BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Date 2024-12-22

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Riot Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	135	tv	008533	82	94	79	19d	—	—	0	18.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
All seven wins over this trip and still 2lb below last winning mark; needs a good pace
5 (11)	Mr Baloo Bay J:John Fahy T:Richard Hannon	J:John Fahy T:Richard Hannon	131	—	594764	78	95	84	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	12	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won twice at Kempton in the spring; favourably treated but wide draw might pose a problem
2 (2)	Ziggy's Condor Brown J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	J:Warren Fentiman(7) T:Richard Fahey	134	—	207654	81	96	72	13d	—	—	-4	12.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Shouldn't have a problem with the return to 7f and looks on a fair mark; considered
8 (3)	Bell Shot Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	126	p	264563	73	96	80	11d	—	—	-1	12.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
C&D winner; had two of these behind when third at Kempton 11 days ago; in the mix
7 (4)	State Flag Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Tom Ward	J:Dougie Costello T:Tom Ward	127	—	741236	74	94	72	58d	—	—	+5	16.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner who should be suited by the return to this trip; worth a second look
12 (8)	Ernie's Valentine Grey J:Callum Hutchinson T:Simon Pearce	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Simon Pearce	124	—	500664	71	93	73	64d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
7lb below last winning mark; worth monitoring in the market on debut for new yard
10 (5)	Vince Lombardi Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Jim Boyle	124	tp	604525	71	94	79	34d	—	—	+4	10.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has performed well in both starts for this yard since tongue-tie went on; frame material
11 (10)	Thorntonledale Max Bay J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	J:Joey Haynes T:David Simcock	124	—	518305	71	92	79	9d	—	—	+6	9.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dead-heated at Kempton in August; bit of a mixed bag so far; not quite sure what to expect
4 (1)	Bulldog Drummond Bay J:Tom Queally T:Patrick Owens	J:Tom Queally T:Patrick Owens	134	v	510957	81	94	69	19d	—	—	+8	10.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Back off last winning mark, but recent efforts suggest others are more likely
9 (6)	The Caribbean Bay J:Grace McEntee T:Heather Main	J:Grace McEntee T:Heather Main	126	b	400070	73	92	-	50d	—	—	+4	6.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has shown little in eight starts for this yard; hard to recommend at present
6 (9)	Mond Chestnut J:Liam Keniry T:Charlie Wallis	J:Liam Keniry T:Charlie Wallis	128	h	/55/00	75	86	62	11d	—	—	+6	6.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Twice well beaten since returning from a mammoth absence for this yard last month
NR (12)	Batal Dubai Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Jack Morland	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Jack Morland	134	—	407084	81	95	79	10d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
6lb lower than when last successful, but the new trip and outside stall raise doubts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Riot	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Mr Baloo	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Ziggy's Condor	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Bell Shot	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
State Flag	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Ernie's Valentine	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Vince Lombardi	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Thorntonledale Max	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Bulldog Drummond	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
The Caribbean	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Mond	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Batal Dubai	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Riot

18.3

OR: 8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

State Flag

16.9

OR: 6 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Ziggy's Condor

12.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Bell Shot

12.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Mr Baloo

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Vince Lombardi

10.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Bulldog Drummond

10.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Thorntonledale Max

9.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ernie's Valentine

8.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Batal Dubai

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mond

6.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

The Caribbean

6.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Riot	82	94	79
Ziggy's Condor	81	96	72
Bulldog Drummond	81	94	69
Batal Dubai	81	95	79
Mr Baloo	78	95	84
Mond	75	86	62
State Flag	74	94	72
Bell Shot	73	96	80
The Caribbean	73	92	—
Ernie's Valentine	71	93	73
Vince Lombardi	71	94	79
Thorntonledale Max	71	92	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thorntonledale Max	9d ago	Quick return
Batal Dubai	10d ago	Quick return
Mr Baloo	11d ago	Quick return
Bell Shot	11d ago	Quick return
Mond	11d ago	Quick return
Ziggy's Condor	13d ago	Quick return
Riot	19d ago	Fit
Bulldog Drummond	19d ago	Fit
Vince Lombardi	34d ago	Fit
The Caribbean	50d ago	Fresh
State Flag	58d ago	Fresh
Ernie's Valentine	64d ago	Fresh