Southwell (AW)

13:50

Weekly Free Bets With BetMGM Extra Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-29
Distance 7f14y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,402

Runners (11)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
10 (4)
Suzuka
Brown
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
128 h 5
-
75
-
23d -20
8.7
2/1
33%
Promise amidst inexperience on this month's debut (6f); could take a big step forward
3 (10)
Lady Mariko
Bay
J:Sean D Bowen(3)
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:Sean D Bowen(3)
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
128 45
-
80
73
25d -10
4
6/1
14%
Similar form in two 7f runs here and at Kempton; more needed to win but it's possible
8 (1)
Singoura
Bay
J:Joanna Mason
T:Gemma Tutty
J:Joanna Mason
T:Gemma Tutty
128 2
-
81
44
36d -3
8.3
7/1
13%
Second in a steadily run 6f maiden at Newcastle last month; 7f should suit; each-way shout
4 (7)
My Mate Beattie
Bay
J:Adam Farragher
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Adam Farragher
T:Ed Dunlop
128 423392
72
87
61
9d +5
17.5
13/2
13%
Reliable and holds solid form claims; vulnerable to anything progressive though
6 (8)
Nakaaha
Bay
J:Clifford Lee
T:James Tate
J:Clifford Lee
T:James Tate
128 5
-
72
41
47d -8
3.1
7/1
13%
Modest form when fifth here on debut (6f); bred to be better suited by this trip
9 (9)
Sorbus
Chestnut
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ed Walker
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ed Walker
128 t
-
-
-
-6
2.5
9/1
10%
Bred to be useful and makes her debut at a realistic level; betting revealing
2 (11)
Invisible
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Tom Clover
J:Luke Morris
T:Tom Clover
128
-
-
-
-5
1.7
16/1
6%
Has nine winning siblings and the betting should guide regarding expectation levels
11 (5)
Tabby
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Denis Quinn
J:Sean Levey
T:Denis Quinn
128 p 0523
74
86
60
41d +7
14.7
11/1
8%
Sound form claims but up in trip and now tried in headgear; vulnerable to improvers
1 (3)
Commendation
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
128 h 09
-
67
-
122d -2
0.9
33/1
3%
Second run was better than her debut but even more required for this step up in trip
7 (2)
Platinum Crystal
Bay
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
J:Tom Eaves
T:Kevin Ryan
128 76
-
74
38
48d -1
0.3
100/1
1%
Second run was better than her first and still capable of better; progress a must though
NR (6)
Mystery Of Love
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:William Haggas
J:NON-RUNNER
T:William Haggas
128 83
-
82
-
19d
3
Still green when third over C&D 19 days ago; more to come; leading contender
Horse bet365 William Hill Boyle Sports Ladbrokes Unibet
Suzuka
15/8 15/8 15/8 15/8 2/1
Lady Mariko
6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1
Singoura
13/2 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1
My Mate Beattie
13/2 6/1 6/1 13/2 11/2
Nakaaha
7/1 13/2 13/2 13/2 7/1
Sorbus
9/1 17/2 17/2 17/2 17/2
Invisible
16/1 14/1 14/1 16/1 14/1
Tabby
11/1 11/1 11/1 9/1 17/2
Commendation
33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1
Platinum Crystal
100/1 80/1 80/1 80/1 80/1
Mystery Of Love
- - - - -

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st My Mate Beattie
17.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 8.4 Odds: 3.6
13/2
2nd Tabby
14.7
OR: 6 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.2
11/1
3rd Suzuka
8.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.7
2/1
4 Singoura
8.3
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3
7/1
5 Lady Mariko
4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4
6/1
6 Nakaaha
3.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
7/1
7 Mystery Of Love
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
8 Sorbus
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5
9/1
9 Invisible
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
16/1
10 Commendation
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33/1
11 Platinum Crystal
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
100/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Tabby
74
86
60
My Mate Beattie
72
87
61
Suzuka
75
Lady Mariko
80
73
Singoura
81
44
Nakaaha
72
41
Sorbus
Invisible
Commendation
67
Platinum Crystal
74
38
Mystery Of Love
82

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
My Mate Beattie 9d ago Quick return
Mystery Of Love 19d ago Fit
Suzuka 23d ago Fit
Lady Mariko 25d ago Fit
Singoura 36d ago Fit
Tabby 41d ago Fit
Nakaaha 47d ago Fresh
Platinum Crystal 48d ago Fresh
Commendation 122d ago Long break
Sorbus
Invisible