Limerick

2:17

Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-12-29
Distance 2m3f
Class
Going Yielding To Soft
Type Hurdle
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize €11,800

Runners (14)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
9
Sommesky
ch
J:Mike O'Connor
T:Henry De Bromhead
J:Mike O'Connor
T:Henry De Bromhead
160 1-4
-
127
111
29d -25
23.7
5/6
55%
Shaped like a fairly certain future winner when fourth in a better race at Fairyhouse
3
Custom Taylor
ch
J:Shane Fitzgerald
T:Declan Queally
J:Shane Fitzgerald
T:Declan Queally
162 42-13
-
119
98
64d -20
8.9
85/40
32%
Stepping back up in distance should suit after staying-on third on hurdling debut over 2m
13
Mi Lucky Cailin
b
J:Jody McGarvey
T:William J McLernon
J:Jody McGarvey
T:William J McLernon
155 227-24
109
125
99
64d +6
18.1
9/1
10%
Should improve from Galway fourth when behind Rue Taylor but longer trip not sure to suit
4
Ellis Mor
b
J:J J Slevin
T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
J:J J Slevin
T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
162
-
-
-
-5
1.9
16/1
6%
Cost 14,500euros as 3yo; dam half-sister to pair of jumps winners
6
Committee Meeting
bl
J:Paddy Hanlon(7)
T:P J Rothwell
J:Paddy Hanlon(7)
T:P J Rothwell
160 p 81-436
104
110
104
15d +11
14.6
25/1
4%
Point winner is rated 104 after three hurdle starts over 2m4f/2m27f on goodish ground
2
Ballinoe Blaze
b
J:G B Noonan(5)
T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy
J:G B Noonan(5)
T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy
162 8783
102
107
96
26d +13
17
28/1
3%
Placed in ordinary contest at Clonmel last time and steps up in trip; more needed
11
Happy Me
b
J:Ben Harvey
T:W J Burke
J:Ben Harvey
T:W J Burke
158 06-73
99
111
80
37d +10
13.2
33/1
3%
Mark was raised to 99 after running his best race so far when placed in Tipperary maiden
8
Prophet's Corner
br
J:Mr D Allen(7)
T:Sean Joseph Allen
J:Mr D Allen(7)
T:Sean Joseph Allen
160 1413-1
-
-
-
+8
10.9
33/1
3%
Last month's win at Dromahane was his fourth from 15 starts in points; belated rules debut
10
Jana Colombe
b
J:Kevin Sexton
T:Gordon Elliott
J:Kevin Sexton
T:Gordon Elliott
159 56
-
84
-
80d -2
0.6
66/1
1%
Half-sister to Gold Cup runner-up Gerri Colombe; well held in bumper and in first hurdle
7
Party President
br
J:E Walsh
T:Anthony Mullins
J:E Walsh
T:Anthony Mullins
160 h 5-58
-
85
47
44d -1
0.4
100/1
1%
Beaten a long way on hurdles debut in a better race at Punchestown; up in trip and hooded
14
Poetic Focus
b
J:Conor McNamara
T:Barry J Fitzgerald
J:Conor McNamara
T:Barry J Fitzgerald
153 66
-
110
98
38d -1
0.4
150/1
1%
Creditable efforts in two good-ground maidens, jumping let her down last time over 2m7f
5
Remind Me Again
b
J:John Shinnick(5)
T:David Richard Barry
J:John Shinnick(5)
T:David Richard Barry
162 7-
-
-
-
-1
0.4
100/1
1%
Cost 17,000euros as 3yo; dam 3m1f chase winner; just an okay run in a point; rules debut
1
Ben Purple
b
J:Daniel King
T:John Patrick Ryan
J:Daniel King
T:John Patrick Ryan
166 P-R00
-
79
41
8d 0
0.2
300/1
0%
Not shown much including when midfield on second hurdles start a week ago
12
Fortunate Outcome
b
J:Diarmuid Moloney(7)
T:Brian M McMahon
J:Diarmuid Moloney(7)
T:Brian M McMahon
155
-
-
-
33d 0
0.1
500/1
0%
Tailed off in 2m5f maiden on last month's debut at Tramore
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Sommesky
4/5 5/6 5/6 4/5 4/5
Custom Taylor
2/1 2/1 2/1 15/8 85/40
Mi Lucky Cailin
8/1 15/2 8/1 9/1 8/1
Ellis Mor
16/1 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Committee Meeting
25/1 22/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Ballinoe Blaze
28/1 25/1 25/1 22/1 25/1
Happy Me
33/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Prophet's Corner
33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Jana Colombe
66/1 50/1 40/1 33/1 40/1
Party President
100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 80/1
Poetic Focus
150/1 80/1 80/1 66/1 80/1
Remind Me Again
50/1 100/1 80/1 80/1 100/1
Ben Purple
300/1 125/1 125/1 150/1 150/1
Fortunate Outcome
500/1 250/1 250/1 200/1 250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Sommesky
23.7
OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 16.7
5/6
2nd Mi Lucky Cailin
18.1
OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
9/1
3rd Ballinoe Blaze
17
OR: 13 Form: 3 Odds: 1
28/1
4 Committee Meeting
14.6
OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
25/1
5 Happy Me
13.2
OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1
33/1
6 Prophet's Corner
10.9
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9
33/1
7 Custom Taylor
8.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9
85/40
8 Ellis Mor
1.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
16/1
9 Jana Colombe
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
66/1
10 Party President
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
100/1
11 Poetic Focus
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
150/1
12 Remind Me Again
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
100/1
13 Ben Purple
0.2
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2
300/1
14 Fortunate Outcome
0.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1
500/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Mi Lucky Cailin Top Rated
109
125
99
Committee Meeting
104
110
104
Ballinoe Blaze
102
107
96
Happy Me
99
111
80
Sommesky
127
111
Custom Taylor
119
98
Ellis Mor
Prophet's Corner
Jana Colombe
84
Party President
85
47
Poetic Focus
110
98
Remind Me Again
Ben Purple
79
41
Fortunate Outcome

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Ben Purple 8d ago Quick return
Committee Meeting 15d ago Fit
Ballinoe Blaze 26d ago Fit
Sommesky 29d ago Fit
Fortunate Outcome 33d ago Fit
Happy Me 37d ago Fit
Poetic Focus 38d ago Fit
Party President 44d ago Fit
Custom Taylor 64d ago Fresh
Mi Lucky Cailin 64d ago Fresh
Jana Colombe 80d ago Fresh
Ellis Mor
Prophet's Corner
Remind Me Again