Paddy's Rewards Club Chase (Grade 1) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

13:10

Paddy's Rewards Club Chase (Grade 1)

Date 2024-12-27

Distance 2m1f

Class Class 1

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €73,750

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Gaelic Warrior Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	166	h	11U12-	166	174	156	239d	—	—	+22	55.9	0.41/1	13/8 38%
3-5 over fences, beat Found A Fifty by 8.5l in the Arkle, goes well fresh, the one to beat
3	Found A Fifty Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	221-11	162	167	132	41d	—	—	+14	33.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
On a four-timer, hung right when winning at Navan, may struggle to beat Gaelic Warrior
10	Dinoblue Chestnut J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	J:Mark Walsh T:W P Mullins	159	t	1223-2	157	169	155	19d	—	—	+20	36.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won this last year, winless since and tongue tie goes on, place claims at her best
6	Marine Nationale Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Barry Connell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Barry Connell	166	t	1/15-2	-	158	123	47d	—	—	-2	14.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Top class Grade 1 winning hurdler, suffered defeat last two chase starts, a bit to prove
2	Captain Guinness Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	P312-P	164	170	156	41d	—	—	+24	30.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won the Champion Chase last season, pulled up on latest at Navan, others look more solid
1	Blue Lord Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:W P Mullins	J:Daryl Jacob T:W P Mullins	166	t	83/4-4	157	166	81	19d	—	—	+24	27.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Six-time chase winner, last win this race in 2022, poor effort on latest, needs revival
8	Solness Bay J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:J J Slevin T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	166	tp	011324	153	153	132	20d	—	—	+34	36.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
4-15 over fences, struggled on first start in Gr 1 company at Navan, career best needed
5	Gentleman De Mee Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	166	t	42U-35	160	169	66	41d	—	—	+25	28.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won a Grade 1 here in February 2023, winless since, well beaten latest, others more likely
9	Visionarian Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	p	-P014P	150	158	92	27d	—	—	+27	28.5	31.25/1	125/1 1%
5-14 over fences, won a Grade 2 in October, pulled up latest, up against it; cheekpieces
NR	Senecia Bay J:Mr B O'Neill T:Vincent Laurence Halley	J:Mr B O'Neill T:Vincent Laurence Halley	166	b	4PU4U3	139	148	121	41d	—	—	—	23.5	—	—
Ran a cracker at 200-1 at Navan on latest, this looks a hotter race, others more likely

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Gaelic Warrior	13/8	13/8	13/8	11/8	11/8
Found A Fifty	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Dinoblue	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Marine Nationale	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Captain Guinness	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Blue Lord	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Solness	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Gentleman De Mee	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Visionarian	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1	100/1
Senecia	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gaelic Warrior

55.9

OR: 29 Form: 16.3 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Dinoblue

36.8

OR: 26.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Solness

36.5

OR: 25.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Found A Fifty

33.7

OR: 28 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Captain Guinness

30.4

OR: 28.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Visionarian

28.5

OR: 25 Form: 3.2 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Gentleman De Mee

28.3

OR: 27.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Blue Lord

27.7

OR: 26.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Senecia

23.5

OR: 22.3 Form: 1.2 Odds: 0

—

Marine Nationale

14.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4.7

5/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gaelic Warrior	166	174	156
Captain Guinness	164	170	156
Found A Fifty	162	167	132
Gentleman De Mee	160	169	66
Dinoblue	157	169	155
Blue Lord	157	166	81
Solness	153	153	132
Visionarian	150	158	92
Senecia	139	148	121
Marine Nationale	—	158	123

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dinoblue	19d ago	Fit
Blue Lord	19d ago	Fit
Solness	20d ago	Fit
Visionarian	27d ago	Fit
Found A Fifty	41d ago	Fit
Captain Guinness	41d ago	Fit
Gentleman De Mee	41d ago	Fit
Senecia	41d ago	Fit
Marine Nationale	47d ago	Fresh
Gaelic Warrior	239d ago	Long break