BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

12:05

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-12-29

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (8)	Feel The Need b J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	140	—	745551	80	89	60	15d	—	—	+2	24.2	11/4 27%
Won off 4lb lower over C&D latest; bit in hand there and has to be considered in this form
4 (10)	Lessay b J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	137	—	475625	78	88	70	10d	—	—	-4	16.7	10/3 23%
Solid start for his new yard and the return to this trip will suit on that evidence
7 (4)	Eligible b J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	134	—	874413	74	90	64	16d	—	—	+2	21.7	10/3 23%
Goes well for Joanna Mason and won't mind the step back up from 7f; set to go well again
2 (1)	Dembe b J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	J:Paddy Bradley T:Simon Pearce	138	—	508151	78	86	78	39d	—	—	+12	26	7/1 13%
Fine on Tapeta but easy to argue Polytrack suits best; 5lb rise may leave him vulnerable
6 (9)	Hitched b J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	135	h	541113	75	87	69	15d	—	—	+16	27.6	15/2 12%
Third to Feel The Need over C&D latest; a 4lb swing entitles him to close the gap
8 (5)	Onslow Gardens br J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	133	—	5-0534	73	86	73	20d	—	—	+1	7.5	16/1 6%
No excuses at a short price back to novice company latest; has had plenty of chances now
5 (3)	First Kiss b J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Ollie Sangster	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Ollie Sangster	136	—	3-91	77	84	56	74d	—	—	+6	9.8	33/1 3%
Picked up for 35,000gns; interesting to see how she goes in the market on handicap debut
10 (7)	Risen Again ch J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	h	683236	70	84	58	44d	—	—	+9	11.2	40/1 2%
This mark should be within range if he's more amenable but therein lies the gamble
9 (2)	Show Biz Kid b J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	131	h	-35364	72	81	-	48d	—	—	+6	8.1	66/1 1%
Will find this more competitive back into handicap company after a short break
3 (6)	Cosmos Raj b J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	137	p	405116	77	86	44	269d	—	—	+17	19.2	66/1 1%
Generally solid record over 1m on Tapeta is rather spoiled by two poor efforts over C&D

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Feel The Need	11/4	5/2	11/4	11/4	11/4
Lessay	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4
Eligible	3/1	10/3	3/1	3/1	10/3
Dembe	6/1	6/1	6/1	7/1	5/1
Hitched	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Onslow Gardens	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
First Kiss	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Risen Again	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Show Biz Kid	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Cosmos Raj	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hitched

27.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 18 Odds: 3.3

15/2

2nd

Dembe

OR: 7 Form: 15 Odds: 4

7/1

3rd

Feel The Need

24.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Eligible

21.7

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Cosmos Raj

19.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Lessay

16.7

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Risen Again

11.2

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

First Kiss

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

33/1

Show Biz Kid

8.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Onslow Gardens

7.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Feel The Need Top Rated	80	89	60
Lessay	78	88	70
Dembe	78	86	78
First Kiss	77	84	56
Cosmos Raj	77	86	44
Hitched	75	87	69
Eligible	74	90	64
Onslow Gardens	73	86	73
Show Biz Kid	72	81	—
Risen Again	70	84	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lessay	10d ago	Quick return
Feel The Need	15d ago	Fit
Hitched	15d ago	Fit
Eligible	16d ago	Fit
Onslow Gardens	20d ago	Fit
Dembe	39d ago	Fit
Risen Again	44d ago	Fit
Show Biz Kid	48d ago	Fresh
First Kiss	74d ago	Fresh
Cosmos Raj	269d ago	Long break