Mercedes Benz South Dublin Handicap Hurdle – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

12:50

Mercedes Benz South Dublin Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €8,850

Runners (27)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	His Nibs Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	162	—	3-3075	109	115	97	15d	—	—	+4	22.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-10; hasn't built on promise shown in bumpers but longer trip should suit now h'capping
14	Stay Gold Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:C A Murphy	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:C A Murphy	159	—	7645	106	114	84	35d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Lightly raced sort; ran respectably on h'cap bow and return to better ground may suit
13	Portarlington Bay J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	159	tp	058111	106	118	80	14d	—	—	+27	39.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Goes for a 4-timer after justifying favouritism from 10lb lower recently; respected
18	Giant Haystacks Brown J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	157	—	5-0342	104	119	107	25d	—	—	+6	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Encouraging yard debut when 4th in h'cap hurdle and 2nd since; major player up in trip
20	Aurea Fortuna Chestnut J:Daniel King T:A J Martin	J:Daniel King T:A J Martin	152	—	086542	99	115	22	18d	—	—	+11	19.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back to form in recent starts but drop back to this trip may be against him
7	Jolie Jewel Bay J:Jake Coen(3) T:Brian M McMahon	J:Jake Coen(3) T:Brian M McMahon	162	h	-15503	109	119	98	42d	—	—	+14	22	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Surprise 50-1 maiden hurdle winner and consistent since but more required here
15	Lady Rose Hackett Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	158	ht	15-324	105	114	86	25d	—	—	+8	15.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Point winner; running well in defeat in maiden hurdles and behind 2 nice prospects latest
12	Down Around Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	159	p	-69021	106	114	93	29d	—	—	+22	29.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Off the mark at 19th attempt at Thurles last month but 7lb higher in much deeper race here
2	Heliko Conti Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Paul Nolan	167	—	680-60	114	119	56	28d	—	—	+12	17.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
2nd in this last year from 2lb higher but struggled this term and tailed off latest
1	Cave Court Bay J:Mr O McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Mr O McGill(7) T:Noel C Kelly	168	—	00-177	115	112	105	94d	—	—	+12	18	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Justified favouritism at Ballinrobe, not as good twice since; tailed off when last seen
10	Winding River Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	160	tb	262152	107	119	-	29d	—	—	+22	27.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Dual hurdle winner; recent chase winner arrives in form from lower hurdle mark here
4	Pax Bay J:Mark Walsh T:C A Murphy	J:Mark Walsh T:C A Murphy	164	t	8640-P	111	113	95	35d	—	—	+12	16.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Minor promise in maiden hurdle but tailed off in h'caps twice since
8	Penny Jar b/br J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Patrick Downey	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Patrick Downey	161	tp	F-5720	108	119	110	41d	—	—	+12	15.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won 3 h'cap hurdles in 2022; losing run but good run at Gowran in Oct'; tailed off since
11	Cozone Bay J:James Smith(7) T:Matthew J Smith	J:James Smith(7) T:Matthew J Smith	159	t	732700	106	118	88	13d	—	—	+14	17	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won Clonmel claiming hurdle; went close in 2 Nov' runs; struggled recently but fair mark
21	Freddie Robdal Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	152	t	441564	99	113	-	37d	—	—	+13	16.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Dual chase winner; 0-8 over timber and stamina to prove at this trip
19	Useta Lover Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:C A Murphy	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:C A Murphy	154	—	0-670	101	106	67	46d	—	—	+11	13.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well held on all four outings so far including h'cap bow latest' and seems on a stiff mark
25	Ladiam Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Norman Lee	J:Donagh Meyler T:Norman Lee	147	—	5-70P3	94	118	95	14d	—	—	+9	11.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
No wins since 2022 but encouraging 3rd to Portarlington latest
5	Grappa Nonino Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:D K Weld	J:Jordan Gainford T:D K Weld	162	p	15/0-0	109	111	21	35d	—	—	+13	15.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Maiden hurdle winner at Navan in March 2023 but has shown little in this sphere since
26	Cruisin Susan Bay J:Mr J P Berry(7) T:J A Berry	J:Mr J P Berry(7) T:J A Berry	144	—	963508	91	119	72	32d	—	—	+10	11.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Gained third hurdle success from 2lb lower at Tramore in August but tailed off last twice
9	Swelltime Bay J:Carl Millar(5) T:W J O'Doherty	J:Carl Millar(5) T:W J O'Doherty	160	—	908410	107	113	87	—	—	—	+20	21.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Dual purpose performer who was a winner in August; struggled in both spheres since
24	Dragon's Pass Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Danny Gilligan T:Mrs Denise Foster	147	b	799-97	94	113	66	14d	—	—	+9	11.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has looked regressive in recent times; was long way behind Portarlington a fortnight ago
3	Starman Grey J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Anthony McCann	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Anthony McCann	165	h	3-4657	112	118	61	13d	—	—	+17	17.9	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Won at Limerick this time last year but it's been a mixed bag since; best form on softer
16	Voice Of Reason b/br J:Paddy Cleary(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Paddy Cleary(7) T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	605300	105	117	87	20d	—	—	+14	15.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Flat winner who improved for new yard when switched to h'caps but tailed off last twice
NR	Arch Enemy Grey J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	J:E Walsh T:Patrick Magee	157	—	45/616	104	115	108	2d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Won on Flat here in October and off the mark over timber latest; unexposed over timber
NR	Whatsyourstatus Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	J:NON-RUNNER T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	150	t	1697-5	97	117	-	13d	—	—	—	11.8	—	—
No wins over timber since 2020; return from more than year off with fair 5th; could bounce
NR	Doyen For A Drink Bay J:Thomas O'Connor(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Thomas O'Connor(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	148	—	8-415F	95	118	101	1d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Heavy ground winner of weakish race Clonmel; going well when falling Limerick yesterday
NR	Rideau Canal Bay J:Mark McDonagh T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Mark McDonagh T:Mrs Denise Foster	140	—	008360	87	117	64	18d	—	—	—	10.8	—	—
Respectable 6th at Punchestown in October but not as good back there latest and 2lb wrong

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
His Nibs	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	7/2
Stay Gold	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Portarlington	6/1	6/1	13/2	7/1	13/2
Giant Haystacks	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	13/2
Aurea Fortuna	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Jolie Jewel	11/1	10/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Lady Rose Hackett	12/1	11/1	10/1	14/1	10/1
Down Around	11/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Heliko Conti	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Cave Court	20/1	16/1	18/1	14/1	25/1
Winding River	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Pax	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Penny Jar	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Cozone	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Freddie Robdal	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Useta Lover	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Ladiam	66/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Grappa Nonino	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Cruisin Susan	66/1	50/1	66/1	80/1	50/1
Swelltime	66/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	33/1
Dragon's Pass	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Starman	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1
Voice Of Reason	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Arch Enemy	-	-	-	-	-
Whatsyourstatus	-	-	-	-	-
Doyen For A Drink	-	-	-	-	-
Rideau Canal	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Portarlington

39.6

OR: 14 Form: 22 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Down Around

29.6

OR: 14 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Winding River

27.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

His Nibs

22.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Jolie Jewel

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Swelltime

21.8

OR: 14.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Aurea Fortuna

19.8

OR: 12.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Cave Court

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

25/1

Starman

17.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Heliko Conti

17.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Stay Gold

17.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Cozone

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Giant Haystacks

16.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Pax

16.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Freddie Robdal

16.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Lady Rose Hackett

15.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Voice Of Reason

15.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Penny Jar

15.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Grappa Nonino

15.2

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Useta Lover

13.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Arch Enemy

13.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Whatsyourstatus

11.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ladiam

11.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Dragon's Pass

11.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Cruisin Susan

11.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Doyen For A Drink

11.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Rideau Canal

10.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cave Court	115	112	105
Heliko Conti	114	119	56
Starman	112	118	61
Pax	111	113	95
His Nibs	109	115	97
Jolie Jewel	109	119	98
Grappa Nonino	109	111	21
Penny Jar	108	119	110
Winding River	107	119	—
Swelltime	107	113	87
Stay Gold	106	114	84
Portarlington	106	118	80
Down Around	106	114	93
Cozone	106	118	88
Lady Rose Hackett	105	114	86
Voice Of Reason	105	117	87
Giant Haystacks	104	119	107
Arch Enemy	104	115	108
Useta Lover	101	106	67
Aurea Fortuna	99	115	22
Freddie Robdal	99	113	—
Whatsyourstatus	97	117	—
Doyen For A Drink	95	118	101
Ladiam	94	118	95
Dragon's Pass	94	113	66
Cruisin Susan	91	119	72
Rideau Canal	87	117	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Doyen For A Drink	1d ago	Quick return
Arch Enemy	2d ago	Quick return
Cozone	13d ago	Quick return
Starman	13d ago	Quick return
Whatsyourstatus	13d ago	Quick return
Portarlington	14d ago	Fit
Ladiam	14d ago	Fit
Dragon's Pass	14d ago	Fit
His Nibs	15d ago	Fit
Aurea Fortuna	18d ago	Fit
Rideau Canal	18d ago	Fit
Voice Of Reason	20d ago	Fit
Giant Haystacks	25d ago	Fit
Lady Rose Hackett	25d ago	Fit
Heliko Conti	28d ago	Fit
Down Around	29d ago	Fit
Winding River	29d ago	Fit
Cruisin Susan	32d ago	Fit
Stay Gold	35d ago	Fit
Pax	35d ago	Fit
Grappa Nonino	35d ago	Fit
Freddie Robdal	37d ago	Fit
Penny Jar	41d ago	Fit
Jolie Jewel	42d ago	Fit
Useta Lover	46d ago	Fresh
Cave Court	94d ago	Long break
Swelltime	—	—