Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Lingfield (AW)

15:30

Date 2024-12-22

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Book Of Life Grey J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	133	p	774322	63	79	68	8d	—	—	-4	20.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Beaten half a length by Swatch at Wolverhampton eight days ago and now 2lb better off
1 (5)	Swatch Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	138	—	132401	68	80	69	8d	—	—	0	23.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
3lb higher than when winning at Wolverhampton eight days ago; shortlist material
3 (10)	Fihrayn Bay J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	135	—	024604	66	81	55	51d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
0-11; went close at Kempton in September but a bit more is needed in order to win
2 (4)	Serenity Rose Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Jack Morland	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Jack Morland	137	—	-04862	67	76	63	18d	—	—	+2	11.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ran well on second start for this yard last time; return to this trip should suit; player
4 (9)	Buy The Dip Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Jim Boyle	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Jim Boyle	133	—	333776	63	79	61	18d	—	—	0	6.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D winner; behind Serenity Rose the last twice; return to 1m may suit but others stronger
6 (6)	Respectable Jack Bay J:Jonny Peate T:Matt Crawley	J:Jonny Peate T:Matt Crawley	132	—	9-3547	63	70	58	165d	—	—	-1	5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
0-5; bred to stay this far but has a 165-day absence to overcome
8 (2)	H Key Lails Grey J:Callum Hutchinson T:Michael Attwater	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Michael Attwater	130	v	932223	60	76	67	17d	—	—	+9	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed in his last five starts, but looks to have nothing in hand of this mark
10 (7)	Raqraaq Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Patrick Chamings	J:Tyler Heard T:Patrick Chamings	128	p	072008	58	79	57	32d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	-1	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Sole win in 25 starts came over C&D; prominent in the market the last twice; could go well
9 (8)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Simon Dow	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Simon Dow	128	h	065410	58	79	69	79d	—	—	+5	10.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Three wins here, the latest in August; should be more at home back on this surface
7 (1)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:George Downing T:Tony Carroll	J:George Downing T:Tony Carroll	130	p	131432	60	77	66	17d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+11	14.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Form of last 14 starts reads 42412213131432; hard to leave out of calculations

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Book Of Life	9/4	9/4	5/2
Swatch	5/2	5/2	5/2
Fihrayn	6/1	6/1	6/1
Serenity Rose	17/2	9/1	17/2
Buy The Dip	14/1	12/1	14/1
Respectable Jack	14/1	14/1	14/1
H Key Lails	16/1	14/1	14/1
Raqraaq	18/1	14/1	14/1
Rabinal	20/1	20/1	20/1
Kondratiev Wave	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Swatch

23.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Book Of Life

20.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

H Key Lails

15.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 11.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Kondratiev Wave

14.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.7 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Serenity Rose

11.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Rabinal

10.4

OR: 2 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Fihrayn

8.6

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Buy The Dip

6.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Raqraaq

5.1

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Respectable Jack

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Swatch	68	80	69
Serenity Rose	67	76	63
Fihrayn	66	81	55
Book Of Life	63	79	68
Buy The Dip	63	79	61
Respectable Jack	63	70	58
H Key Lails	60	76	67
Kondratiev Wave	60	77	66
Raqraaq	58	79	57
Rabinal	58	79	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Book Of Life	8d ago	Quick return
Swatch	8d ago	Quick return
H Key Lails	17d ago	Fit
Kondratiev Wave	17d ago	Fit
Serenity Rose	18d ago	Fit
Buy The Dip	18d ago	Fit
Raqraaq	32d ago	Fit
Fihrayn	51d ago	Fresh
Rabinal	79d ago	Fresh
Respectable Jack	165d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.