Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:45

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (1)	Portoro Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Martin Dunne	J:Dylan Hogan T:Martin Dunne	131	ht	682241	54	69	63	17d	—	—	+1	20.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
More in hand than the neck margin suggests latest (7f); new trip but still well treated
12 (11)	Supernova Steps Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Loughnane	130	p	981945	53	75	60	14d	—	—	-8	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win last month; not built on that success since and now she's tried in headgear
7 (2)	Just Ten High Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	132	tb	117230	55	70	64	25d	—	—	-1	11.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Flopped last time but possible he'll bounce back given overall profile; new trip/headgear
11 (6)	Heartrate Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	J:Luke Morris T:Mark Loughnane	131	—	445734	54	70	62	24d	—	—	-5	6.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Down in the weights and recent efforts have been more encouraging; each-way shout
1 (5)	King Of The Jungle Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	135	—	557415	58	70	53	87d	—	—	+1	12.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two-time Tapeta winner last winter; running well when last seen; one to take seriously
5 (10)	Katie G Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	346053	56	73	60	9d	—	—	-3	7.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
C&D win off this mark in August; good 3rd at Chelmsford nine days ago; considered
9 (4)	Buraback Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	131	—	095068	54	73	54	14d	—	—	-7	4.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
10lb below last winning mark; quiet since returning from a break but likely reviver soon
4 (8)	Motagally Bay J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Scott Dixon	134	h	584599	57	74	60	56d	—	—	-1	2.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
On long losing run; best effort in 2024 came over C&D but still looks risky; new hood here
6 (12)	Snow Berry Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	133	p	217747	56	70	62	14d	—	—	+1	4.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
0-12 on AW and not at her best over C&D two weeks ago; vulnerable for win purposes
2 (9)	Sam's Hope Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	134	t	-51370	57	74	44	192d	—	—	+4	7.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Fair mark on best form for R Hannon; back from a break over a new, shorter trip; risky
3 (3)	Travel Candy Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	134	tp	082440	57	70	21	16d	—	—	+1	4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three turf wins but neither AW start has seen her to best effect; others are safer
10 (7)	Barney's Bay Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Derek Shaw	J:Tom Eaves T:Derek Shaw	131	—	-69060	54	74	29	124d	—	—	-1	1.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Beaten just two rivals home in five starts for current yard; plenty to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Portoro	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Supernova Steps	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Just Ten High	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Heartrate	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
King Of The Jungle	8/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	8/1
Katie G	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Buraback	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Motagally	25/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	25/1
Snow Berry	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Sam's Hope	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Travel Candy	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Barney's Bay	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Portoro

20.7

OR: 1 Form: 14 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

King Of The Jungle

12.3

OR: 2 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

8/1

3rd

Just Ten High

11.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Supernova Steps

8.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Katie G

7.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Sam's Hope

7.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Heartrate

6.4

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Snow Berry

4.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Buraback

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Travel Candy

OR: 1.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Motagally

2.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Barney's Bay

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
King Of The Jungle	58	70	53
Motagally	57	74	60
Sam's Hope	57	74	44
Travel Candy	57	70	21
Katie G	56	73	60
Snow Berry	56	70	62
Just Ten High	55	70	64
Portoro	54	69	63
Heartrate	54	70	62
Buraback	54	73	54
Barney's Bay	54	74	29
Supernova Steps	53	75	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Katie G	9d ago	Quick return
Supernova Steps	14d ago	Fit
Buraback	14d ago	Fit
Snow Berry	14d ago	Fit
Travel Candy	16d ago	Fit
Portoro	17d ago	Fit
Heartrate	24d ago	Fit
Just Ten High	25d ago	Fit
Motagally	56d ago	Fresh
King Of The Jungle	87d ago	Fresh
Barney's Bay	124d ago	Long break
Sam's Hope	192d ago	Long break