Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-12-30

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 1m 14.51s (slow by 2.61s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rogue Thunder (GB) Paddy Bradley · Patrick Morris	7/4F	Won
2nd	Red Walls (GB) Jack Mitchell · Lisa Williamson	14/1	0.2
3rd	Laura's Breeze (IRE) Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey	13/2	.5
4th	Back Tomorrow (GB) Rowan Scott · Ewan Whillans	9/1	0.1
5th	Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB) Sean Levey · J R Jenkins	9/2	.75
6th	Banana (GB) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	12/1	0.2
7th	Peachey Carnehan (GB) James Sullivan · Michael Mullineaux	18/1	2
8th	Hallie Angel (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Alice Haynes	7/1	0.3
9th	Rajwaan (GB) Jordan Williams · Bernard Llewellyn	20/1	1
10th	Crocus Time (IRE) Tyrese Cameron · Richard Hannon	22/1	1.75
11th	Jumira Bridge (GB) Joanna Mason · Derek Shaw	33/1	3.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Rogue Thunder Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley T:Patrick Morris	J:Paddy Bradley T:Patrick Morris	135	h	608053	52	72	50	10d	—	—	-21	14.9	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Better efforts the last twice and a repeat of his recent C&D 3rd would see him bang there
2 (12)	Laura's Breeze Brown J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	135	—	476273	52	70	57	14d	—	—	-5	10.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Both wins have come at 7f but effective at this trip; drawn widest but on a fair mark
5 (7)	Tilsworth Ony Ta Bay J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	134	—	445494	51	67	55	16d	—	—	-9	3.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
On a handy mark and latest Southwell fourth was better; more appealing than many
12 (4)	Back Tomorrow Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	129	—	798497	46	64	40	62d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Well treated on last winter's AW form but she's generally struggled for current stable
11 (5)	Banana Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	129	t	735053	46	64	57	8d	—	—	-2	5.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran well at Lingfield eight days ago but she's a 39-race maiden who remains opposable
3 (9)	Crocus Time Bay J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	135	p	578269	52	71	56	16d	—	—	-2	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Exposed maiden but down in weights, yard in form and now tried in headgear; not ruled out
10 (8)	Peachey Carnehan Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Michael Mullineaux	J:James Sullivan T:Michael Mullineaux	129	v	035874	46	66	47	49d	—	—	-4	2.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Multiple winner, including twice over C&D this year; fair 4th latest; each-way squeak
8 (10)	Red Walls Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Lisa Williamson	J:Jack Mitchell T:Lisa Williamson	129	—	849606	46	68	46	39d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Encouraging return to action here (5f) last month; tricky draw but capable at this level
6 (1)	Rajwaan Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:Bernard Llewellyn	133	t	/96059	50	67	49	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Yet to shine for this yard after a long absence; tumbled down weights and now tongue tied
9 (3)	Hallie Angel Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	—	808	46	58	27	186d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Poor form over 7f but bred to be useful and the switch to low-grade 6f handicaps may help
1 (6)	Jumira Bridge Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	135	—	591970	52	69	-	16d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Conditions to suit but showed little at Southwell on his return from a nine-month break
NR (11)	Neptune Legend Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	130	b	774073	47	67	54	39d	—	—	—	3	—	—
C&D winner off 5lb higher in February; promising 3rd latest and return of headgear a plus

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rogue Thunder	6/4	6/4	6/4	5/4	6/4
Laura's Breeze	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Tilsworth Ony Ta	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Back Tomorrow	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Banana	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Crocus Time	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Peachey Carnehan	18/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Red Walls	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Rajwaan	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1	14/1
Hallie Angel	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	16/1
Jumira Bridge	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	22/1
Neptune Legend	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Thunder

14.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

6/4

2nd

Laura's Breeze

10.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Banana

5.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Crocus Time

4.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Jumira Bridge

4.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Tilsworth Ony Ta

3.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Neptune Legend

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Back Tomorrow

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Peachey Carnehan

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Red Walls

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Rajwaan

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Hallie Angel

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Thunder	52	72	50
Laura's Breeze	52	70	57
Crocus Time	52	71	56
Jumira Bridge	52	69	—
Tilsworth Ony Ta	51	67	55
Rajwaan	50	67	49
Neptune Legend	47	67	54
Back Tomorrow	46	64	40
Banana	46	64	57
Peachey Carnehan	46	66	47
Red Walls	46	68	46
Hallie Angel	46	58	27

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Banana	8d ago	Quick return
Rogue Thunder	10d ago	Quick return
Laura's Breeze	14d ago	Fit
Tilsworth Ony Ta	16d ago	Fit
Crocus Time	16d ago	Fit
Jumira Bridge	16d ago	Fit
Rajwaan	21d ago	Fit
Red Walls	39d ago	Fit
Neptune Legend	39d ago	Fit
Peachey Carnehan	49d ago	Fresh
Back Tomorrow	62d ago	Fresh
Hallie Angel	186d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.