

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marcello Si	52	64	55
Concert Boy	51	66	41
Angel Of Antrim	51	65	60
Yaahobby	50	66	46
Just Typical	49	69	58
Top Gun Tina	48	66	—
See My Baby Jive	48	63	45
Thunderstorm Katie	47	68	41
Jems Bond	47	63	57
Hawajes	47	65	43
Filey Beach	46	64	36
Angel Amadea	46	65	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Just Typical	8d ago	Quick return
Yaahobby	12d ago	Quick return
Concert Boy	15d ago	Fit
Angel Of Antrim	15d ago	Fit
Marcello Si	15d ago	Fit
Jems Bond	29d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	33d ago	Fit
Thunderstorm Katie	45d ago	Fit
Hawajes	46d ago	Fresh
Filey Beach	54d ago	Fresh
See My Baby Jive	109d ago	Long break
Top Gun Tina	329d ago	Long break