Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

1:55

Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase

Date 2024-12-29

Distance 3m100y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (18)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
13	Jouster b J:Conor Stone-Walsh T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Stone-Walsh T:Gavin Cromwell	150	tp	10-211	114	125	113	15d	—	—	+5	20.4	5/1 17%
Has won a chase and a handicap hurdle since beaten by Ballybrack Wood, leading chance
7	Big Stage b J:Carl Millar(2) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(2) T:Gordon Elliott	159	—	2103F3	123	128	72	29d	—	—	+14	27.7	5/1 17%
Ran a pleasing race to finish third to Impaire Et Passe at Fairyhouse, worth considering
10	Ballybawn Belter b J:Peter Smithers(4) T:Liz Doyle	J:Peter Smithers(4) T:Liz Doyle	156	—	-58453	120	131	110	28d	—	—	+11	24.1	6/1 14%
Fair third in a mares' handicap last time, needs to find extra to cope with the geldings
17	Ballybrack Wood br J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(4) T:Henry De Bromhead	140	—	7-0412	104	134	42	49d	—	—	+6	16.4	17/2 11%
Has improved since sent chasing though no match for a long-priced stablemate at Naas
9	St Denis's Well ch J:Oakley Brown(2) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Oakley Brown(2) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	158	tp	840221	122	131	95	3d	—	—	+27	36.9	17/2 11%
Availed of his much lower hurdles mark at Down Royal on Thursday, useful chase form
5	Sequestered b J:Jack G Gilligan(2) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(2) T:Paul John Gilligan	161	—	90-844	125	134	78	54d	—	—	+13	21.1	10/1 9%
Two wins over hurdles, not easy to assess on form in beginners' races but others preferred
11	Shajak b J:James Smith(4) T:Gordon Elliott	J:James Smith(4) T:Gordon Elliott	156	tb	-223U3	120	132	110	14d	—	—	+17	26	9/1 10%
Issues with his jumping before an improved round at Navan last time, could feature now
16	Dorans Law b J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:P J Rothwell	J:Tiernan Power Roche(4) T:P J Rothwell	142	p	535006	106	116	56	19d	—	—	+10	16.5	12/1 8%
Stayed well in handicap hurdles, out of his depth in beginners' events, may find his level
4	Outside The Door b J:Aidan Kelly T:Padraig Roche	J:Aidan Kelly T:Padraig Roche	162	p	031134	126	131	110	28d	—	—	+25	31.6	12/1 8%
Has run creditably over longer distances since a 3m hurdle win, can make his presence felt
18	Secrecies Of Stone b J:Cian Quirke T:Paul Nolan	J:Cian Quirke T:Paul Nolan	140	b	-21608	104	111	55	37d	—	—	+14	18.7	25/1 4%
Poor form over fences so far, 2lb out of the handicap, blinkers may help his cause
15	Harvey's Quay b J:Calum Hogan(4) T:E J O'Grady	J:Calum Hogan(4) T:E J O'Grady	145	—	93-37P	109	131	106	129d	—	—	+12	16	28/1 3%
Third in this race 12 months ago, has failed to match his best form in three 2024 outings
6	Hascoeur Clermont gr J:Patrick M O'Brien(4) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Patrick M O'Brien(4) T:Gavin Cromwell	160	—	520P27	124	132	92	57d	—	—	+19	23.5	33/1 3%
Down the field at Down Royal since Cork second, Jouster may be stable's number one
8	Sam Magee b/br J:Richard Condon(2) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Richard Condon(2) T:Henry De Bromhead	159	t	-9P441	123	130	92	29d	—	—	+25	29	28/1 3%
Went up 8lb for beating St Denis's Well at Fairyhouse, may struggle to uphold the form
1	Dunboyne b J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jake Coen T:Gordon Elliott	166	tp	/4PPP-	130	135	123	272d	—	—	+18	20.8	40/1 2%
Managed several excellent runs in 2023, pulled up on all three 2024 outings, up against it
3	Peaches And Cream b J:Alix Balfe(4) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Alix Balfe(4) T:Gavin Cromwell	163	—	P-0P3P	127	139	86	28d	—	—	+17	20	40/1 2%
On a long losing sequence, pulled up at Fairyhouse since a creditable third at Kelso
12	Jasmin De Cotte br J:Conor Smithers(4) T:Paul Nolan	J:Conor Smithers(4) T:Paul Nolan	152	h	3-1958	116	135	106	36d	—	—	+16	19.7	33/1 3%
Kilbeggan winner on good ground in May, unconvincing form in three handicap attempts
14	Garde La Peche b J:Shaun Greene(4) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Shaun Greene(4) T:Henry De Bromhead	145	t	-412P9	109	126	59	33d	—	—	+17	19.9	50/1 2%
Picked up an injury at Tramore in August, should be better for a hurdle run last month
NR	Midnight Our Fred b J:Alex Harvey(2) T:J P Flavin	J:Alex Harvey(2) T:J P Flavin	164	t	22-312	128	138	104	2d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	19.5	—
Won over 2m4f at Gowran in October, brave display when second in Friday's Paddy Power

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Jouster	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Big Stage	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ballybawn Belter	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Ballybrack Wood	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	17/2
St Denis's Well	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Sequestered	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Shajak	8/1	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Dorans Law	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Outside The Door	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Secrecies Of Stone	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Harvey's Quay	28/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Hascoeur Clermont	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	28/1
Sam Magee	28/1	25/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Dunboyne	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Peaches And Cream	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Jasmin De Cotte	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Garde La Peche	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Midnight Our Fred	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

St Denis's Well

36.9

OR: 18 Form: 16 Odds: 2.9

17/2

2nd

Outside The Door

31.6

OR: 19 Form: 10.7 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Sam Magee

OR: 18.3 Form: 9.6 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Big Stage

27.7

OR: 18.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Shajak

OR: 17.5 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ballybawn Belter

24.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Hascoeur Clermont

23.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 3.8 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Sequestered

21.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Dunboyne

20.8

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Jouster

20.4

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Peaches And Cream

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Garde La Peche

19.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jasmin De Cotte

19.7

OR: 16.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Midnight Our Fred

19.5

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Secrecies Of Stone

18.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Dorans Law

16.5

OR: 14 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ballybrack Wood

16.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Harvey's Quay

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dunboyne Top Rated	130	135	123
Midnight Our Fred	128	138	104
Peaches And Cream	127	139	86
Outside The Door	126	131	110
Sequestered	125	134	78
Hascoeur Clermont	124	132	92
Big Stage	123	128	72
Sam Magee	123	130	92
St Denis's Well	122	131	95
Ballybawn Belter	120	131	110
Shajak	120	132	110
Jasmin De Cotte	116	135	106
Jouster	114	125	113
Harvey's Quay	109	131	106
Garde La Peche	109	126	59
Dorans Law	106	116	56
Ballybrack Wood	104	134	42
Secrecies Of Stone	104	111	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Midnight Our Fred	2d ago	Quick return
St Denis's Well	3d ago	Quick return
Shajak	14d ago	Fit
Jouster	15d ago	Fit
Dorans Law	19d ago	Fit
Ballybawn Belter	28d ago	Fit
Outside The Door	28d ago	Fit
Peaches And Cream	28d ago	Fit
Big Stage	29d ago	Fit
Sam Magee	29d ago	Fit
Garde La Peche	33d ago	Fit
Jasmin De Cotte	36d ago	Fit
Secrecies Of Stone	37d ago	Fit
Ballybrack Wood	49d ago	Fresh
Sequestered	54d ago	Fresh
Hascoeur Clermont	57d ago	Fresh
Harvey's Quay	129d ago	Long break
Dunboyne	272d ago	Long break